1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.

This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.

English French

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019

‌C.7World fish and seafood projections
C.7World fish and seafood projections
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
‌2026‌
‌2027‌
2028
FISH 1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
172 268
 
178 537
 
180 246
 
180 582
 
184 508
 
187 299
 
189 342
 
191 143
 
191 488
 
194 478
 
196 324
 
of which aquaculture
kt
79 833
 
85 329
 
87 769
 
90 000
 
93 044
 
94 682
 
96 371
 
97 854
 
99 264
 
100 736
 
102 156
 
Consumption
kt
172 525
 
178 432
 
180 221
 
180 722
 
184 533
 
187 114
 
189 107
 
190 793
 
191 753
 
194 503
 
196 449
 
of which for food
kt
152 784
 
158 502
 
160 667
 
162 250
 
165 752
 
168 306
 
170 306
 
171 992
 
173 830
 
175 812
 
177 777
 
of which for reduction
kt
15 226
 
15 529
 
15 275
 
14 315
 
14 747
 
14 896
 
14 975
 
15 063
 
14 271
 
15 126
 
15 194
 
Price
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Aquaculture 2
USD/t
2 952.2
 
2 936.7
 
3 050.7
 
3 315.1
 
3 325.7
 
3 368.7
 
3 507.1
 
3 580.5
 
3 635.8
 
3 588.0
 
3 626.2
 
Capture 3
USD/t
1 683.4
 
1 719.0
 
1 760.2
 
1 864.7
 
1 873.2
 
1 891.3
 
1 935.7
 
1 952.8
 
1 979.6
 
1 959.9
 
1 976.5
 
Product traded 4
USD/t
2 977.5
 
3 059.1
 
3 145.1
 
3 382.7
 
3 393.6
 
3 437.4
 
3 542.6
 
3 580.5
 
3 635.8
 
3 588.0
 
3 626.2
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
29 603
 
30 102
 
30 240
 
30 099
 
30 196
 
30 540
 
30 625
 
30 726
 
30 765
 
30 844
 
30 921
 
of which aquaculture
kt
4 579
 
4 744
 
4 882
 
4 983
 
5 061
 
5 136
 
5 208
 
5 293
 
5 308
 
5 372
 
5 431
 
Consumption
kt
37 357
 
37 352
 
37 365
 
37 446
 
37 846
 
38 057
 
38 291
 
38 223
 
38 420
 
38 450
 
38 630
 
of which for food
kt
32 111
 
32 256
 
32 328
 
32 466
 
32 905
 
33 124
 
33 386
 
33 341
 
33 549
 
33 612
 
33 819
 
of which for reduction
kt
4 379
 
4 321
 
4 267
 
4 215
 
4 181
 
4 178
 
4 150
 
4 127
 
4 116
 
4 083
 
4 056
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
142 666
 
148 435
 
150 006
 
150 482
 
154 313
 
156 759
 
158 717
 
160 418
 
160 723
 
163 634
 
165 403
 
of which aquaculture
kt
75 254
 
80 585
 
82 887
 
85 017
 
87 982
 
89 546
 
91 163
 
92 561
 
93 956
 
95 364
 
96 725
 
Consumption
kt
135 168
 
141 080
 
142 856
 
143 276
 
146 688
 
149 058
 
150 816
 
152 571
 
153 333
 
156 053
 
157 819
 
of which for food
kt
120 673
 
126 246
 
128 339
 
129 784
 
132 847
 
135 182
 
136 920
 
138 651
 
140 281
 
142 200
 
143 958
 
of which for reduction
kt
10 848
 
11 208
 
11 009
 
10 100
 
10 566
 
10 717
 
10 826
 
10 936
 
10 155
 
11 043
 
11 138
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
28 824
 
29 637
 
29 753
 
