1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

English Italian, Spanish, Chinese, French

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.14.2 - Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.14.2Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food
A.14.2Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 3
FEED (kt)
Growth (%) 3
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
1 037 043
 
1 200 684
 
3.31
 
1.20
 
578 823
 
698 507
 
3.11
 
1.57
 
17.7
 
19.4
 
0.65
 
0.76
 
NORTH AMERICA
323 265
 
351 941
 
1.93
 
0.48
 
144 072
 
165 737
 
1.11
 
1.08
 
19.0
 
18.6
 
-0.17
 
-0.26
 
Canada
12 799
 
14 405
 
1.15
 
0.51
 
7 174
 
8 806
 
-0.16
 
0.89
 
44.3
 
40.9
 
-0.96
 
-0.84
 
United States
310 466
 
337 536
 
1.97
 
0.48
 
136 898
 
156 931
 
1.18
 
1.09
 
16.1
 
16.0
 
0.03
 
-0.10
 
LATIN AMERICA
141 851
 
175 076
 
3.75
 
1.71
 
91 955
 
117 868
 
3.79
 
2.02
 
51.1
 
52.9
 
0.33
 
0.33
 
Argentina
17 635
 
23 832
 
11.95
 
2.65
 
12 110
 
17 208
 
13.57
 
3.27
 
34.9
 
36.6
 
2.33
 
0.19
 
Brazil
57 995
 
71 123
 
3.34
 
1.63
 
43 679
 
54 907
 
2.49
 
1.86
 
24.1
 
24.7
 
0.39
 
0.20
 
Chile
2 497
 
2 942
 
1.58
 
1.93
 
1 833
 
2 223
 
1.15
 
2.33
 
21.2
 
20.9
 
0.81
 
-0.17
 
Colombia
6 173
 
7 870
 
3.81
 
1.84
 
4 196
 
5 695
 
5.06
 
2.32
 
39.5
 
40.3
 
0.35
 
0.02
 
Mexico
36 629
 
43 332
 
2.85
 
1.08
 
18 467
 
22 561
 
4.65
 
1.02
 
130.8
 
133.5
 
-0.29
 
0.21
 
Paraguay
1 369
 
1 718
 
8.50
 
2.16
 
443
 
571
 
17.92
 
2.20
 
55.6
 
61.3
 
1.33
 
0.99
 
EUROPE
97 757
 
103 899
 
2.14
 
0.83
 
73 965
 
76 927
 
2.14
 
0.45
 
8.2
 
8.3
 
0.19
 
0.21
 
European Union
74 348
 
77 059
 
1.90
 
0.65
 
55 276
 
55 277
 
1.91
 
0.03
 
9.5
 
9.8
 
0.09
 
0.27
 
Russia
8 296
 
11 015
 
10.56
 
1.70
 
6 284
 
8 704
 
10.13
 
2.11
 
1.4
 
1.5
 
4.30
 
0.58
 
Ukraine
7 581
 
8 768
 
2.43
 
1.60
 
5 968
 
6 994
 
3.28
 
1.75
 
10.7
 
11.6
 
-0.16
 
0.64
 
AFRICA
94 591
 
123 687
 
4.35
 
2.35
 
33 414
 
41 599
 
5.89
 
2.18
 
40.7
 
43.4
 
0.65
 
0.42
 
Egypt
16 435
 
20 727
 
3.83
 
2.20
 
12 035
 
15 612
 
5.03
 
2.51
 
41.5
 
40.5
 
-0.75
 
-0.11
 
Ethiopia
7 176
 
9 219
 
8.29
 
2.46
 
1 300
 
931
 
20.12
 
0.02
 
46.3
 
54.7
 
2.67
 
0.90
 
Nigeria
10 983
 
13 788
 
5.85
 
1.90
 
2 133
 
2 115
 
15.37
 
0.53
 
35.6
 
36.5
 
1.32
 
0.10
 
South Africa
11 444
 
13 532
 
1.43
 
1.50
 
5 366
 
6 751
 
1.63
 
2.53
 
87.5
 
83.6
 
-0.31
 
-0.40
 
ASIA
378 882
 
445 297
 
4.54
 
1.36
 
