1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2022-2031

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2022-2031

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2022-2031 provides a consensus assessment of the ten-year prospects for agricultural commodity and fish markets at national, regional, and global levels, and serves as a reference for forward-looking policy analysis and planning. Projections suggest that, following a business-as-usual path, SDG 2 on Zero Hunger would not be achieved by 2030 and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture would continue to increase. To achieve the Zero Hunger target while reducing direct GHG by 6%, overall agricultural productivity would need to increase by 28% over the next decade. Comprehensive action to boost agricultural investment and innovation, and to enable technology transfer are urgently required in order to put the agricultural sector on the necessary sustainable growth trajectory. Additional efforts to reduce food loss and waste, and to limit excess calorie and protein intakes would also be necessary. This report is a collaborative effort between the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, prepared with inputs from Member countries and international commodity organisations. It highlights fundamental economic and social trends driving the global agri-food sector, assuming no major changes to weather conditions or policies.

More information can be found at www.agri-outlook.org.

English Also available in: French, Chinese, Spanish

From Chapter: Statistical Annex

Table C.15.2 - Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food

English Also available in: French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2022-2031 - © OECD 2022

‌C.15.2Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food
C.15.2Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FEED (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2019-21est
‌2031‌
‌2012-21‌
‌2022-31‌
Average
2019-21est
‌2031‌
‌2012-21‌
‌2022-31‌
Average
2019-21est
‌2031‌
‌2012-21‌
‌2022-31‌
WORLD
299 151
 