29 305
 
29 513
 
29 890
 
30 000
 
30 120
 
29 821
 
30 166
 
30 378
 
of which aquaculture
kt
6 373
 
6 673
 
6 824
 
6 960
 
7 058
 
7 166
 
7 262
 
7 366
 
7 415
 
7 517
 
7 617
 
Consumption
kt
38 532
 
38 728
 
38 806
 
38 699
 
39 202
 
39 423
 
39 678
 
39 623
 
39 650
 
39 843
 
40 067
 
of which for food
kt
33 050
 
33 223
 
33 366
 
33 517
 
33 994
 
34 241
 
34 524
 
34 493
 
34 716
 
34 799
 
35 035
 
of which for reduction
kt
4 460
 
4 564
 
4 514
 
4 271
 
4 312
 
4 301
 
4 288
 
4 279
 
4 098
 
4 223
 
4 226
 
FISHMEAL 5
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
4 865.7
 
5 033.3
 
5 022.3
 
4 822.3
 
4 974.4
 
5 066.2
 
5 132.5
 
5 203.6
 
5 049.8
 
5 316.4
 
5 380.6
 
from whole fish
kt
3 526.6
 
3 708.3
 
3 659.3
 
3 437.5
 
3 552.5
 
3 597.6
 
3 626.9
 
3 659.8
 
3 474.6
 
3 699.4
 
3 727.5
 
Consumption
kt
4 785.5
 
5 115.7
 
5 110.7
 
5 142.3
 
4 930.4
 
5 082.2
 
5 161.5
 
5 234.1
 
5 292.9
 
5 225.4
 
5 302.5
 
Variation in stocks
kt
80.2
 
-57.4
 
-63.4
 
-295.1
 
69.0
 
9.0
 
-4.0
 
-5.6
 
-243.1
 
90.9
 
78.0
 
Price 6
USD/t
1 463.3
 
1 490.2
 
1 532.0
 
1 618.7
 
1 572.7
 
1 608.4
 
1 645.0
 
1 684.0
 
1 818.9
 
1 753.7
 
1 765.8
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 523.2
 
1 561.8
 
1 563.6
 
1 561.7
 
1 570.6
 
1 595.9
 
1 607.6
 
1 621.6
 
1 637.5
 
1 648.4
 
1 660.1
 
from whole fish
kt
1 523.2
 
1 561.8
 
1 563.6
 
1 561.7
 
1 570.6
 
1 595.9
 
1 607.6
 
1 621.6
 
1 637.5
 
1 648.4
 
1 660.1
 
Consumption
kt
1 546.1
 
1 625.3
 
1 603.8
 
1 556.8
 
1 481.6
 
1 477.5
 
1 464.2
 
1 457.7
 
1 427.5
 
1 405.5
 
1 405.6
 
Variation in stocks
kt
4.5
 
-33.4
 
-3.4
 
-64.1
 
32.0
 
2.0
 
-3.0
 
-3.6
 
-57.1
 
33.9
 
11.0
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
3 342.6
 
3 471.5
 
3 458.8
 
3 260.5
 
3 403.9
 
3 470.4
 
3 524.9
 
3 581.9
 
3 412.4
 
3 668.0
 
3 720.4
 
from whole fish
kt
3 342.6
 
3 471.5
 
3 458.8
 
3 260.5
 
3 403.9
 
3 470.4
 
3 524.9
 
3 581.9
 
3 412.4
 
3 668.0
 
3 720.4
 
Consumption
kt
3 423.1
 
3 640.4
 
3 631.9
 
3 685.6
 
3 523.8
 
3 654.7
 
3 722.2
 
3 776.4
 
3 865.4
 
3 820.0
 
3 897.0
 
Variation in stocks
kt
75.7
 
-24.0
 
-60.0
 
-231.0
 
37.0
 
7.0
 
-1.0
 
-2.0
 
-186.0
 
57.0
 
67.0
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 517.6
 
1 575.2
 
1 573.6
 
1 524.0
 
1 545.3
 
1 563.3
 
1 573.9
 
1 586.3
 
1 558.4
 
1 601.4
 
1 614.9
 
from whole fish
kt
1 517.6
 
1 575.2
 
1 573.6
 
1 524.0
 
1 545.3
 
1 563.3
 
1 573.9
 
1 586.3
 
1 558.4
 
1 601.4
 
1 614.9
 
Consumption
kt
1 696.2
 
1 815.8
 
1 797.7
 
1 752.0
 
1 659.6
 
1 662.1
 
1 652.2
 
1 648.2
 
1 623.1
 
1 600.0
 
1 607.9
 
Variation in stocks
kt
7.8
 
-34.4
 
-18.4
 
-74.1
 
27.0
 
7.0
 
-1.0
 
-0.6
 
-62.1
 
33.9
 
31.0
 
FISH OIL 5
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 086.2
 
1 028.7
 
