1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, incorporating expertise from collaborating member countries and international commodity organisations. It provides market projections for national, regional and global supply and demand of major agricultural commodities, biofuel and fish.

During the preparation of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029, the exact effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural markets were still largely unknown and they were therefore not incorporated in the baseline projections. Nevertheless, the Outlook aims to outline the channels of transmission of COVID-19 impacts on the various food and agriculture sectors.

Supplementary information can be found at www.agri-outlook.org.

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From Chapter: Statistical annex
.

Table C.20.1 - Protein meal projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 - © OECD 2020

‌C.20.1Protein meal projections: Production and trade
C.20.1Protein meal projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2017-19est
‌2029‌
‌2010-19‌
‌2020-29‌
Average
2017-19est
‌2029‌
‌2010-19‌
‌2020-29‌
Average
2017-19est
‌2029‌
‌2010-19‌
‌2020-29‌
WORLD
342 665
 
402 941
 
3.45
 
1.40
 
89 890
 
98 161
 
2.45
 
0.77
 
90 422
 
98 161
 
1.83
 
0.77
 
NORTH AMERICA
56 155
 
59 958
 
3.06
 
0.58
 
4 753
 
4 149
 
2.98
 
-0.95
 
17 322
 
16 889
 
4.49
 
-0.14
 
Canada
6 831
 
8 269
 
4.68
 
2.14
 
968
 
510
 
-1.51
 
-5.63
 
5 051
 
5 800
 
6.32
 
1.40
 
United States
49 325
 
51 690
 
2.85
 
0.35
 
3 785
 
3 640
 
4.50
 
-0.06
 
12 271
 
11 089
 
3.78
 
-0.86
 
LATIN AMERICA
82 242
 
98 281
 
2.46
 
1.44
 
9 443
 
10 652
 
2.87
 
1.34
 
49 632
 
58 317
 
1.48
 
1.42
 
Argentina
35 243
 
40 672
 
2.23
 
1.13
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
31 268
 
36 228
 
1.88
 
1.15
 
Brazil
33 992
 
42 046
 
1.80
 
1.76
 
5
 
5
 
-15.67
 
0.00
 
13 998
 
17 416
 
-0.49
 
2.20
 
Chile
295
 
435
 
5.17
 
1.28
 
1 071
 
983
 
0.97
 
0.27
 
1
 
1
 
-20.01
 
-0.03
 
Colombia
912
 
1 070
 
7.26
 
1.18
 
1 520
 
1 872
 
11.19
 
2.06
 
97
 
76
 
5.98
 
-2.02
 
Mexico
5 129
 
6 098
 
3.94
 
1.32
 
1 969
 
2 184
 
3.45
 
1.14
 
22
 
22
 
1.91
 
0.00
 
Paraguay
3 221
 
3 948
 
8.13
 
1.53
 
2
 
2
 
0.55
 
0.07
 
2 566
 
3 060
 
11.75
 
1.31
 
Peru
337
 
369
 
14.91
 
0.89
 
1 470
 
2 174
 
8.22
 
3.81
 
5
 
5
 
0.00
 
-0.88
 
EUROPE
46 948
 
50 699
 
3.90
 
0.64
 
28 919
 
27 612
 
-0.15
 
-0.53
 
9 367
 
10 693
 
4.43
 
1.11
 
European Union 1
28 693
 
28 543
 
2.28
 
0.14
 
23 773
 
22 127
 
-0.16
 
-0.86
 
1 859
 
860
 
-0.77
 
-5.45
 
United Kingdom
1 102
 
1 297
 
-1.42
 
1.38
 
3 192
 
3 241
 
0.96
 
0.65
 
227
 
272
 
2.74
 
3.17
 
Russia
8 377
 
9 758
 
7.48
 
0.87
 
129
 
88
 
-17.85
 
-0.09
 
1 799
 
2 548
 
4.83
 
1.93
 
Ukraine
7 362
 
9 349
 
8.90
 
1.85
 
37
 
29
 
-9.15
 
-0.21
 
5 066
 
6 558
 
7.57
 
2.06
 
AFRICA
9 881
 
13 672
 
5.88
 
2.26
 
4 749
 
5 223
 
1.23
 
2.02
 
678
 
603
 
2.56
 
-1.73
 
Egypt
2 895
 
4 685
 
8.32
 
3.06
 
504
 
4
 
-7.11
 
-29.10
 
11
 
8
 
21.54
 
3.57
 
