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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, incorporating expertise from collaborating member countries and international commodity organisations. It provides market projections for national, regional and global supply and demand of major agricultural commodities, biofuel and fish.

During the preparation of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029, the exact effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural markets were still largely unknown and they were therefore not incorporated in the baseline projections. Nevertheless, the Outlook aims to outline the channels of transmission of COVID-19 impacts on the various food and agriculture sectors.

Supplementary information can be found at www.agri-outlook.org.

English Also available in: Spanish, French, Chinese

From Chapter: Statistical annex

Table C.13.2 - Wheat projections: Consumption, food

English Also available in: French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 - © OECD 2020

‌C.13.2Wheat projections: Consumption, food
C.13.2Wheat projections: Consumption, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2017-19est
‌2029‌
‌2010-19‌
‌2020-29‌
Average
2017-19est
‌2029‌
‌2010-19‌
‌2020-29‌
Average
2017-19est
‌2029‌
‌2010-19‌
‌2020-29‌
WORLD
747 447
 
833 844
 
1.41
 
1.00
 
511 511
 
562 625
 
1.25
 
0.84
 
67.3
 
66.6
 
0.08
 
-0.09
 
NORTH AMERICA
39 090
 
40 595
 
-0.63
 
0.22
 
29 035
 
29 996
 
0.35
 
0.35
 
79.7
 
77.2
 
-0.38
 
-0.22
 
Canada
8 726
 
9 733
 
0.74
 
0.76
 
2 962
 
3 075
 
0.97
 
0.39
 
79.9
 
75.8
 
-0.04
 
-0.40
 
United States
30 364
 
30 862
 
-0.99
 
0.06
 
26 073
 
26 922
 
0.28
 
0.35
 
79.7
 
77.4
 
-0.42
 
-0.20
 
LATIN AMERICA
40 657
 
45 256
 
1.69
 
0.98
 
35 960
 
40 244
 
1.48
 
1.01
 
55.8
 
57.2
 
0.42
 
0.23
 
Argentina
5 865
 
6 523
 
1.30
 
0.94
 
5 265
 
5 916
 
1.16
 
1.04
 
118.7
 
121.5
 
0.15
 
0.20
 
Brazil
11 991
 
13 405
 
1.24
 
1.00
 
11 414
 
12 827
 
1.17
 
1.04
 
54.5
 
57.5
 
0.33
 
0.50
 
Chile
2 811
 
2 801
 
3.85
 
0.37
 
1 992
 
2 024
 
1.13
 
0.02
 
109.5
 
103.6
 
0.28
 
-0.60
 
Colombia
1 854
 
1 994
 
3.26
 
1.40
 
1 692
 
1 807
 
2.70
 
1.40
 
34.2
 
34.2
 
1.77
 
0.82
 
Mexico
7 382
 
8 351
 
0.99
 
1.05
 
6 395
 
7 334
 
2.21
 
1.22
 
50.7
 
52.5
 
0.95
 
0.31
 
Paraguay
497
 
596
 
0.87
 
1.44
 
360
 
414
 
1.62
 
1.28
 
52.3
 
53.3
 
0.31
 
0.21
 
Peru
2 287
 
2 674
 
2.60
 
1.46
 
2 150
 
2 501
 
2.81
 
1.42
 
66.1
 
68.6
 
1.51
 
0.40
 
EUROPE
189 177
 
192 301
 
0.61
 
0.38
 
80 280
 
80 616
 
0.14
 
0.03
 
107.5
 
108.4
 
-0.03
 
0.10
 
European Union 1
112 517
 
110 965
 
0.34
 
0.21
 
49 424
 
49 726
 
0.12
 
0.06
 
111.2
 
112.4
 
-0.02
 
0.14
 
United Kingdom
15 603
 
17 023
 
1.58
 
0.68
 
6 897
 
7 726
 
1.19
 
1.08
 
102.7
 
110.0
 
0.50
 
0.70
 
Russia
43 298
 
46 373
 
2.29
 
0.83
 
14 680
 
14 468
 
0.31
 
-0.17
 
100.7
 
100.6
 
0.11
 
0.00
 
Ukraine
9 180
 
8 984
 
-4.46
 
-0.30
 
4 657
 
4 104
 
-1.36
 
-1.28
 
105.8
 
99.0
 
-0.87
 
-0.73
 
AFRICA
75 560
 
91 009
 
2.70
 
1.75
 
63 884
 
78 185
 
2.60
 
1.81
 
50.1
 
47.4
 
0.01
 
-0.52
 
Egypt
21 599
 
25 340
 
2.29
 
1.50
 
18 500
 
21 969
 
2.22
 
