1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.20.2 - Protein meal projections: Consumption

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.20.2Protein meal projections: Consumption
A.20.2Protein meal projections: Consumption
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
324 656
 
400 216
 
4.24
 
1.56
 
NORTH AMERICA
42 141
 
48 674
 
2.12
 
1.31
 
Canada
2 653
 
2 791
 
-0.39
 
0.60
 
United States
39 488
 
45 883
 
2.31
 
1.36
 
LATIN AMERICA
37 732
 
48 812
 
3.40
 
1.72
 
Argentina
3 861
 
4 308
 
3.97
 
0.92
 
Brazil
17 498
 
23 122
 
2.90
 
1.35
 
Chile
1 516
 
1 844
 
5.59
 
2.25
 
Colombia
2 073
 
2 980
 
9.37
 
2.90
 
Mexico
6 487
 
8 093
 
3.29
 
1.85
 
Paraguay
669
 
993
 
5.85
 
2.07
 
EUROPE
64 479
 
65 836
 
1.76
 
0.02
 
European Union
54 345
 
53 613
 
0.89
 
-0.18
 
Russia
6 436
 
7 259
 
8.27
 
0.66
 
Ukraine
2 041
 
2 957
 
11.40
 
1.19
 
AFRICA
13 472
 
18 641
 
6.60
 
2.88
 
Egypt
3 242
 
4 453
 
7.47
 
3.30
 
Ethiopia
99
 
129
 
13.42
 
2.54
 
Nigeria
1 096
 
1 440
 
5.30
 
2.07
 
South Africa
2 185
 
2 834
 
4.23
 
2.52
 
ASIA
162 903
 
213 045
 
6.01
 
1.97
 
China 1
87 632
 
112 293
 
7.17
 
1.68
 
India
14 758
 
20 208
 
3.16
 
2.60
 
Indonesia
6 818
 
9 093
 
6.12
 
2.79
 
Iran
3 572
 
4 884
 
5.69
 
2.51
 
Japan
5 442
 
5 249
 
-0.89
 
-0.53
 
Kazakhstan
247
 
334
 
9.24
 
2.44
 
Korea
4 038
 
4 159
 
0.20
 
0.40
 
Malaysia
2 069
 
2 854
 
3.42
 
2.13
 
Pakistan
4 147
 
7 615
 
3.97
 
4.56
 
Philippines
3 471
 
4 932
 
6.75
 
2.65
 
Saudi Arabia
1 482
 
2 048
 
17.63
 
2.29
 
Thailand
5 851
 
7 730
 
4.18
 
2.05
 
Turkey
5 665
 
7 647
 
8.58
 
1.98
 
Viet Nam
7 176
 
10 907
 
12.11
 
3.76
 
OCEANIA
3 929
 
5 207
 
6.77
 
2.68
 
Australia
1 683
 
2 210
 
3.71
 
2.60
 
New Zealand
2 159
 
2 894
 
9.96
 
2.79
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
120 346
 
130 425
 
1.93
 
0.64
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
204 310
 
269 791
 
5.83
 
2.04
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
4 343
 
6 297
 
8.28
 
2.45
 
OECD 2
124 559
 
135 748
 
1.82
 
0.73
 
BRICS
128 509
 
165 717
 
5.99
 
1.70
 
Note: Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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