1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.44 - Main policy assumptions for cotton markets

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.44Main policy assumptions for cotton markets
A.44Main policy assumptions for cotton markets
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
‌2026‌
‌2027‌
ARGENTINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Export tax equivalent of export barriers
%
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
BRAZIL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Producer Minimum Price, lint cotton
BRL/t
3 959.0
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
4 964.5
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
EUROPEAN UNION
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Area for coupled payment
kha
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
Coupled payment per ha 1
EUR/ha
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
JAPAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
KOREA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
MEXICO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
RUSSIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
UNITED STATES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
STAX participation rate
%
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
95.0
 
CRP area
Mha
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
Economic Adjustment Assistance payment level
USD/t
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
TRQ
kt
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
In-quota tariff
USD/t
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
USD/t
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
CHINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TRQ
kt
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
If the area is higher than the ceiling, the amount is proportionally reduced.
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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