330 752
 
0.70
 
0.92
 
169 553
 
181 634
 
0.49
 
0.74
 
10.4
 
11.4
 
0.03
 
0.69
 
NORTH AMERICA
18 422
 
19 564
 
-0.73
 
0.49
 
11 989
 
12 528
 
-0.58
 
0.68
 
4.9
 
5.0
 
2.22
 
-0.15
 
Canada
8 693
 
9 211
 
1.52
 
0.45
 
7 660
 
7 785
 
0.63
 
0.53
 
12.4
 
12.2
 
5.73
 
-0.73
 
United States
9 729
 
10 353
 
-2.44
 
0.53
 
4 329
 
4 743
 
-2.60
 
0.96
 
4.1
 
4.1
 
1.16
 
0.01
 
LATIN AMERICA
17 991
 
20 073
 
-2.12
 
0.98
 
12 079
 
13 443
 
-3.84
 
0.96
 
3.5
 
3.6
 
-1.57
 
0.23
 
Argentina
3 390
 
4 146
 
-2.63
 
0.72
 
1 893
 
2 642
 
-4.32
 
0.94
 
14.3
 
13.6
 
-3.21
 
-0.43
 
Brazil
4 275
 
5 348
 
3.85
 
1.93
 
2 813
 
3 528
 
3.95
 
1.70
 
1.9
 
2.3
 
2.19
 
1.84
 
Chile
835
 
822
 
-4.27
 
0.88
 
523
 
474
 
-7.39
 
0.77
 
3.9
 
3.9
 
1.13
 
-0.03
 
Colombia
347
 
409
 
-8.61
 
1.34
 
17
 
20
 
-30.76
 
2.39
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
-12.38
 
0.12
 
Mexico
6 274
 
6 204
 
-5.24
 
0.41
 
5 552
 
5 419
 
-5.77
 
0.37
 
5.6
 
5.5
 
-1.35
 
-0.12
 
Paraguay
104
 
131
 
0.69
 
1.52
 
89
 
107
 
-0.39
 
1.36
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-2.19
 
-0.41
 
Peru
422
 
475
 
1.89
 
1.08
 
5
 
7
 
0.75
 
2.81
 
6.7
 
7.0
 
0.60
 
0.08
 
EUROPE
115 100
 
112 870
 
-0.07
 
-0.05
 
84 690
 
82 992
 
-0.06
 
0.13
 
13.8
 
14.0
 
-0.72
 
0.01
 
European Union 1
74 964
 
72 682
 
0.07
 
-0.18
 
56 728
 
55 342
 
-0.05
 
0.09
 
10.4
 
10.9
 
-0.18
 
0.46
 
United Kingdom
7 161
 
6 959
 
1.67
 
-0.12
 
4 256
 
3 517
 
3.49
 
-1.28
 
35.3
 
35.0
 
-0.36
 
-0.05
 
Russia
21 520
 
21 271
 
0.34
 
0.14
 
15 367
 
15 350
 
0.33
 
0.32
 
12.7
 
12.2
 
-2.22
 
-1.07
 
Ukraine
5 091
 
5 085
 
-3.36
 
0.22
 
3 364
 
3 408
 
-3.69
 
0.46
 
17.0
 
15.8
 
-2.19
 
-0.74
 
AFRICA
59 069
 
74 994
 
2.24
 
2.25
 
8 773
 
10 477
 
1.59
 
2.30
 
31.7
 
32.8
 
0.01
 
0.10
 
Egypt
1 057
 
1 230
 
0.02
 
1.90
 
702
 
845
 
0.00
 
2.44
 
2.9
 
2.6
 
-2.07
 
-0.99
 
Ethiopia
13 396
 
17 379
 
3.60
 
2.56
 
540
 
595
 
-0.71
 
2.88
 
93.5
 
98.1
 
0.98
 
0.54
 
Nigeria
8 843
 
11 008
 
1.99
 
2.24
 
333
 
220
 
-2.87
 
0.77
 
39.1
 
38.4
 
0.02
 
-0.14
 
South Africa
730
 
711
 
2.36
 
0.93
 
96
 
132
 
-4.28
 
1.82
 
2.5
 
2.3
 
-1.20
 
-0.95
 
ASIA
81 156
 
96 053
 
1.60
 
1.28
 
46 441
 
56 957
 
2.87
 
1.47
 
5.1
 
5.3
 
-1.24
 
0.19
 
China 2
24 931
 
28 459
 
5.25
 
0.65
 
13 730
 
16 656
 
15.53
 
0.68
 
3.2
 
3.0
 
-0.44
 
-0.55
 
India
18 259
 
23 168
 
0.16
 
1.62
 
1 805
 
3 192
 
14.42
 
3.05
 
11.4
 
12.2
 
-1.66
 
0.41
 
Indonesia
73
 
78
 
-4.67
 
0.63
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
-5.80
 
-0.24
 
Iran
5 089
 
5 892
 
3.55
 
1.07
 
4 911
 
5 691
 
3.70
 
1.08
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
-1.32
 
-0.99
 
Japan
2 472
 
2 122
 
-3.75
 
-1.15
 
1 430
 
1 379
 
-7.40
 
-1.04
 
1.8
 
1.9
 
-0.20
 
0.41
 
Kazakhstan
2 723
 
3 143
 
3.96
 
1.49
 
1 720
 
2 094
 
3.14
 
2.00
 
2.5
 
2.2
 
-1.39
 
-0.75
 
Korea
303
 
278
 
1.60
 
-0.36
 
62
 
60
 
-0.76
 
0.00
 
4.7
 
4.3
 
2.01
 
-0.40
 
Malaysia
13
 
16
 
145.20
 
2.04
 
12
 
15
 
167.51
 
2.08
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
160.05
 
0.01
 
Pakistan
656
 
816
 
2.62
 
2.11
 
196
 
277
 
0.12
 
3.40
 
1.9
 
1.8
 
2.27
 
-0.19
 
Philippines
42
 
53
 
2.12
 
2.43
 
30
 
39
 
0.86
 
2.60
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
1.76
 
0.54
 
Saudi Arabia
6 868
 
7 546
 
-3.59
 
2.13
 
6 672
 
7 332
 
-3.69
 
2.17
 
2.6
 
2.3
 
-2.09
 
-0.99
 
Thailand
1 040
 
1 279
 
25.68
 
1.53
 
687
 
896
 
39.31
 
1.76
 
1.4
 
1.4
 
-0.31
 
0.10
 
Türkiye
9 191
 
11 826
 
1.34
 
2.13
 
8 141
 
10 644
 
1.65
 
2.22
 
3.5
 
3.2
 
-1.48
 
-0.75
 
Viet Nam
103
 
128
 
4.95
 
1.95
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
1.20
 
0.97
 
OCEANIA
7 413
 
7 198
 
3.20
 
-0.04
 
5 581
 
5 236
 
3.17
 
-0.11
 
6.7
 
7.0
 
-0.49
 
0.07
 
Australia
6 925
 
6 727
 
3.66
 
-0.09
 
5 220
 
4 907
 
3.72
 
-0.15
 
8.0
 
8.5
 
-0.52
 
0.02
 
New Zealand
401
 
369
 
-2.39
 
0.39
 
343
 
311
 
-2.76
 
0.47
 
1.7
 
1.5
 
-0.93
 
-0.65
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
149 692
 
149 246
 
0.07
 
0.09
 
108 020
 
107 634
 
0.04
 
0.26
 
9.0
 
8.9
 
-0.51
 
-0.18
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
149 459
 
181 506
 
1.37
 
1.65
 
61 533
 
74 000
 
1.37
 
1.48
 
10.7
 
11.9
 
0.11
 
0.80
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
25 947
 
32 684
 
1.60
 
2.19
 
1 746
 
1 592
 
-0.88
 
2.77
 
22.2
 
23.8
 
-0.13
 
0.12
 
OECD 3
129 196
 
130 000
 
-0.20
 
0.15
 
95 949
 
96 423
 
-0.36
 
0.32
 
7.7
 
7.8
 
-0.05
 
0.09
 
BRICS
69 715
 
78 958
 
1.96
 
0.87
 
33 810
 
38 857
 
4.54
 
0.80
 
7.0
 
7.4
 
-1.30
 
0.30
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2019-21est: Data for 2021 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to all current European Union member States (excludes the United Kingdom)
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland and Costa Rica but includes all EU member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2022), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database).dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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