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African Economic Outlook 2010

image of African Economic Outlook 2010

Since 2002, the annual African Economic Outlook has been charting the progress of the continent’s economies. Africa was propelled by seven years of strong growth from 2002 to 2008, only to be stopped in its tracks by the world’s deepest and most widespread recession in half a century. This edition finds the continent struggling to get back on its feet and identify new, more crisis-resilient practices for moving forward. In this context, decision makers in African and OECD countries, both in the public and private sectors, will find this year's analysis of particular interest for their activities.

Jointly published by the African Development Bank (AfDB), the OECD Development Centre and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA), the African Economic Outlook project is generously supported by the European Development Fund. It combines the expertise accumulated by the OECD – which produces the OECD Economic Outlook twice yearly – with the knowledge of the AfDB, UNECA and a network of African research institutions on African economies.

This year’s Outlook reviews recent economic, social and political developments and the short-term likely evolution of 50 African countries. The African Economic Outlook is drawn from a country-by-country analysis based on a unique common framework. This includes a forecasting exercise for 2010 to 2012 using a simple macroeconomic model, together with an analysis of the social and political context. Its overview chapter provides a comparative synthesis of African country prospects which places the evolution of African economies in the world economic context. A statistical appendix completes the volume.  

African Economic Outlook 2010 focuses on public resource mobilisation and aid in Africa, presenting a comprehensive review of best practices in tax administration, policies and multilateral agreements, including recommendations for meeting future challenges. The role that aid should play to help African countries mobilise their public resources to meet their development goals is also discussed. The original dataset that resulted from the 50-country analysis will be made available for free on www.africaneconomicoutlook.org.

English Portuguese, French

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Côte d'Ivoire

OECD Development Centre

The recovery of the Ivorian economy continued in 2009, despite the context of international crisis. Growth reached 3.6% in 2009 and inflation fell, thanks to good supply conditions on the local market and a thaw in international prices. The reunification of the country, uniting former rebel areas in the Centre-Northwest zone with the regions controlled by the regular army, helped to soften the shock of the economic crisis. The country has restored relations with its donors and has adopted a prudent budgetary stance. Other positive factors had an effect in 2009, such as ample rainfall and the favourable trend in coffee, cocoa and oil prices. The recovery should continue in 2010 if the often-postponed presidential and legislative elections take place peacefully. If this is the case, growth should continue to rise to 3.9% in 2010 and 4.5% in 2011.

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