1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.28.1 - Poultry meat projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.28.1Poultry meat projections: Production and trade
A.28.1Poultry meat projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt rtc)
Growth (%) 3
IMPORTS (kt rtc)
Growth (%) 3
EXPORTS (kt rtc)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
118 083
 
139 016
 
3.03
 
1.33
 
12 459
 
15 716
 
2.34
 
1.99
 
12 455
 
15 820
 
2.75
 
1.97
 
NORTH AMERICA
22 297
 
25 354
 
1.19
 
0.95
 
342
 
362
 
1.86
 
1.03
 
3 408
 
4 560
 
-0.45
 
2.31
 
Canada
1 338
 
1 555
 
1.43
 
1.20
 
265
 
288
 
0.77
 
1.31
 
170
 
194
 
-1.18
 
1.08
 
United States
20 959
 
23 799
 
1.18
 
0.94
 
77
 
73
 
6.94
 
0.00
 
3 238
 
4 366
 
-0.41
 
2.36
 
LATIN AMERICA
25 303
 
29 867
 
2.91
 
1.31
 
2 047
 
2 577
 
5.22
 
1.46
 
4 628
 
5 878
 
1.27
 
2.06
 
Argentina
2 107
 
2 682
 
4.55
 
1.73
 
11
 
6
 
-6.86
 
1.78
 
166
 
407
 
-0.55
 
5.70
 
Brazil
13 393
 
15 585
 
2.98
 
1.02
 
4
 
3
 
15.71
 
0.00
 
4 251
 
5 299
 
1.30
 
1.95
 
Chile
716
 
807
 
2.22
 
1.30
 
135
 
186
 
17.65
 
2.18
 
143
 
105
 
3.64
 
-2.13
 
Colombia
1 470
 
1 762
 
5.28
 
1.69
 
82
 
148
 
7.44
 
2.87
 
4
 
3
 
-12.15
 
-0.28
 
Mexico
3 082
 
3 835
 
2.11
 
1.86
 
863
 
902
 
6.71
 
0.69
 
2
 
6
 
-11.51
 
6.91
 
Paraguay
19
 
16
 
-2.19
 
-2.18
 
26
 
35
 
6.11
 
2.78
 
2
 
2
 
1.30
 
-2.67
 
EUROPE
20 920
 
22 852
 
4.27
 
0.53
 
1 559
 
1 580
 
-5.17
 
-0.46
 
1 964
 
2 471
 
9.11
 
1.80
 
European Union
14 312
 
15 350
 
2.86
 
0.37
 
857
 
1 002
 
0.01
 
0.91
 
1 454
 
1 813
 
5.47
 
1.96
 
Russia
4 767
 
5 356
 
9.43
 
0.59
 
247
 
99
 
-16.41
 
-8.86
 
111
 
207
 
48.89
 
4.30
 
Ukraine
1 054
 
1 190
 
4.02
 
1.27
 
218
 
243
 
-3.07
 
-0.33
 
227
 
270
 
43.32
 
0.33
 
AFRICA
5 799
 
7 264
 
3.86
 
2.30
 
1 789
 
2 558
 
7.62
 
3.00
 
125
 
96
 
15.93
 
-1.92
 
Egypt
1 227
 
1 679
 
6.58
 
3.00
 
18
 
20
 
-7.64
 
2.58
 
2
 
1
 
-2.47
 
-3.50
 
Ethiopia
61
 
84
 
2.51
 
3.34
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Nigeria
292
 
348
 
2.19
 
1.99
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
South Africa
1 831
 
2 138
 
3.98
 
1.67
 
531
 
697
 
11.23
 
1.72
 
90
 
71
 
37.52
 
-1.55
 
ASIA
42 284
 
51 907
 
3.43
 
1.78
 
6 640
 
8 514
 
2.94
 
2.41
 
2 268
 
2 726
 
7.44
 
1.61
 
China 1
18 632
 
22 933
 
2.21
 
1.72
 
488
 
528
 
-4.75
 
1.77
 
406
 
502
 
4.07
 
1.65
 
India
3 086
 
4 343
 
5.66
 
2.88
 
0
 
0
 
-4.44
 
4.40
 
5
 
1
 
8.89
 
-11.11
 
Indonesia
2 071
 
2 565
 
5.09
 
2.05
 
3
 
10
 
3.33
 
10.03
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Iran
2 171
 
2 660
 
2.71
 
2.00
 
2
 
2
 
-27.01
 
-0.63
 
84
 
139
 
14.02
 
8.37
 
Japan
1 544
 
1 628
 
1.58
 
0.33
 
853
 
810
 
4.29
 
-1.45
 
9
 
13
 
3.02
 
3.35
 
Kazakhstan
160
 
206
 
11.32
 
2.20
 
145
 
213
 
1.66
 
3.22
 
1
 
1
 
-15.82
 
-0.32
 
Korea
874
 
952
 
5.15
 
1.08
 
144
 
200
 
6.75
 
2.98
 
22
 
4
 
-0.84
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
1 740
 
2 015
 
4.59
 
1.39
 
71
 
123
 
7.55
 
3.85
 
161
 
175
 
5.05
 
0.52
 
Pakistan
998
 
1 230
 
6.25
 
2.17
 
29
 
83
 
23.95
 
7.93
 
24
 
5
 
67.29
 
-13.38
 
Philippines
1 247
 
1 585
 
5.27
 
2.06
 
218
 
407
 
17.22
 
6.25
 
5
 
5
 
-2.16
 
-0.64
 
Saudi Arabia
646
 
844
 
2.38
 
2.30
 
920
 
1 057
 
5.85
 
1.69
 
71
 
62
 
41.74
 
-1.66
 
Thailand
2 080
 
2 618
 
7.48
 
1.74
 
6
 
6
 
10.20
 
0.64
 
969
 
1 304
 
6.30
 
2.13
 
Turkey
1 992
 
2 324
 
6.45
 
1.48
 
5
 
4
 
-3.61
 
0.24
 
401
 
415
 
18.57
 
0.72
 
Viet Nam
799
 
1 075
 
5.25
 
2.53
 
651
 
947
 
7.92
 
4.67
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
OCEANIA
1 480
 
1 773
 
4.32
 
1.63
 
81
 
124
 
7.33
 
3.57
 
61
 
89
 
7.50
 
1.36
 
Australia
1 242
 
1 509
 
4.24
 
1.87
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
41
 
74
 
3.51
 
4.18
 
New Zealand
212
 
235
 
5.21
 
0.29
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
20
 
15
 
24.45
 
-6.62
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
48 947
 
54 763
 
2.66
 
0.81
 
3 639
 
3 904
 
-0.47
 
0.14
 
5 550
 
7 216
 
2.47
 
2.05
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
69 136
 
84 253
 
3.31
 
1.69
 
8 820
 
11 812
 
3.78
 
2.68
 
6 905
 
8 604
 
2.98
 
1.91
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
2 646
 
3 273
 
5.30
 
2.14
 
843
 
1 405
 
7.32
 
4.15
 
19
 
15
 
6.37
 
-1.99
 
OECD 2
47 017
 
52 876
 
2.11
 
0.88
 
3 261
 
3 544
 
3.58
 
0.45
 
5 515
 
7 006
 
1.84
 
2.00
 
BRICS
41 711
 
50 356
 
3.43
 
1.46
 
1 270
 
1 328
 
-5.26
 
0.35
 
4 863
 
6 081
 
2.07
 
1.94
 
..
Not available
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 September for New Zealand.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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