1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.33.1 - Skim milk powder projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.33.1Skim milk powder projections: Production and trade
A.33.1Skim milk powder projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 3
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 3
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
4 505
 
5 163
 
3.87
 
1.31
 
2 248
 
2 787
 
7.08
 
1.61
 
2 308
 
2 848
 
8.25
 
1.57
 
NORTH AMERICA
1 153
 
1 355
 
3.36
 
1.26
 
2
 
2
 
-5.41
 
-2.35
 
610
 
814
 
8.99
 
2.23
 
Canada
102
 
115
 
2.83
 
-1.06
 
1
 
1
 
-9.72
 
-7.03
 
28
 
39
 
15.59
 
-2.40
 
United States
1 051
 
1 239
 
3.41
 
1.51
 
1
 
1
 
14.19
 
2.24
 
582
 
775
 
8.72
 
2.54
 
LATIN AMERICA
298
 
371
 
4.20
 
2.09
 
398
 
432
 
6.49
 
0.05
 
88
 
145
 
13.58
 
0.92
 
Argentina
38
 
47
 
3.40
 
2.80
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
25
 
33
 
7.72
 
3.16
 
Brazil
155
 
184
 
2.87
 
1.61
 
21
 
21
 
17.18
 
0.56
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Chile
28
 
40
 
11.99
 
2.77
 
11
 
9
 
10.36
 
-2.17
 
1
 
1
 
-4.72
 
1.39
 
Colombia
4
 
6
 
-5.60
 
4.62
 
10
 
12
 
47.08
 
0.42
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Mexico
43
 
57
 
9.76
 
2.44
 
288
 
318
 
6.31
 
0.17
 
40
 
87
 
99.69
 
0.00
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
EUROPE
1 858
 
2 065
 
5.69
 
1.19
 
170
 
188
 
25.31
 
-0.52
 
846
 
1 034
 
13.81
 
1.50
 
European Union
1 530
 
1 687
 
6.79
 
1.19
 
3
 
2
 
-4.53
 
-1.02
 
686
 
844
 
18.13
 
1.52
 
Russia
70
 
65
 
-0.46
 
-1.97
 
135
 
156
 
35.78
 
-0.53
 
1
 
1
 
12.68
 
-3.61
 
Ukraine
112
 
132
 
0.02
 
1.36
 
0
 
0
 
-22.38
 
0.17
 
34
 
29
 
2.42
 
-2.16
 
AFRICA
19
 
27
 
0.11
 
3.65
 
361
 
463
 
4.60
 
2.53
 
11
 
12
 
4.97
 
1.10
 
Egypt
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
77
 
109
 
10.40
 
3.72
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Ethiopia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
-12.13
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Nigeria
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
48
 
65
 
6.91
 
2.55
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
South Africa
15
 
22
 
0.16
 
4.00
 
7
 
6
 
9.84
 
-2.67
 
6
 
9
 
11.04
 
2.74
 
ASIA
417
 
487
 
0.69
 
1.54
 
1 304
 
1 689
 
6.75
 
2.08
 
146
 
146
 
8.23
 
-0.65
 
China 1
40
 
35
 
-4.32
 
-0.40
 
200
 
351
 
16.70
 
4.85
 
1
 
0
 
-1.97
 
0.00
 
India
222
 
286
 
5.67
 
2.28
 
0
 
0
 
-31.65
 
-0.50
 
15
 
8
 
-1.44
 
-3.15
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
156
 
205
 
6.75
 
2.19
 
1
 
1
 
3.16
 
-2.14
 
Iran
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
16
 
30
 
7.95
 
0.00
 
16
 
30
 
23.89
 
0.00
 
Japan
125
 
116
 
-3.52
 
-0.65
 
38
 
35
 
3.28
 
-0.54
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
3
 
2
 
-0.86
 
-1.79
 
16
 
23
 
8.70
 
1.59
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Korea
12
 
25
 
-1.45
 
8.94
 
21
 
19
 
14.11
 
-0.92
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
139
 
145
 
7.38
 
0.94
 
36
 
30
 
26.77
 
-0.93
 
Pakistan
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
44
 
63
 
22.06
 
3.37
 
1
 
1
 
0.12
 
-3.26
 
Philippines
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
149
 
202
 
5.66
 
1.49
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Saudi Arabia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
59
 
66
 
2.36
 
1.48
 
11
 
9
 
12.98
 
-1.45
 
Thailand
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
68
 
61
 
1.88
 
-0.43
 
6
 
9
 
20.55
 
0.43
 
Turkey
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
34
 
39
 
16.28
 
0.00
 
34
 
39
 
91.78
 
0.00
 
Viet Nam
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
45
 
68
 
1.77
 
4.14
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
OCEANIA
760
 
858
 
2.67
 
1.18
 
14
 
14
 
9.71
 
0.25
 
608
 
697
 
2.47
 
1.59
 
Australia
234
 
248
 
1.49
 
1.05
 
8
 
8
 
8.85
 
0.00
 
163
 
176
 
1.51
 
2.62
 
New Zealand
526
 
610
 
3.27
 
1.23
 
4
 
4
 
12.30
 
0.00
 
445
 
521
 
2.89
 
1.27
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
3 924
 
4 432
 
3.91
 
1.17
 
260
 
281
 
14.66
 
-0.38
 
2 071
 
2 555
 
8.05
 
1.75
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
581
 
731
 
3.63
 
2.22
 
1 987
 
2 506
 
6.35
 
1.85
 
237
 
292
 
9.97
 
0.08
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
102
 
144
 
10.40
 
2.74
 
3
 
2
 
4.62
 
-2.25
 
OECD 2
3 688
 
4 184
 
4.17
 
1.22
 
439
 
463
 
7.47
 
-0.07
 
1 992
 
2 497
 
8.86
 
1.67
 
BRICS
502
 
593
 
2.58
 
1.40
 
364
 
533
 
19.56
 
2.70
 
23
 
18
 
1.14
 
-0.67
 
..
Not available
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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