1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.

This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.

English Chinese, Spanish, French, Italian

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.13.1 - Wheat projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019

‌C.13.1Wheat projections: Production and trade
C.13.1Wheat projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
WORLD
752 209
 
838 032
 
1.49
 
1.01
 
174 948
 
203 974
 
3.56
 
1.27
 
176 580
 
203 974
 
3.59
 
1.27
 
NORTH AMERICA
85 122
 
87 232
 
-0.24
 
0.13
 
3 859
 
3 641
 
2.85
 
-0.40
 
48 352
 
50 016
 
0.36
 
-0.01
 
Canada
31 298
 
32 805
 
2.61
 
0.21
 
94
 
93
 
1.36
 
0.02
 
21 572
 
23 618
 
3.07
 
0.37
 
United States
53 824
 
54 427
 
-1.64
 
0.09
 
3 765
 
3 548
 
2.89
 
-0.41
 
26 781
 
26 398
 
-1.49
 
-0.32
 
LATIN AMERICA
31 124
 
37 152
 
2.12
 
1.36
 
24 141
 
26 107
 
2.83
 
0.76
 
15 048
 
18 333
 
5.11
 
1.56
 
Argentina
18 794
 
22 286
 
6.53
 
1.30
 
3
 
3
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
13 009
 
15 835
 
11.61
 
1.55
 
Brazil
5 540
 
6 697
 
-0.56
 
1.72
 
6 569
 
6 548
 
0.99
 
0.03
 
517
 
517
 
-10.67
 
0.00
 
Chile
1 421
 
1 679
 
0.08
 
1.21
 
1 350
 
971
 
8.04
 
-1.54
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Colombia
12
 
6
 
-15.97
 
2.09
 
1 962
 
2 391
 
4.28
 
1.42
 
7
 
6
 
17.09
 
-1.40
 
Mexico
3 436
 
4 221
 
-1.55
 
1.14
 
4 961
 
5 273
 
5.44
 
1.49
 
767
 
1 108
 
-3.58
 
2.60
 
Paraguay
857
 
1 020
 
-7.10
 
1.11
 
2
 
1
 
0.49
 
0.68
 
425
 
483
 
-10.68
 
1.13
 
Peru
181
 
216
 
-2.73
 
1.49
 
2 032
 
2 550
 
3.42
 
1.46
 
9
 
9
 
1.56
 
-1.25
 
EUROPE
256 197
 
287 615
 
2.59
 
1.00
 
10 601
 
10 012
 
0.78
 
-0.43
 
80 218
 
98 878
 
9.24
 
1.88
 
European Union 1
130 950
 
144 241
 
0.97
 
0.68
 
6 387
 
6 045
 
-0.55
 
-0.71
 
24 332
 
30 980
 
2.46
 
1.30
 
United Kingdom
15 068
 
16 718
 
1.10
 
0.50
 
1 596
 
1 537
 
3.40
 
1.07
 
1 639
 
1 215
 
-8.26
 
-1.12
 
Russia
76 437
 
85 028
 
5.74
 
1.35
 
311
 
351
 
35.99
 
1.04
 
35 578
 
41 449
 
18.79
 
2.00
 
Ukraine
25 603
 
32 057
 
4.31
 
1.76
 
49
 
55
 
2.00
 
0.31
 
16 959
 
22 868
 
15.48
 
2.55
 
AFRICA
26 430
 
29 434
 
1.63
 
0.90
 
46 955
 
62 526
 
2.54
 
2.11
 
1 004
 
791
 
-5.04
 
-1.64
 
Egypt
8 867
 
10 082
 
1.40
 
1.06
 
12 067
 
15 218
 
2.69
 
1.32
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Ethiopia
4 594
 
5 299
 
6.39
 
1.45
 
1 350
 
2 637
 
0.43
 
4.86
 
0
 
0
 
-75.14
 
..
 
Nigeria
69
 
72
 
-5.92
 
0.12
 
4 567
 
5 920
 
1.95
 
2.44
 
600
 
466
 
3.39
 
-2.38
 
South Africa
1 761
 
2 077
 
-0.77
 
1.53
 
1 438
 
1 656
 
0.17
 
0.30
 
93
 
56
 
-13.63
 
6.03
 
ASIA
329 583
 
369 011
 
1.36
 
1.18
 
88 528
 
100 692
 
4.80
 
1.16
 
16 584
 
17 051
 
1.37
 
1.16
 
China 2
133 012
 
141 030
 
1.84
 
0.81
 
3 813
 
3 675
 
12.72
 
1.29
 
127
 
205
 
-16.80
 
3.41
 
India
96 833
 
112 285
 
2.05
 
1.44
 
2 525
 
145
 
52.80
 
-5.96
 
516
 
633
 
18.68
 
1.06
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
10 521
 
13 536
 
7.61
 
2.24
 
127
 
98
 
24.63
 
-2.19
 
Iran
12 333
 
15 360
 
2.01
 
1.39
 
584
 
656
 
-20.86
 
-6.78
 
187
 
30
 
11.15
 
-1.89
 
Japan
863
 
939
 
4.05
 
0.49
 
5 736
 
5 561
 
-0.04
 
-0.27
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
14 929
 
16 124
 
0.42
 
1.00
 
67
 
60
 
188.85
 
-0.15
 
8 123
 
8 993
 
1.25
 
1.17
 
Korea
35
 
37
 
1.37
 
2.24
 
4 545
 
5 315
 
-0.72
 
1.62
 
50
 
54
 
0.00
 
0.67
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1 514
 
1 731
 
2.47
 
0.44
 
125
 
139
 
9.99
 
-0.44
 
Pakistan
25 932
 
29 879
 
1.11
 
1.45
 
7
 
6
 
-38.58
 
-1.40
 
815
 
625
 
5.74
 
8.47
 
Philippines
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
5 790
 
7 382
 
8.22
 
1.91
 
44
 
33
 
496.82
 
-1.88
 
Saudi Arabia
10
 
16
 
-49.94
 
5.27
 
3 519
 
4 215
 
7.85
 
1.12
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Thailand
1
 
1
 
2.15
 
0.75
 
3 428
 
4 218
 
9.70
 
2.13
 
17
 
11
 
8.05
 
-2.09
 
Turkey
20 700
 
24 651
 
0.17
 
1.37
 
5 335
 
4 866
 
6.32
 
-1.43
 
4 575
 
4 516
 
5.37
 
1.46
 
Viet Nam
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
5 157
 
6 446
 
12.58
 
2.57
 
51
 
40
 
202.19
 
-2.51
 
OCEANIA
23 753
 
27 589
 
-2.31
 
1.42
 
865
 
996
 
4.76
 
1.15
 
15 373
 
18 905
 
-4.09
 
1.75
 
Australia
23 339
 
27 104
 
-2.33
 
1.40
 
26
 
20
 
8.94
 
0.00
 
15 373
 
18 905
 
-4.09
 
1.75
 
New Zealand
414
 
484
 
-1.13
 
2.53
 
521
 
574
 
8.11
 
1.04
 
0
 
0
 
-36.38
 
..
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
394 277
 
434 820
 
1.41
 
0.86
 
30 784
 
31 062
 
1.40
 
-0.04
 
152 938
 
177 597
 
3.71
 
1.25
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
357 932
 
403 212
 
1.59
 
1.17
 
144 164
 
172 912
 
4.08
 
1.52
 
23 641
 
26 377
 
3.02
 
1.38
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
8 343
 
9 521
 
0.62
 
1.43
 
17 328
 
23 492
 
5.49
 
2.24
 
121
 
94
 
-4.37
 
-1.77
 
OECD 3
282 260
 
308 333
 
0.26
 
0.63
 
37 226
 
37 060
 
2.01
 
0.12
 
95 095
 
106 795
 
0.14
 
0.73
 
BRICS
313 583
 
347 116
 
2.64
 
1.16
 
14 655
 
12 375
 
5.32
 
0.35
 
36 831
 
42 861
 
14.53
 
1.97
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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