OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028
The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.
This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019
C.21.1 | Vegetable oil projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
C.21.1 | Vegetable oil projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | ||
| WORLD | 202 563 | 239 817 | 4.05 | 1.45 | 80 243 | 95 417 | 3.50 | 1.33 | 81 852 | 95 417 | 3.69 | 1.33 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 17 866 | 19 952 | 3.79 | 1.04 | 4 560 | 5 100 | 3.08 | 0.08 | 4 669 | 5 068 | 1.86 | 1.63 |
| Canada | 4 434 | 4 815 | 6.37 | 1.14 | 264 | 184 | -3.99 | -4.03 | 3 325 | 3 604 | 5.21 | 1.28 |
| United States | 13 432 | 15 138 | 3.08 | 1.00 | 4 296 | 4 916 | 3.69 | 0.27 | 1 344 | 1 463 | -3.42 | 2.55 |
| LATIN AMERICA | 27 151 | 34 550 | 4.01 | 2.21 | 4 859 | 4 839 | 2.85 | -0.22 | 11 116 | 15 307 | 4.69 | 2.89 |
| Argentina | 9 289 | 11 738 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 18 | 18 | 5.44 | 0.00 | 6 111 | 8 263 | 3.19 | 2.40 |
| Brazil | 9 312 | 12 019 | 2.81 | 2.37 | 504 | 514 | 1.04 | 0.00 | 1 454 | 2 804 | -2.06 | 7.61 |
| Chile | 116 | 164 | 6.34 | 1.70 | 454 | 499 | 6.83 | 0.68 | 1 | 1 | -8.45 | -0.10 |
| Colombia | 1 938 | 2 506 | 8.29 | 2.44 | 739 | 716 | 10.30 | -1.11 | 855 | 992 | 21.43 | 1.12 |
| Mexico | 1 924 | 2 335 | 3.42 | 1.65 | 1 032 | 1 064 | 3.61 | 0.42 | 66 | 54 | 2.24 | 0.00 |
| Paraguay | 784 | 911 | 9.37 | 1.04 | 13 | 11 | -1.44 | -1.02 | 679 | 796 | 16.45 | 1.03 |
| Peru | 249 | 303 | 12.14 | 1.77 | 563 | 703 | 6.30 | 1.71 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| EUROPE | 28 390 | 32 783 | 3.99 | 1.11 | 12 934 | 12 015 | 1.96 | -1.33 | 11 357 | 14 144 | 9.45 | 1.81 |
| European Union 1 | 14 474 | 15 277 | 1.24 | 0.50 | 9 668 | 8 793 | 1.78 | -1.66 | 2 034 | 2 161 | 4.44 | 0.31 |
| United Kingdom | 941 | 1 016 | -0.77 | 0.04 | 1 094 | 1 125 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 214 | 231 | -4.90 | -0.82 |
| Russia | 5 938 | 7 604 | 8.91 | 1.90 | 1 070 | 1 104 | 4.86 | -0.15 | 2 808 | 4 011 | 17.40 | 3.67 |
| Ukraine | 6 406 | 8 068 | 9.41 | 1.73 | 262 | 226 | -4.61 | -1.48 | 5 960 | 7 287 | 10.54 | 1.50 |
| AFRICA | 8 131 | 9 388 | 3.67 | 1.48 | 11 563 | 15 819 | 4.88 | 2.72 | 1 312 | 1 073 | -1.34 | -2.28 |
| Egypt | 561 | 729 | 3.88 | 0.88 | 2 006 | 2 622 | 2.32 | 2.27 | 151 | 107 | -9.85 | -2.22 |
| Ethiopia | 54 | 62 | 9.92 | 1.40 | 518 | 896 | 17.54 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Nigeria | 1 637 | 1 799 | 1.81 | 0.63 | 1 449 | 2 393 | 6.23 | 4.83 | 48 | 45 | -11.51 | -2.78 |