234 935
 
295 817
 
4.23
 
1.90
 
8.2
 
8.6
 
-0.14
 
0.31
 
China 1
227 797
 
257 482
 
4.78
 
1.14
 
139 667
 
171 389
 
4.04
 
1.89
 
6.1
 
6.1
 
-2.10
 
0.01
 
India
24 800
 
32 419
 
6.24
 
2.33
 
9 731
 
14 407
 
10.09
 
3.62
 
6.8
 
7.3
 
-0.34
 
0.18
 
Indonesia
23 297
 
29 093
 
4.11
 
1.86
 
8 867
 
13 648
 
6.73
 
2.39
 
28.8
 
29.5
 
0.43
 
0.28
 
Iran
7 763
 
10 907
 
5.81
 
2.06
 
7 538
 
10 639
 
5.97
 
2.06
 
0.9
 
0.9
 
-1.21
 
0.05
 
Japan
14 929
 
14 946
 
-1.16
 
-0.09
 
11 312
 
11 148
 
-1.15
 
-0.22
 
0.8
 
0.8
 
0.07
 
-0.85
 
Kazakhstan
637
 
612
 
5.92
 
1.87
 
533
 
485
 
4.57
 
1.97
 
0.6
 
0.6
 
2.32
 
0.97
 
Korea
10 119
 
11 063
 
3.45
 
0.21
 
7 814
 
8 658
 
3.57
 
0.15
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
-0.20
 
0.01
 
Malaysia
3 664
 
4 773
 
3.48
 
1.67
 
3 494
 
4 597
 
3.66
 
1.73
 
1.6
 
1.5
 
-0.84
 
-0.83
 
Pakistan
5 507
 
6 852
 
6.81
 
1.63
 
2 533
 
3 382
 
7.97
 
2.22
 
8.1
 
8.2
 
1.47
 
-0.21
 
Philippines
7 794
 
10 015
 
1.19
 
2.35
 
5 090
 
6 507
 
-0.13
 
2.59
 
18.5
 
20.0
 
1.37
 
0.78
 
Saudi Arabia
3 800
 
5 625
 
9.11
 
1.95
 
3 594
 
5 403
 
8.55
 
2.00
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
-2.57
 
-1.00
 
Thailand
4 341
 
5 475
 
0.31
 
1.92
 
4 002
 
5 135
 
0.61
 
2.04
 
1.2
 
1.1
 
-0.42
 
-0.09
 
Turkey
7 253
 
8 826
 
6.91
 
1.25
 
5 370
 
7 014
 
8.36
 
1.68
 
16.1
 
15.7
 
0.69
 
-0.03
 
Viet Nam
13 573
 
18 868
 
13.12
 
2.70
 
10 367
 
15 071
 
11.62
 
2.98
 
6.6
 
8.2
 
3.22
 
1.62
 
OCEANIA
697
 
784
 
3.48
 
2.34
 
482
 
559
 
3.38
 
3.31
 
2.4
 
2.2
 
-1.26
 
-0.70
 
Australia
331
 
425
 
0.43
 
2.85
 
138
 
223
 
-3.43
 
6.00
 
3.2
 
3.0
 
-1.08
 
-0.61
 
New Zealand
353
 
345
 
7.66
 
1.80
 
339
 
329
 
8.01
 
1.87
 
1.5
 
1.5
 
-1.06
 
0.00
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
451 914
 
489 385
 
1.86
 
0.58
 
238 573
 
264 910
 
1.35
 
0.88
 
12.9
 
13.1
 
0.17
 
0.11
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
585 129
 
711 300
 
4.57
 
1.65
 
340 250
 
433 596
 
4.53
 
2.01
 
18.8
 
20.7
 
0.68
 
0.80
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
37 360
 
51 247
 
4.76
 
2.54
 
8 084
 
10 281
 
8.09
 
1.44
 
27.8
 
32.0
 
0.89
 
1.11
 
OECD 2
471 534
 
512 850
 
1.98
 
0.56
 
246 347
 
275 056
 
1.61
 
0.80
 
23.0
 
24.2
 
0.34
 
0.50
 
BRICS
330 331
 
385 570
 
4.59
 
1.35
 
204 727
 
256 157
 
3.98
 
2.00
 
8.8
 
9.1
 
-0.65
 
0.15
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error