OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028
The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.
This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019
C.15.1 | Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
C.15.1 | Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | ||
| WORLD | 292 081 | 325 009 | 0.63 | 0.94 | 39 336 | 44 516 | 5.29 | 1.51 | 43 078 | 46 104 | 4.25 | 1.46 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 26 984 | 25 485 | 1.12 | -0.18 | 1 652 | 1 770 | -0.27 | 0.62 | 9 820 | 8 101 | 3.50 | -0.55 |
| Canada | 12 348 | 12 878 | 0.48 | 0.16 | 81 | 94 | 10.01 | -0.66 | 5 084 | 5 438 | 2.15 | 0.58 |
| United States | 14 636 | 12 607 | 1.67 | -0.51 | 1 571 | 1 676 | -0.65 | 0.70 | 4 737 | 2 663 | 4.78 | -2.54 |
| LATIN AMERICA | 18 975 | 21 983 | 0.18 | 0.85 | 1 954 | 1 996 | -11.46 | 0.24 | 3 026 | 3 532 | -0.90 | 0.57 |
| Argentina | 6 805 | 7 809 | 2.69 | 0.38 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 825 | 3 217 | -0.96 | 0.03 |
| Brazil | 2 954 | 4 036 | 3.14 | 1.33 | 579 | 796 | 8.50 | 3.29 | 2 | 2 | -7.03 | -1.25 |
| Chile | 870 | 933 | 3.17 | 1.36 | 109 | 112 | -21.71 | -2.72 | 36 | 71 | -5.79 | 2.36 |
| Colombia | 22 | 26 | -18.93 | 2.31 | 343 | 358 | -6.40 | 0.69 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Mexico | 5 937 | 6 226 | -2.68 | 0.62 | 647 | 554 | -19.61 | -0.73 | 0 | 0 | -2.77 | .. |
| Paraguay | 108 | 134 | 5.05 | 2.09 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 2 | 0 | -0.31 | -30.42 |
| Peru | 260 | 322 | 0.35 | 1.83 | 162 | 150 | 4.26 | -1.11 | 36 | 41 | 295.47 | 1.12 |
| EUROPE | 132 781 | 141 066 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 2 459 | 1 910 | 0.29 | -1.51 | 19 289 | 23 115 | 7.10 | 2.14 |
| European Union 1 | 82 141 | 87 316 | -0.07 | 0.08 | 1 581 | 1 079 | 1.00 | -1.36 | 8 283 | 10 275 | 7.02 | 1.19 |
| United Kingdom | 7 740 | 7 979 | 2.57 | 0.23 | 204 | 256 | 1.76 | 1.73 | 1 373 | 1 370 | 6.16 | -0.02 |
| Russia | 26 582 | 27 077 | 3.09 | 0.86 | 212 | 178 | -4.25 | 0.76 | 4 516 | 5 371 | 16.99 | 4.28 |
| Ukraine | 10 053 | 11 466 | -2.22 | 1.82 | 50 | 52 | 4.35 | 0.15 | 4 925 | 5 829 | 3.69 | 2.35 |
| AFRICA | 54 026 | 67 544 | 1.59 | 2.29 | 3 872 | 5 601 | 7.91 | 3.84 | 1 427 | 1 033 | 1.45 | 0.69 |
| Egypt | 949 | 1 115 | -0.60 | 1.38 | 36 | 53 | -11.65 | -2.19 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Ethiopia | 13 337 | 18 557 | 5.45 | 3.21 | 0 | 0 | -75.39 | .. | 432 | 737 | 6.13 | 3.43 |
| Nigeria | 8 310 | 9 982 | -2.15 | 2.36 | 20 | 19 | 0.00 | -20.40 | 100 | 97 | -1.21 | 27.73 |
| South Africa | 516 | 665 | 0.54 | 1.97 | 202 | 248 | 9.60 | -1.51 | 18 | 27 | -7.36 | 1.11 |
| ASIA | 46 149 | 54 587 | 0.59 | 1.27 | 29 294 | 33 116 | 8.43 | 1.50 | 1 539 | 2 031 | 6.40 | 1.08 |
| China 2 | 7 540 | 9 436 | 3.87 | 2.00 | 12 671 | 12 878 | 28.65 | 1.49 | 32 | 21 | -8.48 | 3.08 |
| India | 17 370 | 19 307 | -1.39 | 0.64 | 207 | 209 | 73.33 | 1.61 | 76 | 71 | -15.47 | -0.87 |
| Indonesia | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 107 | 132 | 4.54 | 1.77 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Iran | 2 953 | 3 563 | 1.36 | 1.50 | 2 151 | 4 041 | 14.10 | 3.91 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Japan | 225 | 219 | 1.54 | -0.37 | 1 998 | 1 708 | -7.07 | -1.63 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Kazakhstan | 4 090 | 5 044 | 8.68 | 1.57 | 7 | 5 | -12.01 | -0.27 | 1 407 | 1 919 | 22.19 | 1.16 |
| Korea | 96 | 115 | -1.24 | 0.55 | 114 | 121 | 4.44 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Malaysia | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 15 | 16 | 339.46 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Pakistan | 512 | 606 | -0.52 | 1.42 | 134 | 131 | 37.45 | 1.04 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Philippines | 1 | 1 | 9.98 | 1.42 | 37 | 52 | -0.68 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Saudi Arabia | 202 | 271 | 2.99 | 2.35 | 8 059 | 9 242 | 1.74 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Thailand | 170 | 191 | 0.41 | 1.15 | 24 | 42 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 2 | 2 | -0.17 | -0.12 |
| Turkey | 7 635 | 9 531 | -0.52 | 1.62 | 394 | 411 | 18.94 | 8.36 | 12 | 10 | -27.60 | -0.74 |
| Viet Nam | 3 | 3 | 8.42 | 1.43 | 123 | 119 | 5.59 | 1.36 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| OCEANIA | 13 166 | 14 343 | 0.64 | 1.16 | 104 | 123 | 7.30 | 0.85 | 7 977 | 8 293 | 2.26 | 2.41 |
| Australia | 12 773 | 13 871 | 0.65 | 1.17 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 7 976 | 8 292 | 2.26 | 2.41 |
| New Zealand | 389 | 467 | -0.02 | 0.71 | 19 | 26 | 69.15 | -0.78 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 180 043 | 189 396 | 0.69 | 0.44 | 6 865 | 6 681 | -2.52 | -0.09 | 38 514 | 41 454 | 5.44 | 1.56 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 112 039 | 135 613 | 0.65 | 1.69 | 32 471 | 37 835 | 7.75 | 1.82 | 4 564 | 4 650 | -2.29 | 0.55 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 26 144 | 31 139 | 2.67 | 1.93 | 580 | 1 894 | -0.08 | 10.16 | 857 | 154 | -0.11 | -8.53 |
| OECD 3 | 145 857 | 153 193 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 7 336 | 6 749 | -5.58 | -0.14 | 27 502 | 28 120 | 3.91 | 0.92 |
| BRICS | 54 962 | 60 522 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 13 871 | 14 311 | 25.01 | 1.51 | 4 645 | 5 492 | 13.82 | 4.17 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |