1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.23.1 - Sugar projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.23.1Sugar projections: Production and trade
A.23.1Sugar projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 3
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 3
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
170 736
 
204 724
 
2.05
 
1.50
 
54 721
 
60 797
 
2.40
 
1.63
 
60 685
 
66 762
 
2.63
 
1.47
 
NORTH AMERICA
7 687
 
8 547
 
2.00
 
0.76
 
3 895
 
4 423
 
-0.31
 
1.67
 
92
 
75
 
-13.01
 
0.00
 
Canada
91
 
99
 
2.91
 
0.62
 
1 131
 
1 201
 
-0.39
 
0.70
 
30
 
30
 
-9.82
 
0.00
 
United States
7 596
 
8 448
 
1.99
 
0.77
 
2 764
 
3 222
 
-0.28
 
2.05
 
62
 
45
 
-14.40
 
0.00
 
LATIN AMERICA
59 291
 
67 347
 
1.00
 
1.84
 
2 022
 
1 703
 
-2.36
 
-0.98
 
35 106
 
39 072
 
1.31
 
2.14
 
Argentina
2 060
 
2 730
 
-0.06
 
2.73
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
421
 
733
 
-1.18
 
6.24
 
Brazil
38 198
 
41 824
 
0.42
 
1.86
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
..
 
27 508
 
29 907
 
0.80
 
2.08
 
Chile
242
 
291
 
-0.95
 
1.02
 
536
 
596
 
0.99
 
1.16
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
..
 
Colombia
2 196
 
2 871
 
0.36
 
2.28
 
102
 
36
 
-11.32
 
-3.95
 
451
 
687
 
-7.14
 
4.12
 
Mexico
6 023
 
6 743
 
2.92
 
1.18
 
12
 
10
 
-32.21
 
0.01
 
1 510
 
1 746
 
7.00
 
1.66
 
Paraguay
160
 
221
 
2.13
 
3.08
 
26
 
6
 
-15.29
 
-6.15
 
58
 
69
 
-5.34
 
6.55
 
EUROPE
25 992
 
29 243
 
2.78
 
0.03
 
3 313
 
2 162
 
-9.17
 
-0.22
 
2 995
 
4 575
 
4.89
 
1.09
 
European Union
17 305
 
18 975
 
1.63
 
-0.56
 
2 205
 
1 447
 
-5.85
 
0.78
 
1 813
 
2 512
 
1.90
 
-1.22
 
Russia
5 886
 
6 823
 
7.64
 
1.28
 
327
 
78
 
-22.83
 
-9.86
 
348
 
888
 
13.41
 
6.08
 
Ukraine
1 875
 
2 291
 
2.22
 
1.13
 
24
 
0
 
-33.92
 
..
 
409
 
654
 
72.13
 
7.09
 
AFRICA
10 858
 
14 717
 
2.57
 
2.42
 
12 259
 
16 441
 
4.13
 
2.58
 
4 062
 
3 775
 
3.19
 
-1.17
 
Egypt
2 500
 
3 680
 
5.16
 
3.09
 
1 053
 
1 249
 
-0.14
 
1.12
 
190
 
137
 
4.12
 
-1.11
 
Ethiopia
511
 
749
 
8.99
 
2.03
 
86
 
79
 
-5.11
 
3.05
 
107
 
121
 
13.79
 
-3.21
 
Nigeria
45
 
89
 
2.67
 
2.94
 
1 553
 
2 282
 
5.26
 
3.46
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
South Africa
1 722
 
2 234
 
-2.31
 
1.70
 
335
 
195
 
-2.71
 
-2.21
 
143
 
221
 
-19.00
 
2.25
 
ASIA
61 961
 
78 777
 
2.72
 
1.75
 
32 862
 
35 660
 
4.60
 
1.48
 
14 360
 
14 422
 
6.07
 
0.79
 
China 1
9 546
 
13 428
 
-2.61
 
1.85
 
6 209
 
6 757
 
21.35
 
2.22
 
95
 
90
 
1.10
 
3.57
 
India
23 775
 
30 742
 
3.71
 
1.78
 
1 816
 
1 993
 
1.46
 
1.83
 
2 390
 
1 410
 
11.67
 
-2.17
 
Indonesia
2 225
 
2 489
 
-0.52
 
1.19
 
4 992
 
5 906
 
10.04
 
2.32
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Iran
1 630
 
2 210
 
9.89
 
2.57
 
821
 
446
 
-10.13
 
-5.83
 
8
 
0
 
23.82
 
..
 
Japan
715
 
719
 
-1.28
 
0.16
 
1 370
 
1 331
 
0.95
 
-0.61
 
4
 
5
 
14.46
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
20
 
30
 
-2.33
 
1.60
 
488
 
527
 
3.30
 
0.49
 
10
 
9
 
4.55
 
-0.49
 
Korea
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1 944
 
2 144
 
2.38
 
0.67
 
348
 
350
 
1.17
 
-0.33
 
Malaysia
8
 
21
 
-11.97
 
3.50
 
1 982
 
2 295
 
3.03
 
1.43
 
210
 
85
 
-0.79
 
-1.41
 
Pakistan
6 559
 
7 177
 
8.74
 
3.27
 
18
 
11
 
-33.44
 
-2.85
 
788
 
426
 
31.34
 
12.39
 
Philippines
2 214
 
2 443
 
1.41
 
0.72
 
122
 
498
 
29.15
 
10.05
 
162
 
73
 
-6.92
 
-9.93
 
Saudi Arabia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1 565
 
1 889
 
2.96
 
1.72
 
305
 
269
 
1.66
 
-1.69
 
Thailand
10 540
 
13 516
 
4.84
 
1.16
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
7 755
 
10 351
 
4.91
 
1.36
 
Turkey
2 280
 
2 634
 
-0.08
 
0.61
 
113
 
1
 
44.85
 
-34.75
 
8
 
15
 
-13.19
 
4.79
 
Viet Nam
1 460
 
2 212
 
6.13
 
3.28
 
226
 
31
 
5.04
 
-11.54
 
105
 
269
 
-2.09
 
12.93
 
OCEANIA
4 948
 
6 092
 
2.15
 
1.11
 
369
 
408
 
1.78
 
0.33
 
4 071
 
4 842
 
3.10
 
1.04
 
Australia
4 716
 
5 785
 
2.16
 
1.08
 
95
 
120
 
5.15
 
0.00
 
3 878
 
4 611
 
3.20
 
1.05
 
New Zealand
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
244
 
256
 
0.61
 
0.65
 
21
 
20
 
0.86
 
0.00
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
40 982
 
46 747
 
2.22
 
0.37
 
11 810
 
11 175
 
-2.93
 
0.76
 
7 476
 
9 637
 
1.99
 
1.05
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
129 754
 
157 977
 
2.00
 
1.86
 
42 911
 
49 621
 
4.43
 
1.83
 
53 210
 
57 125
 
2.76
 
1.54
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
3 103
 
3 951
 
4.47
 
1.93
 
7 073
 
8 430
 
7.25
 
2.60
 
2 603
 
1 300
 
9.13
 
-3.08
 
OECD 2
39 212
 
43 993
 
1.73
 
0.26
 
11 205
 
11 268
 
-1.02
 
0.94
 
7 684
 
9 345
 
2.67
 
0.45
 
BRICS
79 127
 
95 051
 
1.20
 
1.78
 
8 688
 
9 022
 
4.00
 
1.81
 
30 484
 
32 516
 
0.90
 
1.95
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Sugar data are expressed on a tel quel basis.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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