1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.

This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.13.2 - Wheat projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019

‌C.13.2Wheat projections: Consumption, food
C.13.2Wheat projections: Consumption, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
WORLD
741 113
 
834 844
 
1.50
 
1.13
 
503 381
 
554 470
 
1.28
 
0.85
 
67.0
 
66.3
 
0.11
 
-0.11
 
NORTH AMERICA
39 979
 
40 739
 
-0.11
 
0.27
 
28 900
 
30 310
 
0.46
 
0.36
 
80.0
 
77.7
 
-0.28
 
-0.35
 
Canada
9 479
 
9 224
 
2.00
 
0.10
 
2 745
 
2 798
 
-0.13
 
-0.06
 
75.0
 
69.8
 
-1.12
 
-0.85
 
United States
30 500
 
31 514
 
-0.68
 
0.32
 
26 155
 
27 512
 
0.53
 
0.40
 
80.6
 
78.6
 
-0.19
 
-0.29
 
LATIN AMERICA
39 470
 
44 829
 
1.76
 
1.03
 
35 011
 
40 139
 
1.64
 
1.01
 
54.4
 
56.8
 
0.53
 
0.19
 
Argentina
5 838
 
6 457
 
1.47
 
0.95
 
5 205
 
5 848
 
1.17
 
1.04
 
117.6
 
120.3
 
0.14
 
0.20
 
Brazil
11 123
 
12 677
 
0.84
 
0.88
 
10 837
 
12 362
 
0.88
 
0.89
 
51.8
 
55.3
 
0.00
 
0.32
 
Chile
2 519
 
2 641
 
2.37
 
0.38
 
1 959
 
1 975
 
1.10
 
-0.03
 
108.5
 
101.6
 
0.23
 
-0.67
 
Colombia
1 873
 
2 374
 
3.97
 
1.58
 
1 709
 
2 170
 
3.42
 
1.55
 
34.8
 
41.2
 
2.45
 
0.93
 
Mexico
7 596
 
8 398
 
2.30
 
1.23
 
6 299
 
7 320
 
3.64
 
1.34
 
48.8
 
50.5
 
2.22
 
0.30
 
Paraguay
482
 
533
 
0.16
 
1.47
 
356
 
404
 
1.72
 
1.12
 
52.3
 
52.4
 
0.38
 
0.03
 
Peru
2 219
 
2 751
 
3.13
 
1.53
 
2 085
 
2 580
 
3.40
 
1.51
 
64.8
 
71.4
 
2.07
 
0.46
 
EUROPE
188 856
 
198 750
 
0.19
 
0.68
 
80 995
 
80 683
 
0.28
 
-0.04
 
109.0
 
108.8
 
0.18
 
-0.01
 
European Union 1
113 937
 
119 285
 
0.17
 
0.61
 
49 962
 
50 204
 
0.32
 
0.04
 
112.8
 
113.4
 
0.24
 
0.06
 
United Kingdom
15 682
 
17 059
 
1.83
 
0.66
 
6 907
 
7 203
 
1.47
 
0.49
 
104.4
 
102.9
 
0.82
 
0.00
 
Russia
41 232
 
43 958
 
0.55
 
1.02
 
14 670
 
14 133
 
0.22
 
-0.40
 
101.9
 
99.9
 
0.14
 
-0.21
 
Ukraine
9 471
 
9 239
 
-4.08
 
0.12
 
4 681
 
4 358
 
-1.48
 
-0.64
 
105.9
 
104.5
 
-0.99
 
-0.10
 
AFRICA
73 786
 
90 761
 
2.86
 
1.93
 
62 626
 
77 853
 
2.59
 
2.00
 
50.4
 
48.3
 
-0.01
 
-0.36
 
Egypt
21 283
 
25 225
 
2.68
 
1.56
 
18 150
 
21 464
 
2.26
 
1.52
 
186.1
 
184.4
 
0.13
 
-0.05
 
Ethiopia
5 994
 
7 910
 
5.65
 
2.52
 
4 827
 
6 322
 
4.74
 
2.46
 
46.0
 
47.1
 
2.09
 
0.23
 
Nigeria
4 043
 
5 517
 
1.58
 
2.99
 
3 838
 
5 283
 
3.02
 
3.00
 
20.1
 
21.0
 
0.33
 
0.46
 
South Africa
3 282
 
3 674
 
0.72
 
0.90
 
3 203
 
3 556
 
0.98
 
0.91
 
56.5
 
56.1
 
-0.37
 
-0.08
 
