OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028
The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.
This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.
From Chapter:
Statistical Annex
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Table A.13.2 - Wheat projections: Consumption, food
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019
| C.13.2 | Wheat projections: Consumption, food | ||||||||||||
| C.13.2 | Wheat projections: Consumption, food | ||||||||||||
| Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | CONSUMPTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | FOOD (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | FOOD (kg/cap) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | ||
| | WORLD | 741 113 | 834 844 | 1.50 | 1.13 | 503 381 | 554 470 | 1.28 | 0.85 | 67.0 | 66.3 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| | NORTH AMERICA | 39 979 | 40 739 | -0.11 | 0.27 | 28 900 | 30 310 | 0.46 | 0.36 | 80.0 | 77.7 | -0.28 | -0.35 |
| | Canada | 9 479 | 9 224 | 2.00 | 0.10 | 2 745 | 2 798 | -0.13 | -0.06 | 75.0 | 69.8 | -1.12 | -0.85 |
| | United States | 30 500 | 31 514 | -0.68 | 0.32 | 26 155 | 27 512 | 0.53 | 0.40 | 80.6 | 78.6 | -0.19 | -0.29 |
| | LATIN AMERICA | 39 470 | 44 829 | 1.76 | 1.03 | 35 011 | 40 139 | 1.64 | 1.01 | 54.4 | 56.8 | 0.53 | 0.19 |
| | Argentina | 5 838 | 6 457 | 1.47 | 0.95 | 5 205 | 5 848 | 1.17 | 1.04 | 117.6 | 120.3 | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| | Brazil | 11 123 | 12 677 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 10 837 | 12 362 | 0.88 | 0.89 | 51.8 | 55.3 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| | Chile | 2 519 | 2 641 | 2.37 | 0.38 | 1 959 | 1 975 | 1.10 | -0.03 | 108.5 | 101.6 | 0.23 | -0.67 |
| | Colombia | 1 873 | 2 374 | 3.97 | 1.58 | 1 709 | 2 170 | 3.42 | 1.55 | 34.8 | 41.2 | 2.45 | 0.93 |
| | Mexico | 7 596 | 8 398 | 2.30 | 1.23 | 6 299 | 7 320 | 3.64 | 1.34 | 48.8 | 50.5 | 2.22 | 0.30 |
| | Paraguay | 482 | 533 | 0.16 | 1.47 | 356 | 404 | 1.72 | 1.12 | 52.3 | 52.4 | 0.38 | 0.03 |
| | Peru | 2 219 | 2 751 | 3.13 | 1.53 | 2 085 | 2 580 | 3.40 | 1.51 | 64.8 | 71.4 | 2.07 | 0.46 |
| | EUROPE | 188 856 | 198 750 | 0.19 | 0.68 | 80 995 | 80 683 | 0.28 | -0.04 | 109.0 | 108.8 | 0.18 | -0.01 |
| | European Union 1 | 113 937 | 119 285 | 0.17 | 0.61 | 49 962 | 50 204 | 0.32 | 0.04 | 112.8 | 113.4 | 0.24 | 0.06 |
| | United Kingdom | 15 682 | 17 059 | 1.83 | 0.66 | 6 907 | 7 203 | 1.47 | 0.49 | 104.4 | 102.9 | 0.82 | 0.00 |
| | Russia | 41 232 | 43 958 | 0.55 | 1.02 | 14 670 | 14 133 | 0.22 | -0.40 | 101.9 | 99.9 | 0.14 | -0.21 |
| | Ukraine | 9 471 | 9 239 | -4.08 | 0.12 | 4 681 | 4 358 | -1.48 | -0.64 | 105.9 | 104.5 | -0.99 | -0.10 |
| | AFRICA | 73 786 | 90 761 | 2.86 | 1.93 | 62 626 | 77 853 | 2.59 | 2.00 | 50.4 | 48.3 | -0.01 | -0.36 |
| | Egypt | 21 283 | 25 225 | 2.68 | 1.56 | 18 150 | 21 464 | 2.26 | 1.52 | 186.1 | 184.4 | 0.13 | -0.05 |
| | Ethiopia | 5 994 | 7 910 | 5.65 | 2.52 | 4 827 | 6 322 | 4.74 | 2.46 | 46.0 | 47.1 | 2.09 | 0.23 |
| | Nigeria | 4 043 | 5 517 | 1.58 | 2.99 | 3 838 | 5 283 | 3.02 | 3.00 | 20.1 | 21.0 | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| | South Africa | 3 282 | 3 674 | 0.72 | 0.90 | 3 203 | 3 556 | 0.98 | 0.91 | 56.5 | 56.1 | -0.37 | -0.08 |