Ethiopia
103
 
129
 
8.40
 
1.57
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Nigeria
960
 
993
 
3.89
 
-0.01
 
467
 
648
 
32.10
 
2.75
 
183
 
146
 
5.81
 
-2.68
 
South Africa
1 350
 
1 773
 
9.37
 
1.99
 
680
 
844
 
-7.73
 
2.69
 
28
 
31
 
-11.88
 
-1.00
 
ASIA
146 371
 
178 570
 
3.90
 
1.80
 
38 745
 
46 995
 
4.46
 
1.49
 
13 312
 
11 464
 
-1.15
 
-1.03
 
China 2
86 441
 
106 698
 
4.61
 
2.00
 
3 180
 
3 470
 
10.74
 
-1.51
 
1 005
 
620
 
0.43
 
0.35
 
India
19 514
 
23 398
 
-0.21
 
1.73
 
413
 
687
 
24.10
 
3.66
 
2 716
 
1 448
 
-10.25
 
-3.53
 
Indonesia
8 001
 
10 292
 
6.07
 
1.74
 
4 695
 
5 127
 
4.50
 
0.68
 
5 380
 
5 367
 
6.59
 
-0.68
 
Iran
2 222
 
2 481
 
17.44
 
1.03
 
2 194
 
3 070
 
-0.71
 
-0.12
 
43
 
9
 
-23.54
 
0.04
 
Japan
3 609
 
3 442
 
1.57
 
-0.46
 
1 813
 
1 734
 
-2.79
 
-0.60
 
0
 
1
 
15.59
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
414
 
477
 
2.18
 
0.81
 
5
 
5
 
-0.10
 
0.03
 
123
 
141
 
-2.04
 
0.65
 
Korea
1 180
 
1 300
 
0.07
 
0.66
 
3 379
 
3 990
 
-0.07
 
1.36
 
50
 
50
 
-5.58
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
3 459
 
3 794
 
1.80
 
0.73
 
1 599
 
1 673
 
4.45
 
0.49
 
2 578
 
2 510
 
1.10
 
-0.48
 
Pakistan
4 501
 
6 012
 
5.56
 
2.35
 
346
 
195
 
-7.10
 
8.10
 
68
 
78
 
-10.98
 
-2.08
 
Philippines
1 073
 
1 378
 
2.52
 
1.92
 
2 939
 
3 595
 
6.05
 
1.99
 
389
 
301
 
-2.94
 
-1.96
 
Saudi Arabia
462
 
588
 
75.35
 
1.37
 
1 704
 
2 087
 
16.15
 
1.65
 
55
 
46
 
79.25
 
-1.63
 
Thailand
2 763
 
3 305
 
6.60
 
1.59
 
3 610
 
4 328
 
1.89
 
1.83
 
12
 
12
 
7.05
 
-0.19
 
Turkey
3 818
 
4 378
 
4.52
 
1.37
 
2 138
 
2 791
 
5.78
 
2.81
 
94
 
73
 
-3.07
 
-1.34
 
Viet Nam
1 691
 
2 213
 
12.52
 
2.14
 
6 064
 
8 910
 
8.58
 
3.90
 
84
 
97
 
12.85
 
-3.33
 
OCEANIA
1 068
 
1 762
 
2.13
 
4.78
 
3 282
 
3 530
 
7.03
 
1.20
 
110
 
194
 
-3.16
 
1.62
 
Australia
936
 
1 608
 
2.40
 
5.16
 
976
 
1 027
 
6.86
 
0.88
 
57
 
125
 
-6.83
 
1.30
 
New Zealand
8
 
8
 
0.28
 
0.00
 
2 293
 
2 493
 
7.15
 
1.35
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
110 739
 
119 355
 
3.34
 
0.65
 
40 258
 
39 010
 
0.41
 
-0.28
 
26 909
 
27 895
 
4.35
 
0.33
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
231 926
 
283 587
 
3.50
 
1.73
 
49 632
 
59 151
 
4.40
 
1.53
 
63 513
 
70 266
 
0.92
 
0.95
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
4 706
 
6 049
 
5.15
 
1.87
 
889
 
1 281
 
8.36
 
4.44
 
350
 
340
 
4.10
 
-1.23
 
OECD 3
102 363
 
108 771
 
2.82
 
0.57
 
48 317
 
48 538
 
1.18
 
0.07
 
19 807
 
18 474
 
3.63
 
-0.43
 
BRICS
149 675
 
183 673
 
3.37
 
1.84
 
4 408
 
5 093
 
3.79
 
-0.30
 
19 546
 
22 064
 
-1.96
 
1.62
 
..
Not available
Note: Average 2017-19est: Data for 2019 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to all current European Union member States (excludes the United Kingdom)
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2020), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database).dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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