ASIA
389 923
 
450 086
 
2.03
 
1.28
 
293 101
 
322 460
 
1.33
 
0.84
 
65.5
 
66.3
 
0.30
 
0.12
 
China 2
122 365
 
143 518
 
0.93
 
1.11
 
88 367
 
90 302
 
0.31
 
0.16
 
62.7
 
62.6
 
-0.20
 
-0.01
 
India
98 843
 
110 836
 
2.78
 
1.32
 
80 095
 
89 780
 
1.52
 
1.05
 
59.8
 
60.3
 
0.31
 
0.10
 
Indonesia
10 444
 
13 411
 
8.12
 
2.32
 
6 777
 
8 732
 
3.48
 
2.39
 
25.7
 
30.0
 
2.24
 
1.51
 
Iran
14 650
 
15 956
 
0.75
 
0.85
 
13 500
 
14 679
 
1.23
 
0.70
 
166.4
 
166.6
 
0.01
 
0.01
 
Japan
6 577
 
6 500
 
0.13
 
-0.16
 
5 185
 
5 081
 
0.01
 
-0.30
 
40.7
 
41.4
 
0.13
 
0.07
 
Kazakhstan
6 754
 
7 165
 
-1.12
 
1.05
 
2 587
 
2 645
 
1.04
 
0.06
 
142.2
 
132.0
 
-0.44
 
-0.77
 
Korea
4 430
 
5 297
 
-0.33
 
1.62
 
2 437
 
2 513
 
0.59
 
0.29
 
47.8
 
47.8
 
0.19
 
0.03
 
Malaysia
1 455
 
1 590
 
4.12
 
0.65
 
1 015
 
1 063
 
2.41
 
0.20
 
32.1
 
29.4
 
0.71
 
-0.99
 
Pakistan
25 858
 
29 224
 
1.62
 
1.34
 
24 499
 
28 230
 
2.04
 
1.31
 
124.3
 
118.9
 
-0.03
 
-0.35
 
Philippines
5 613
 
7 319
 
7.95
 
2.04
 
2 450
 
2 899
 
1.93
 
1.50
 
23.3
 
23.7
 
0.30
 
0.11
 
Saudi Arabia
3 607
 
4 174
 
1.97
 
1.48
 
3 250
 
3 830
 
2.74
 
1.50
 
98.7
 
99.1
 
0.10
 
0.12
 
Thailand
3 280
 
4 151
 
11.21
 
2.33
 
1 115
 
1 305
 
2.35
 
1.50
 
16.2
 
18.7
 
1.96
 
1.44
 
Turkey
22 122
 
24 965
 
1.45
 
0.84
 
16 930
 
18 439
 
1.55
 
0.59
 
209.7
 
210.9
 
-0.02
 
0.04
 
Viet Nam
4 830
 
6 366
 
14.72
 
2.74
 
1 624
 
2 330
 
4.67
 
2.99
 
17.0
 
22.2
 
3.54
 
2.14
 
OCEANIA
9 098
 
9 679
 
4.68
 
0.85
 
2 748
 
3 026
 
2.91
 
1.13
 
69.0
 
66.2
 
1.36
 
-0.10
 
Australia
7 844
 
8 225
 
4.89
 
0.70
 
2 041
 
2 215
 
3.59
 
1.10
 
83.4
 
80.0
 
2.11
 
0.00
 
New Zealand
929
 
1 059
 
4.54
 
1.69
 
399
 
434
 
0.82
 
0.75
 
84.8
 
84.3
 
-0.24
 
-0.04
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
273 571
 
288 068
 
0.27
 
0.66
 
134 782
 
137 420
 
0.49
 
0.15
 
95.4
 
94.2
 
0.09
 
-0.12
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
467 542
 
546 776
 
2.28
 
1.38
 
368 598
 
417 050
 
1.58
 
1.09
 
60.5
 
60.4
 
0.22
 
-0.02
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
26 062
 
32 751
 
4.42
 
2.10
 
21 494
 
27 412
 
3.79
 
2.19
 
25.4
 
25.4
 
1.37
 
-0.05
 
OECD 3
225 380
 
238 443
 
0.59
 
0.61
 
123 199
 
128 156
 
0.80
 
0.32
 
92.8
 
92.4
 
0.25
 
-0.06
 
BRICS
276 846
 
314 663
 
1.48
 
1.16
 
197 172
 
210 133
 
0.82
 
0.55
 
62.4
 
62.5
 
0.00
 
0.01
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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