| | ASIA | 389 923 | 450 086 | 2.03 | 1.28 | 293 101 | 322 460 | 1.33 | 0.84 | 65.5 | 66.3 | 0.30 | 0.12 |
| | China 2 | 122 365 | 143 518 | 0.93 | 1.11 | 88 367 | 90 302 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 62.7 | 62.6 | -0.20 | -0.01 |
| | India | 98 843 | 110 836 | 2.78 | 1.32 | 80 095 | 89 780 | 1.52 | 1.05 | 59.8 | 60.3 | 0.31 | 0.10 |
| | Indonesia | 10 444 | 13 411 | 8.12 | 2.32 | 6 777 | 8 732 | 3.48 | 2.39 | 25.7 | 30.0 | 2.24 | 1.51 |
| | Iran | 14 650 | 15 956 | 0.75 | 0.85 | 13 500 | 14 679 | 1.23 | 0.70 | 166.4 | 166.6 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| | Japan | 6 577 | 6 500 | 0.13 | -0.16 | 5 185 | 5 081 | 0.01 | -0.30 | 40.7 | 41.4 | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| | Kazakhstan | 6 754 | 7 165 | -1.12 | 1.05 | 2 587 | 2 645 | 1.04 | 0.06 | 142.2 | 132.0 | -0.44 | -0.77 |
| | Korea | 4 430 | 5 297 | -0.33 | 1.62 | 2 437 | 2 513 | 0.59 | 0.29 | 47.8 | 47.8 | 0.19 | 0.03 |
| | Malaysia | 1 455 | 1 590 | 4.12 | 0.65 | 1 015 | 1 063 | 2.41 | 0.20 | 32.1 | 29.4 | 0.71 | -0.99 |
| | Pakistan | 25 858 | 29 224 | 1.62 | 1.34 | 24 499 | 28 230 | 2.04 | 1.31 | 124.3 | 118.9 | -0.03 | -0.35 |
| | Philippines | 5 613 | 7 319 | 7.95 | 2.04 | 2 450 | 2 899 | 1.93 | 1.50 | 23.3 | 23.7 | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| | Saudi Arabia | 3 607 | 4 174 | 1.97 | 1.48 | 3 250 | 3 830 | 2.74 | 1.50 | 98.7 | 99.1 | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| | Thailand | 3 280 | 4 151 | 11.21 | 2.33 | 1 115 | 1 305 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 16.2 | 18.7 | 1.96 | 1.44 |
| | Turkey | 22 122 | 24 965 | 1.45 | 0.84 | 16 930 | 18 439 | 1.55 | 0.59 | 209.7 | 210.9 | -0.02 | 0.04 |
| | Viet Nam | 4 830 | 6 366 | 14.72 | 2.74 | 1 624 | 2 330 | 4.67 | 2.99 | 17.0 | 22.2 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| | OCEANIA | 9 098 | 9 679 | 4.68 | 0.85 | 2 748 | 3 026 | 2.91 | 1.13 | 69.0 | 66.2 | 1.36 | -0.10 |
| | Australia | 7 844 | 8 225 | 4.89 | 0.70 | 2 041 | 2 215 | 3.59 | 1.10 | 83.4 | 80.0 | 2.11 | 0.00 |
| | New Zealand | 929 | 1 059 | 4.54 | 1.69 | 399 | 434 | 0.82 | 0.75 | 84.8 | 84.3 | -0.24 | -0.04 |
| | DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 273 571 | 288 068 | 0.27 | 0.66 | 134 782 | 137 420 | 0.49 | 0.15 | 95.4 | 94.2 | 0.09 | -0.12 |
| | DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 467 542 | 546 776 | 2.28 | 1.38 | 368 598 | 417 050 | 1.58 | 1.09 | 60.5 | 60.4 | 0.22 | -0.02 |
| | LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 26 062 | 32 751 | 4.42 | 2.10 | 21 494 | 27 412 | 3.79 | 2.19 | 25.4 | 25.4 | 1.37 | -0.05 |
| | OECD 3 | 225 380 | 238 443 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 123 199 | 128 156 | 0.80 | 0.32 | 92.8 | 92.4 | 0.25 | -0.06 |
| | BRICS | 276 846 | 314 663 | 1.48 | 1.16 | 197 172 | 210 133 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 62.4 | 62.5 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
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Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
| Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en | |||||||||||||