1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

English Italian, Spanish, Chinese, French

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.22 - Main policy assumptions for oilseed markets

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.22Main policy assumptions for oilseed markets
A.22Main policy assumptions for oilseed markets
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
‌2026‌
‌2027‌
ARGENTINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Export tax
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean
%
30.2
 
21.0
 
18.0
 
18.0
 
18.0
 
18.0
 
18.0
 
18.0
 
18.0
 
18.0
 
18.0
 
Other oilseeds
%
11.2
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Soybean meal
%
27.3
 
18.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
Soybean oil
%
27.3
 
18.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
AUSTRALIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean oil
%
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
Rapeseed oil
%
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
CANADA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Rapeseed oil
%
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
EUROPEAN UNION 1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Voluntary coupled support
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean
mln EUR
146
 
23
 
24
 
25
 
25
 
25
 
26
 
26
 
26
 
27
 
27
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean oil
%
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
Rapeseed oil
%
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
JAPAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New output payments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean
JPY/kg
168.5
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
154.2
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean oil
JPY/kg
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
Rapeseed oil
JPY/kg
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
KOREA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean tariff-quota
kt
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
In-quota tariff
%
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
Soybean (for food) mark up
'000 KRW/t
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
MEXICO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean
%
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
Soybean meal
%
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
Soybean oil
%
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
UNITED STATES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ARC participation rate
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean
%
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
96.9
 
Soybean loan rate
USD/t
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Rapeseed
%
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
Soybean meal
%
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
Rapeseed meal
%
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
Soybean oil
%
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
Rapeseed oil
%
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
CHINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean
%
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
Soybean meal
%
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
Soybean oil in-quota tariff
%
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
Vegetable oil tariff-quota
kt
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
INDIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
Rapeseed tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
Soybean meal tariff
%
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
Soybean oil tariff
%
10.8
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
12.5
 
INDONESIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Protein meal tariff
%
1.7
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
PAKISTAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Protein meal tariff
%
10.7
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
11.0
 
VIET NAM
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Protein meal tariff
%
0.7
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
The sources for tariffs and Tariff Rate Quotas are the national questionnaire reply, UNCTAD and WTO.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Since 2015 the Basic payment scheme (BPS) holds, which shall account for 68% maximum of the national direct payment envelopes. On top of this, compulsory policy instruments have been introduced: the Green Payment (30%) and young farmer scheme (2%).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error