1 037.3
 
1 012.4
 
1 043.0
 
1 063.0
 
1 078.4
 
1 094.0
 
1 070.6
 
1 116.4
 
1 128.5
 
from whole fish
kt
614.5
 
645.2
 
645.4
 
614.1
 
636.8
 
646.9
 
654.5
 
662.4
 
631.2
 
669.4
 
673.9
 
Consumption
kt
1 095.9
 
1 057.9
 
1 067.8
 
1 077.4
 
1 036.0
 
1 075.6
 
1 079.9
 
1 091.7
 
1 111.4
 
1 086.0
 
1 128.8
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-19.8
 
0.8
 
-5.6
 
-45.0
 
22.0
 
-2.6
 
3.5
 
2.3
 
-40.8
 
30.4
 
-0.3
 
Price 7
USD/t
1 601.0
 
1 633.4
 
1 688.1
 
1 803.0
 
1 787.7
 
1 837.4
 
1 880.9
 
1 925.5
 
2 053.9
 
2 009.2
 
2 048.1
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
435.9
 
429.4
 
432.5
 
433.8
 
437.8
 
445.2
 
449.2
 
453.5
 
458.4
 
462.3
 
466.4
 
from whole fish
kt
435.9
 
429.4
 
432.5
 
433.8
 
437.8
 
445.2
 
449.2
 
453.5
 
458.4
 
462.3
 
466.4
 
Consumption
kt
571.5
 
602.7
 
600.2
 
610.5
 
583.8
 
610.8
 
616.1
 
628.3
 
645.6
 
620.3
 
644.2
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-8.5
 
-2.2
 
-2.6
 
-21.0
 
15.0
 
1.4
 
-1.5
 
-1.7
 
-19.8
 
16.4
 
2.7
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
651.3
 
599.3
 
604.7
 
578.6
 
605.2
 
617.8
 
629.2
 
640.5
 
612.2
 
654.1
 
662.2
 
from whole fish
kt
651.3
 
599.3
 
604.7
 
578.6
 
605.2
 
617.8
 
629.2
 
640.5
 
612.2
 
654.1
 
662.2
 
Consumption
kt
479.9
 
425.2
 
442.7
 
446.9
 
437.2
 
454.8
 
458.8
 
463.4
 
465.8
 
465.7
 
484.7
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-11.3
 
3.0
 
-3.0
 
-24.0
 
7.0
 
-4.0
 
5.0
 
4.0
 
-21.0
 
14.0
 
-3.0
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
508.5
 
523.6
 
526.0
 
516.7
 
523.3
 
529.0
 
532.5
 
536.2
 
531.1
 
541.5
 
545.6
 
from whole fish
kt
508.5
 
523.6
 
526.0
 
516.7
 
523.3
 
529.0
 
532.5
 
536.2
 
531.1
 
541.5
 
545.6
 
Consumption
kt
714.4
 
754.9
 
762.7
 
767.5
 
736.0
 
766.0
 
768.5
 
778.7
 
788.2
 
766.6
 
797.1
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-1.7
 
-1.2
 
-4.6
 
-19.0
 
10.0
 
-2.6
 
5.5
 
-0.7
 
-18.8
 
11.4
 
-2.3
 
Note: The term “fish” indicates fish, crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic animals, but excludes aquatic mammals, crocodiles, caimans, alligators and aquatic plants. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. Prices are in nominal terms.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Data are in live weight equivalent.
2.
World unit value of aquaculture fisheries production (live weight basis).
3.
FAO estimated value of world ex vessel value of capture fisheries production excluding for reduction.
4.
World unit value of trade (sum of exports and imports).
5.
Data are in product weight.
6.
Fishmeal, 64-65% protein, Hamburg, Germany.
7.
Fish oil, any origin, N.W. Europe.
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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