1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.19.1 - Other oilseed projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.19.1Other oilseed projections: Production and trade
A.19.1Other oilseed projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 3
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 3
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
146 793
 
172 994
 
3.10
 
1.55
 
20 134
 
23 758
 
4.33
 
1.15
 
20 150
 
23 758
 
4.57
 
1.15
 
NORTH AMERICA
24 322
 
26 787
 
5.63
 
0.67
 
949
 
1 163
 
0.00
 
0.36
 
11 669
 
13 182
 
5.07
 
0.64
 
Canada
19 824
 
22 000
 
6.24
 
0.69
 
246
 
251
 
-1.74
 
0.10
 
10 975
 
12 143
 
5.26
 
0.74
 
United States
4 498
 
4 787
 
3.31
 
0.58
 
703
 
912
 
0.73
 
0.44
 
694
 
1 039
 
2.44
 
-0.41
 
LATIN AMERICA
5 871
 
7 723
 
1.97
 
1.93
 
1 703
 
2 075
 
1.66
 
1.83
 
1 075
 
1 187
 
7.30
 
1.65
 
Argentina
4 356
 
5 906
 
2.58
 
2.04
 
1
 
1
 
-8.96
 
0.00
 
884
 
936
 
11.94
 
1.64
 
Brazil
433
 
553
 
2.98
 
2.12
 
5
 
5
 
-9.50
 
0.00
 
68
 
62
 
8.24
 
0.31
 
Chile
88
 
105
 
0.87
 
1.53
 
14
 
9
 
-5.87
 
-3.22
 
3
 
4
 
-1.24
 
2.05
 
Colombia
2
 
3
 
0.00
 
1.92
 
7
 
7
 
0.00
 
-0.02
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Mexico
112
 
115
 
4.16
 
0.51
 
1 651
 
2 037
 
1.94
 
1.91
 
3
 
3
 
12.70
 
0.00
 
Paraguay
255
 
308
 
-0.59
 
1.46
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
32
 
55
 
-11.10
 
3.49
 
EUROPE
58 624
 
70 276
 
3.65
 
1.94
 
5 765
 
4 750
 
4.19
 
-0.65
 
2 946
 
4 590
 
-1.55
 
3.59
 
European Union
29 770
 
30 390
 
1.58
 
0.34
 
5 472
 
4 470
 
4.03
 
-0.73
 
660
 
666
 
1.09
 
-1.31
 
Russia
11 825
 
13 922
 
6.64
 
2.22
 
194
 
169
 
7.71
 
0.69
 
236
 
141
 
3.80
 
-0.68
 
Ukraine
15 233
 
23 642
 
6.46
 
4.31
 
31
 
33
 
11.07
 
-0.16
 
1 537
 
2 960
 
-4.62
 
5.66
 
AFRICA
8 185
 
9 946
 
1.87
 
1.75
 
373
 
402
 
6.49
 
0.16
 
158
 
176
 
-5.10
 
-2.96
 
Egypt
152
 
185
 
-0.50
 
1.83
 
71
 
88
 
9.58
 
1.57
 
8
 
5
 
-9.65
 
-1.40
 
Ethiopia
26
 
32
 
0.00
 
2.34
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Nigeria
2 120
 
2 701
 
0.47
 
2.07
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
42
 
62
 
-11.84
 
-4.93
 
South Africa
940
 
1 078
 
1.17
 
1.20
 
57
 
19
 
5.73
 
-6.87
 
4
 
0
 
-31.90
 
..
 
ASIA
46 509
 
54 369
 
1.52
 
1.50
 
11 320
 
15 342
 
5.21
 
1.77
 
1 938
 
1 701
 
11.22
 
0.31
 
China 1
29 178
 
32 280
 
2.19
 
1.03
 
4 618
 
8 036
 
10.80
 
3.47
 
631
 
627
 
2.85
 
-0.13
 
India
10 726
 
13 974
 
-0.74
 
2.56
 
262
 
270
 
6.25
 
-4.94
 
532
 
300
 
13.00
 
2.59
 
Indonesia
647
 
745
 
-1.97
 
1.15
 
256
 
246
 
3.96
 
-0.74
 
1
 
1
 
-2.74
 
0.06
 
Iran
252
 
242
 
-1.33
 
-0.47
 
209
 
410
 
52.26
 
2.66
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
-0.24
 
Japan
23
 
26
 
1.60
 
0.92
 
2 508
 
2 516
 
0.85
 
0.06
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
827
 
1 138
 
11.97
 
2.43
 
7
 
7
 
-11.62
 
0.06
 
293
 
281
 
35.05
 
-0.05
 
Korea
13
 
13
 
2.60
 
0.00
 
31
 
31
 
-0.80
 
0.08
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Malaysia
5
 
6
 
3.32
 
1.30
 
44
 
46
 
2.40
 
0.69
 
3
 
3
 
2.12
 
-0.68
 
Pakistan
852
 
967
 
0.01
 
1.54
 
1 174
 
1 287
 
6.79
 
1.37
 
2
 
5
 
-30.09
 
-0.12
 
Philippines
20
 
23
 
0.55
 
1.26
 
61
 
69
 
2.56
 
1.22
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Saudi Arabia
3
 
3
 
0.00
 
-0.22
 
4
 
4
 
0.00
 
0.91
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Thailand
90
 
107
 
-0.27
 
1.47
 
53
 
44
 
5.58
 
-2.34
 
4
 
4
 
11.45
 
1.71
 
Turkey
1 753
 
2 302
 
8.40
 
1.75
 
720
 
764
 
-0.97
 
-1.57
 
50
 
55
 
9.56
 
0.88
 
Viet Nam
335
 
382
 
-0.66
 
1.37
 
26
 
29
 
123.61
 
0.22
 
40
 
43
 
4.98
 
-0.22
 
OCEANIA
3 281
 
3 892
 
5.86
 
0.64
 
25
 
25
 
-0.54
 
0.00
 
2 363
 
2 921
 
9.21
 
0.70
 
Australia
3 269
 
3 879
 
5.89
 
0.64
 
21
 
20
 
1.04
 
0.00
 
2 363
 
2 921
 
9.21
 
0.70
 
New Zealand
10
 
10
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
4
 
4
 
-5.19
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
88 203
 
103 424
 
4.26
 
1.54
 
9 565
 
8 764
 
2.90
 
-0.30
 
17 305
 
21 007
 
4.13
 
1.21
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
58 590
 
69 570
 
1.52
 
1.58
 
10 569
 
14 994
 
5.67
 
2.09
 
2 845
 
2 750
 
7.68
 
0.67
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
5 356
 
6 467
 
1.92
 
1.77
 
143
 
289
 
-4.65
 
6.28
 
85
 
91
 
6.83
 
-2.22
 
OECD 2
59 502
 
63 778
 
3.49
 
0.54
 
11 527
 
11 145
 
2.24
 
-0.05
 
14 764
 
16 854
 
5.39
 
0.57
 
BRICS
53 103
 
61 807
 
2.33
 
1.63
 
5 134
 
8 499
 
10.21
 
2.95
 
1 470
 
1 131
 
5.14
 
0.46
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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