| South Africa | 555 | 709 | 6.09 | 1.59 | 843 | 861 | 0.86 | 0.42 | 25 | 25 | -17.67 | -0.37 |
| ASIA | 119 638 | 141 479 | 4.16 | 1.40 | 45 991 | 57 290 | 3.76 | 1.90 | 52 461 | 58 746 | 2.87 | 0.90 |
| China 2 | 28 254 | 33 857 | 5.25 | 1.71 | 8 706 | 8 635 | -1.03 | -1.28 | 274 | 246 | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| India | 8 913 | 11 055 | 0.14 | 2.02 | 15 186 | 22 077 | 7.30 | 3.67 | 76 | 61 | -3.04 | -0.67 |
| Indonesia | 44 592 | 52 641 | 6.67 | 1.22 | 94 | 91 | 0.58 | -0.02 | 30 540 | 35 104 | 6.02 | 1.07 |
| Iran | 666 | 782 | 13.89 | 0.79 | 1 291 | 1 683 | -1.91 | 3.01 | 56 | 12 | -19.49 | -2.92 |
| Japan | 1 508 | 1 486 | 0.56 | -0.11 | 882 | 967 | 2.02 | 0.46 | 1 | 1 | 45.72 | 0.00 |
| Kazakhstan | 245 | 263 | 2.71 | 1.03 | 106 | 111 | 0.91 | 0.02 | 60 | 65 | 22.61 | -0.02 |
| Korea | 215 | 225 | 0.86 | 0.45 | 1 122 | 1 101 | 4.62 | -0.51 | 5 | 4 | -14.14 | 0.00 |
| Malaysia | 22 311 | 25 577 | 1.13 | 1.20 | 1 237 | 1 083 | -7.76 | -1.06 | 18 049 | 20 290 | -0.65 | 1.07 |
| Pakistan | 1 997 | 2 432 | 1.96 | 1.43 | 3 205 | 4 076 | 5.38 | 2.62 | 91 | 66 | -3.91 | -2.48 |
| Philippines | 1 744 | 2 087 | -0.12 | 1.58 | 1 233 | 1 466 | 12.97 | 1.32 | 894 | 757 | -2.19 | -1.30 |
| Saudi Arabia | 107 | 156 | 22.69 | 1.39 | 769 | 1 016 | 12.33 | 2.00 | 73 | 58 | 19.95 | -1.96 |
| Thailand | 3 597 | 4 305 | 7.67 | 1.55 | 305 | 631 | 11.37 | 5.95 | 520 | 350 | 1.29 | -5.61 |
| Turkey | 1 732 | 2 131 | 3.70 | 1.82 | 1 434 | 1 257 | 5.34 | -0.92 | 510 | 487 | 9.00 | 0.92 |
| Viet Nam | 625 | 755 | 9.26 | 1.62 | 1 007 | 1 265 | 5.01 | 2.04 | 133 | 131 | -0.95 | -2.00 |
| OCEANIA | 1 387 | 1 665 | 2.68 | 2.12 | 337 | 354 | 3.98 | 0.46 | 937 | 1 079 | 3.14 | 1.34 |
| Australia | 524 | 576 | 3.88 | 2.39 | 204 | 209 | 5.20 | 0.21 | 193 | 190 | 8.00 | 0.16 |
| New Zealand | 5 | 5 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 100 | 117 | 3.60 | 1.53 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 50 012 | 56 813 | 3.74 | 1.06 | 19 999 | 19 814 | 2.30 | -0.73 | 16 331 | 19 512 | 6.58 | 1.73 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 152 551 | 183 004 | 4.15 | 1.57 | 60 244 | 75 603 | 3.93 | 1.95 | 65 521 | 75 905 | 3.07 | 1.23 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 3 838 | 4 744 | 3.01 | 1.83 | 7 417 | 9 996 | 7.16 | 2.88 | 453 | 371 | 3.41 | -2.57 |
| OECD 3 | 39 621 | 43 513 | 2.52 | 0.86 | 21 252 | 20 912 | 2.75 | -0.74 | 7 775 | 8 293 | 2.58 | 1.10 |
| BRICS | 52 972 | 65 245 | 4.13 | 1.90 | 26 309 | 33 191 | 3.53 | 1.86 | 4 638 | 7 147 | 5.41 | 4.81 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |