1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.19.2 - Other oilseed projections: Consumption, domestic crush

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.19.2Other oilseed projections: Consumption, domestic crush
A.19.2Other oilseed projections: Consumption, domestic crush
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 3
DOMESTIC CRUSH (kt)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
147 068
 
172 955
 
3.20
 
1.54
 
124 603
 
148 768
 
3.41
 
1.64
 
NORTH AMERICA
13 732
 
14 778
 
6.02
 
0.67
 
11 572
 
12 492
 
6.66
 
0.67
 
Canada
9 281
 
10 113
 
7.87
 
0.61
 
8 778
 
9 670
 
7.73
 
0.60
 
United States
4 451
 
4 664
 
3.03
 
0.80
 
2 794
 
2 821
 
4.09
 
0.89
 
LATIN AMERICA
6 499
 
8 610
 
0.90
 
1.95
 
6 025
 
8 026
 
0.80
 
1.97
 
Argentina
3 477
 
4 971
 
0.40
 
2.11
 
3 354
 
4 801
 
0.13
 
2.12
 
Brazil
370
 
495
 
2.00
 
2.45
 
307
 
409
 
1.46
 
2.36
 
Chile
99
 
109
 
-0.29
 
1.04
 
91
 
99
 
-0.40
 
0.98
 
Colombia
9
 
10
 
0.00
 
0.49
 
8
 
8
 
0.00
 
0.61
 
Mexico
1 758
 
2 149
 
2.05
 
1.83
 
1 638
 
2 028
 
2.39
 
1.93
 
Paraguay
223
 
253
 
3.97
 
1.15
 
186
 
207
 
4.16
 
0.93
 
EUROPE
61 408
 
70 429
 
4.20
 
1.62
 
56 245
 
64 832
 
4.39
 
1.69
 
European Union
34 442
 
34 195
 
2.10
 
0.16
 
31 819
 
31 556
 
2.16
 
0.16
 
Russia
11 863
 
13 950
 
6.82
 
2.25
 
11 242
 
13 113
 
7.47
 
2.21
 
Ukraine
13 720
 
20 707
 
9.10
 
4.13
 
12 477
 
19 353
 
9.21
 
4.41
 
AFRICA
8 430
 
10 170
 
2.32
 
1.79
 
4 621
 
5 374
 
2.98
 
1.33
 
Egypt
216
 
268
 
2.53
 
1.82
 
133
 
159
 
4.02
 
1.28
 
Ethiopia
26
 
32
 
0.00
 
2.34
 
17
 
23
 
0.00
 
2.90
 
Nigeria
2 083
 
2 638
 
0.88
 
2.28
 
729
 
904
 
0.88
 
1.94
 
South Africa
1 017
 
1 096
 
2.30
 
0.96
 
917
 
988
 
2.41
 
0.95
 
ASIA
56 057
 
67 972
 
2.07
 
1.60
 
45 264
 
57 116
 
2.10
 
1.81
 
China 1
33 410
 
39 690
 
3.21
 
1.50
 
26 027
 
32 842
 
3.20
 
1.83
 
India
10 321
 
13 911
 
-0.90
 
2.34
 
8 975
 
12 276
 
-0.82
 
2.46
 
Indonesia
911
 
990
 
-0.55
 
0.65
 
302
 
385
 
2.87
 
1.38
 
Iran
458
 
651
 
6.77
 
1.41
 
431
 
624
 
7.45
 
1.45
 
Japan
2 531
 
2 542
 
0.70
 
0.07
 
2 505
 
2 522
 
0.74
 
0.09
 
Kazakhstan
549
 
861
 
5.49
 
3.44
 
424
 
682
 
4.98
 
3.82
 
Korea
44
 
44
 
-0.15
 
0.06
 
39
 
40
 
-0.07
 
0.06
 
Malaysia
46
 
50
 
2.51
 
0.84
 
45
 
48
 
2.44
 
0.78
 
Pakistan
2 057
 
2 248
 
3.88
 
1.44
 
1 882
 
2 032
 
4.04
 
1.34
 
Philippines
80
 
92
 
2.13
 
1.24
 
68
 
78
 
2.39
 
1.34
 
Saudi Arabia
7
 
7
 
0.00
 
0.47
 
5
 
5
 
0.00
 
0.45
 
Thailand
140
 
146
 
1.38
 
0.16
 
84
 
94
 
2.96
 
0.67
 
Turkey
2 434
 
3 009
 
4.87
 
0.86
 
2 232
 
2 761
 
4.51
 
0.79
 
Viet Nam
321
 
367
 
-0.37
 
1.50
 
203
 
226
 
0.33
 
1.21
 
OCEANIA
943
 
995
 
0.66
 
0.45
 
876
 
928
 
0.34
 
0.49
 
Australia
927
 
979
 
0.71
 
0.46
 
865
 
916
 
0.35
 
0.49
 
New Zealand
14
 
14
 
-2.23
 
0.00
 
11
 
11
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
80 590
 
91 179
 
4.31
 
1.40
 
72 895
 
82 854
 
4.51
 
1.47
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
66 478
 
81 776
 
1.97
 
1.70
 
51 708
 
65 914
 
2.00
 
1.86
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
5 420
 
6 665
 
1.69
 
2.00
 
3 101
 
3 756
 
2.24
 
1.77
 
OECD 2
56 265
 
58 078
 
2.96
 
0.39
 
50 928
 
52 546
 
3.03
 
0.38
 
BRICS
56 982
 
69 142
 
2.94
 
1.81
 
47 468
 
59 628
 
3.12
 
2.03
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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