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African Economic Outlook 2010

image of African Economic Outlook 2010

Since 2002, the annual African Economic Outlook has been charting the progress of the continent’s economies. Africa was propelled by seven years of strong growth from 2002 to 2008, only to be stopped in its tracks by the world’s deepest and most widespread recession in half a century. This edition finds the continent struggling to get back on its feet and identify new, more crisis-resilient practices for moving forward. In this context, decision makers in African and OECD countries, both in the public and private sectors, will find this year's analysis of particular interest for their activities.

Jointly published by the African Development Bank (AfDB), the OECD Development Centre and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA), the African Economic Outlook project is generously supported by the European Development Fund. It combines the expertise accumulated by the OECD – which produces the OECD Economic Outlook twice yearly – with the knowledge of the AfDB, UNECA and a network of African research institutions on African economies.

This year’s Outlook reviews recent economic, social and political developments and the short-term likely evolution of 50 African countries. The African Economic Outlook is drawn from a country-by-country analysis based on a unique common framework. This includes a forecasting exercise for 2010 to 2012 using a simple macroeconomic model, together with an analysis of the social and political context. Its overview chapter provides a comparative synthesis of African country prospects which places the evolution of African economies in the world economic context. A statistical appendix completes the volume.  

African Economic Outlook 2010 focuses on public resource mobilisation and aid in Africa, presenting a comprehensive review of best practices in tax administration, policies and multilateral agreements, including recommendations for meeting future challenges. The role that aid should play to help African countries mobilise their public resources to meet their development goals is also discussed. The original dataset that resulted from the 50-country analysis will be made available for free on www.africaneconomicoutlook.org.

English Portuguese, French

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Uganda

OECD Development Centre

The Ugandan economy grew at the impressive rate of 7% in 2009, despite the continued weakness of the world economy. ð“e effects of the disruption of the trade link between Uganda and Kenya following the post-election violence in Kenya in early 2008 eased, but domestic fuel prices remain high. Demand for Uganda�fs exports and remittances from abroad started to pick up as the global recession also eased. As a result, the growth rate is expected to rise to 7.4% in 2010 and further improve to 7.9% in 2011, and it may be even higher if the government lives up to its promises to start oil production in the next two or three years. Growth in 2009 was led by the services and industrial sectors, while agricultural performance remained sluggish. Services account for about half of gross domestic product (GDP), the industrial sector for 26% and the primary sector for 25%. On the demand side, growth was mainly driven by private consumption (up 6.7%), but investment also grew strongly. Investment growth will accelerate over the forecast period, with growth rates for both private and public investment projected at 17% in 2010 and 18% in 2011.

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