1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.28.2 - Poultry meat projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.28.2Poultry meat projections: Consumption, food
A.28.2Poultry meat projections: Consumption, food
  Calendar year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt rtc)
Growth (%) 3
FOOD (kg rwe/cap) 4
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
118 018
 
138 921
 
2.98
 
1.34
 
13.9
 
14.7
 
1.77
 
0.36
 
NORTH AMERICA
19 177
 
21 155
 
1.48
 
0.68
 
47.1
 
48.0
 
0.71
 
-0.04
 
Canada
1 429
 
1 649
 
1.62
 
1.23
 
34.7
 
36.5
 
0.59
 
0.41
 
United States
17 747
 
19 507
 
1.47
 
0.63
 
48.5
 
49.3
 
0.72
 
-0.07
 
LATIN AMERICA
22 722
 
26 566
 
3.47
 
1.17
 
31.4
 
33.3
 
2.31
 
0.31
 
Argentina
1 952
 
2 281
 
5.01
 
1.16
 
39.2
 
41.6
 
3.94
 
0.30
 
Brazil
9 146
 
10 289
 
3.83
 
0.57
 
38.8
 
40.7
 
2.89
 
-0.03
 
Chile
708
 
888
 
3.67
 
1.98
 
34.8
 
40.4
 
2.76
 
1.30
 
Colombia
1 547
 
1 907
 
5.49
 
1.78
 
28.0
 
32.0
 
4.46
 
1.13
 
Mexico
3 943
 
4 731
 
3.00
 
1.62
 
27.2
 
29.0
 
1.55
 
0.55
 
Paraguay
43
 
48
 
1.96
 
1.19
 
5.6
 
5.6
 
0.62
 
0.06
 
EUROPE
20 525
 
21 961
 
2.86
 
0.32
 
24.3
 
26.0
 
2.75
 
0.34
 
European Union
13 715
 
14 539
 
2.43
 
0.23
 
23.7
 
25.0
 
2.26
 
0.17
 
Russia
4 914
 
5 248
 
4.99
 
0.16
 
30.0
 
32.6
 
4.90
 
0.33
 
Ukraine
1 046
 
1 163
 
-0.20
 
1.14
 
20.7
 
24.4
 
0.29
 
1.67
 
AFRICA
7 463
 
9 726
 
4.54
 
2.53
 
5.4
 
5.4
 
1.88
 
0.14
 
Egypt
1 243
 
1 697
 
6.15
 
3.00
 
11.4
 
13.0
 
3.93
 
1.37
 
Ethiopia
61
 
84
 
2.45
 
3.34
 
0.5
 
0.6
 
-0.16
 
1.05
 
Nigeria
292
 
348
 
1.78
 
1.99
 
1.4
 
1.2
 
-0.89
 
-0.54
 
South Africa
2 271
 
2 764
 
4.79
 
1.78
 
35.7
 
38.7
 
3.40
 
0.75
 
ASIA
46 631
 
57 704
 
3.19
 
1.88
 
9.2
 
10.5
 
2.12
 
1.14
 
China 1
18 715
 
22 959
 
1.92
 
1.72
 
11.7
 
14.0
 
1.38
 
1.51
 
India
3 081
 
4 343
 
5.66
 
2.89
 
2.0
 
2.6
 
4.36
 
1.90
 
Indonesia
2 074
 
2 575
 
5.08
 
2.07
 
7.0
 
7.8
 
3.78
 
1.16
 
Iran
2 089
 
2 523
 
2.21
 
1.75
 
22.9
 
25.3
 
0.97
 
1.00
 
Japan
2 368
 
2 436
 
2.40
 
-0.22
 
16.3
 
17.4
 
2.49
 
0.13
 
Kazakhstan
304
 
417
 
5.82
 
2.71
 
14.9
 
18.5
 
4.25
 
1.83
 
Korea
996
 
1 148
 
5.39
 
1.39
 
17.3
 
19.3
 
4.96
 
1.11
 
Malaysia
1 650
 
1 962
 
4.66
 
1.61
 
46.6
 
48.3
 
2.86
 
0.38
 
Pakistan
1 003
 
1 307
 
6.26
 
2.60
 
4.6
 
4.9
 
4.08
 
0.87
 
Philippines
1 459
 
1 986
 
6.52
 
2.80
 
12.4
 
14.5
 
4.81
 
1.37
 
Saudi Arabia
1 495
 
1 838
 
3.68
 
2.10
 
40.8
 
42.3
 
0.91
 
0.65
 
Thailand
1 113
 
1 319
 
8.74
 
1.37
 
14.2
 
16.7
 
8.29
 
1.28
 
Turkey
1 595
 
1 913
 
4.50
 
1.65
 
17.7
 
19.4
 
2.90
 
1.02
 
Viet Nam
1 449
 
2 022
 
6.01
 
3.48
 
13.5
 
17.1
 
4.86
 
2.59
 
OCEANIA
1 501
 
1 808
 
4.34
 
1.76
 
33.6
 
35.2
 
2.72
 
0.50
 
Australia
1 201
 
1 436
 
4.27
 
1.76
 
43.8
 
46.1
 
2.73
 
0.63
 
New Zealand
192
 
220
 
4.12
 
0.99
 
36.2
 
38.0
 
3.01
 
0.18
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
46 971
 
51 462
 
2.38
 
0.60
 
29.4
 
31.1
 
1.96
 
0.31
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
71 047
 
87 458
 
3.40
 
1.80
 
10.3
 
11.2
 
2.00
 
0.67
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
3 470
 
4 663
 
5.84
 
2.72
 
3.8
 
4.0
 
3.37
 
0.45
 
OECD 2
44 688
 
49 424
 
2.22
 
0.71
 
29.8
 
31.4
 
1.65
 
0.31
 
BRICS
38 127
 
45 603
 
3.17
 
1.37
 
10.7
 
12.0
 
2.31
 
0.80
 
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 September for New Zealand.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
4.
Per capita consumption expressed in retail weight. Carcass weight to retail weight conversion factors of 0.7 for beef and veal, 0.78 for pigmeat and 0.88 for both sheep meat and poultry meat.
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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