1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.

This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.

English Also available in: Chinese, Spanish, French, Italian

From Chapter: Statistical Annex

Table A.15.1 - Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade

English Also available in: French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019

‌C.15.1Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade
C.15.1Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
WORLD
292 081
 
325 009
 
0.63
 
0.94
 
39 336
 
44 516
 
5.29
 
1.51
 
43 078
 
46 104
 
4.25
 
1.46
 
NORTH AMERICA
26 984
 
25 485
 
1.12
 
-0.18
 
1 652
 
1 770
 
-0.27
 
0.62
 
9 820
 
8 101
 
3.50
 
-0.55
 
Canada
12 348
 
12 878
 
0.48
 
0.16
 
81
 
94
 
10.01
 
-0.66
 
5 084
 
5 438
 
2.15
 
0.58
 
United States
14 636
 
12 607
 
1.67
 
-0.51
 
1 571
 
1 676
 
-0.65
 
0.70
 
4 737
 
2 663
 
4.78
 
-2.54
 
LATIN AMERICA
18 975
 
21 983
 
0.18
 
0.85
 
1 954
 
1 996
 
-11.46
 
0.24
 
3 026
 
3 532
 
-0.90
 
0.57
 
Argentina
6 805
 
7 809
 
2.69
 
0.38
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
2 825
 
3 217
 
-0.96
 
0.03
 
Brazil
2 954
 
4 036
 
3.14
 
1.33
 
579
 
796
 
8.50
 
3.29
 
2
 
2
 
-7.03
 
-1.25
 
Chile
870
 
933
 
3.17
 
1.36
 
109
 
112
 
-21.71
 
-2.72
 
36
 
71
 
-5.79
 
2.36
 
Colombia
22
 
26
 
-18.93
 
2.31
 
343
 
358
 
-6.40
 
0.69
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Mexico
5 937
 
6 226
 
-2.68
 
0.62
 
647
 
554
 
-19.61
 
-0.73
 
0
 
0
 
-2.77
 
..
 
Paraguay
108
 
134
 
5.05
 
2.09
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
2
 
0
 
-0.31
 
-30.42
 
Peru
260
 
322
 
0.35
 
1.83
 
162
 
150
 
4.26
 
-1.11
 
36
 
41
 
295.47
 
1.12
 
EUROPE
132 781
 
141 066
 
0.34
 
0.42
 
2 459
 
1 910
 
0.29
 
-1.51
 
19 289
 
23 115
 
7.10
 
2.14
 
European Union 1
82 141
 
87 316
 
-0.07
 
0.08
 
1 581
 
1 079
 
1.00
 
-1.36
 
8 283
 
10 275
 
7.02
 
1.19
 
United Kingdom
7 740
 
7 979
 
2.57
 
0.23
 
204
 
256
 
1.76
 
1.73
 
1 373
 
1 370
 
6.16
 
-0.02
 
Russia
26 582
 
27 077
 
3.09
 
0.86
 
212
 
178
 
-4.25
 
0.76
 
4 516
 
5 371
 
16.99
 
4.28
 
Ukraine
10 053
 
11 466
 
-2.22
 
1.82
 
50
 
52
 
4.35
 
0.15
 
4 925
 
5 829
 
3.69
 
2.35
 
AFRICA
54 026
 
67 544
 
1.59
 
2.29
 
3 872
 
5 601
 
7.91
 
3.84
 
1 427
 
1 033
 
1.45
 
0.69
 
Egypt
949
 
1 115
 
-0.60
 
1.38
 
36
 
53
 
-11.65
 
-2.19
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Ethiopia
13 337
 
18 557
 
5.45
 
3.21
 
0
 
0
 
-75.39
 
..
 
432
 
737
 
6.13
 
3.43
 
Nigeria
8 310
 
9 982
 
-2.15
 
2.36
 
20
 
19
 
0.00
 
-20.40
 
100
 
97
 
-1.21
 
27.73
 
South Africa
516
 
665
 
0.54
 
1.97
 
202
 
248
 
9.60
 
-1.51
 
18
 
27
 
-7.36
 
1.11
 
ASIA
46 149
 
54 587
 
0.59
 
1.27
 
29 294
 
33 116
 
8.43
 
1.50
 
1 539
 
2 031
 
6.40
 
1.08
 
China 2
7 540
 
9 436
 
3.87
 
2.00
 
12 671
 
12 878
 
28.65
 
1.49
 
32
 
21
 
-8.48
 
3.08
 
India
17 370
 
19 307
 
-1.39
 
0.64
 
207
 
209
 
73.33
 
1.61
 
76
 
71
 
-15.47
 
-0.87
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
107
 
132
 
4.54
 
1.77
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Iran
2 953
 
3 563
 
1.36
 
1.50
 
2 151
 
4 041
 
14.10
 
3.91
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Japan
225
 
219
 
1.54
 
-0.37
 
1 998
 
1 708
 
-7.07
 
-1.63
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
4 090
 
5 044
 
8.68
 
1.57
 
7
 
5
 
-12.01
 
-0.27
 
1 407
 
1 919
 
22.19
 
1.16
 
Korea
96
 
115
 
-1.24
 
0.55
 
114
 
121
 
4.44
 
0.61
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
15
 
16
 
339.46
 
1.85
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Pakistan
512
 
606
 
-0.52
 
1.42
 
134
 
131
 
37.45
 
1.04
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Philippines
1
 
1
 
9.98
 
1.42
 
37
 
52
 
-0.68
 
2.25
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Saudi Arabia
202
 
271
 
2.99
 
2.35
 
8 059
 
9 242
 
1.74
 
0.89
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Thailand
170
 
191
 
0.41
 
1.15
 
24
 
42
 
0.00
 
0.63
 
2
 
2
 
-0.17
 
-0.12
 
Turkey
7 635
 
9 531
 
-0.52
 
1.62
 
394
 
411
 
18.94
 
8.36
 
12
 
10
 
-27.60
 
-0.74
 
Viet Nam
3
 
3
 
8.42
 
1.43
 
123
 
119
 
5.59
 
1.36
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
OCEANIA
13 166
 
14 343
 
0.64
 
1.16
 
104
 
123
 
7.30
 
0.85
 
7 977
 
8 293
 
2.26
 
2.41
 
Australia
12 773
 
13 871
 
0.65
 
1.17
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
7 976
 
8 292
 
2.26
 
2.41
 
New Zealand
389
 
467
 
-0.02
 
0.71
 
19
 
26
 
69.15
 
-0.78
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
180 043
 
189 396
 
0.69
 
0.44
 
6 865
 
6 681
 
-2.52
 
-0.09
 
38 514
 
41 454
 
5.44
 
1.56
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
112 039
 
135 613
 
0.65
 
1.69
 
32 471
 
37 835
 
7.75
 
1.82
 
4 564
 
4 650
 
-2.29
 
0.55
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
26 144
 
31 139
 
2.67
 
1.93
 
580
 
1 894
 
-0.08
 
10.16
 
857
 
154
 
-0.11
 
-8.53
 
OECD 3
145 857
 
153 193
 
0.21
 
0.25
 
7 336
 
6 749
 
-5.58
 
-0.14
 
27 502
 
28 120
 
3.91
 
0.92
 
BRICS
54 962
 
60 522
 
1.33
 
1.00
 
13 871
 
14 311
 
25.01
 
1.51
 
4 645
 
5 492
 
13.82
 
4.17
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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