1.49
 
186.2
 
186.1
 
0.13
 
-0.04
 
Ethiopia
6 244
 
8 074
 
5.76
 
2.32
 
5 110
 
6 717
 
5.14
 
2.38
 
47.5
 
49.1
 
2.51
 
0.19
 
Nigeria
4 144
 
5 508
 
1.59
 
2.59
 
3 942
 
5 264
 
2.99
 
2.62
 
20.1
 
20.4
 
0.32
 
0.10
 
South Africa
3 311
 
3 745
 
0.76
 
1.15
 
3 249
 
3 705
 
1.09
 
1.15
 
56.6
 
57.9
 
-0.25
 
0.20
 
ASIA
392 727
 
454 454
 
1.71
 
1.22
 
299 580
 
330 462
 
1.34
 
0.85
 
66.1
 
67.3
 
0.33
 
0.14
 
China 2
125 475
 
143 464
 
0.48
 
0.96
 
91 167
 
94 680
 
0.41
 
0.25
 
63.9
 
64.7
 
-0.11
 
0.06
 
India
97 798
 
113 729
 
2.61
 
1.27
 
81 128
 
90 371
 
1.49
 
0.92
 
59.9
 
60.2
 
0.30
 
0.01
 
Indonesia
11 101
 
13 501
 
8.27
 
2.00
 
6 997
 
8 649
 
3.28
 
1.99
 
26.2
 
29.5
 
2.07
 
1.14
 
Iran
14 743
 
16 280
 
0.87
 
0.99
 
13 643
 
14 865
 
1.20
 
0.73
 
166.4
 
168.0
 
0.01
 
0.10
 
Japan
6 525
 
6 496
 
-0.38
 
-0.13
 
5 178
 
5 000
 
-0.54
 
-0.29
 
40.7
 
41.2
 
-0.39
 
0.16
 
Kazakhstan
6 454
 
6 775
 
-1.07
 
0.93
 
2 614
 
2 863
 
1.12
 
0.79
 
142.1
 
142.0
 
-0.31
 
0.00
 
Korea
3 891
 
5 461
 
-2.48
 
1.81
 
2 442
 
2 519
 
0.63
 
0.29
 
47.7
 
49.2
 
0.25
 
0.30
 
Malaysia
1 455
 
1 550
 
3.08
 
0.60
 
1 015
 
1 047
 
2.05
 
0.15
 
31.7
 
28.7
 
0.43
 
-1.01
 
Pakistan
25 691
 
29 349
 
1.38
 
1.43
 
24 949
 
28 792
 
2.01
 
1.41
 
124.2
 
119.6
 
-0.04
 
-0.20
 
Philippines
6 690
 
9 195
 
9.66
 
2.12
 
2 560
 
3 189
 
2.32
 
1.86
 
24.0
 
25.7
 
0.70
 
0.49
 
Saudi Arabia
3 633
 
4 212
 
1.27
 
1.47
 
3 307
 
3 899
 
2.50
 
1.50
 
98.6
 
99.8
 
0.02
 
0.18
 
Thailand
3 030
 
4 224
 
7.70
 
2.17
 
1 145
 
1 284
 
2.20
 
0.96
 
16.6
 
18.4
 
1.85
 
0.92
 
Turkey
22 122
 
24 069
 
0.84
 
0.72
 
17 162
 
18 435
 
1.53
 
0.51
 
209.6
 
209.7
 
-0.03
 
0.01
 
Viet Nam
4 333
 
5 293
 
11.41
 
2.73
 
1 662
 
2 121
 
4.39
 
2.34
 
17.2
 
20.1
 
3.27
 
1.52
 
OCEANIA
10 237
 
10 227
 
4.58
 
0.52
 
2 773
 
3 121
 
1.44
 
1.05
 
68.5
 
67.7
 
-0.08
 
-0.11
 
Australia
8 988
 
8 838
 
4.90
 
0.44
 
2 043
 
2 303
 
1.43
 
1.06
 
82.1
 
82.5
 
-0.01
 
0.05
 
New Zealand
918
 
1 016
 
3.43
 
1.04
 
415
 
462
 
1.29
 
0.97
 
87.5
 
89.9
 
0.27
 
0.25
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
273 790
 
282 305
 
0.47
 
0.45
 
134 447
 
137 970
 
0.33
 
0.24
 
94.5
 
94.6
 
-0.10
 
0.04
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
473 657
 
551 539
 
1.99
 
1.30
 
377 064
 
424 655
 
1.59
 
1.04
 
61.0
 
60.8
 
0.24
 
-0.05
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
26 736
 
34 353
 
4.39
 
2.37
 
22 698
 
29 643
 
4.14
 
2.51
 
26.3
 
26.9
 
1.73
 
0.28
 
OECD 3
225 455
 
231 833
 
0.46
 
0.39
 
124 709
 
129 623
 
0.58
 
0.36
 
90.3
 
90.5
 
0.02
 
0.07
 
BRICS
281 874
 
320 716
 
1.50
 
1.05
 
201 639
 
216 051
 
0.88
 
0.56
 
63.1
 
63.6
 
0.06
 
0.03
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2017-19est: Data for 2019 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to all current European Union member States (excludes the United Kingdom)
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2020), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database).dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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