Transport demand in the long run

This chapter presents an overview of long-run scenarios, up to 2050, on the development of global passenger transport and freight volumes. The transport scenarios are translated into CO2 emission scenarios by applying different transport technology paths. The chapter also introduces a Latin America urban transport case study that explores specific characteristics of mobility development in developing countries. The urban model analyses the impact of land use, infrastructure and fuel pricing policy on the development of urban mobility in Latin America, improving the evidence base for scenario analysis. Finally, the chapter presents regional implications of different development paths for passenger and freight transport and CO2 emissions.