1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

English Italian, Spanish, Chinese, French

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.39.2 - Fish and seafood projections: Reduction, food consumption

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.39.2Fish and seafood projections: Reduction, food consumption
A.39.2Fish and seafood projections: Reduction, food consumption
  Calendar year
‌‌
REDUCTION (kt)
Growth (%) 3
FOOD CONS. (kt)
Growth (%) 3
FOOD CONS. (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
14 304
 
14 173
 
-2.86
 
-0.29
 
153 230
 
177 343
 
3.02
 
1.23
 
20.5
 
21.3
 
1.81
 
0.26
 
NORTH AMERICA
800
 
891
 
-1.50
 
0.09
 
8 400
 
9 120
 
1.74
 
0.66
 
23.4
 
23.5
 
0.97
 
-0.06
 
Canada
18
 
38
 
-11.75
 
0.28
 
835
 
918
 
1.38
 
0.57
 
23.0
 
23.1
 
0.35
 
-0.24
 
United States
782
 
853
 
-1.10
 
0.08
 
7 564
 
8 202
 
1.78
 
0.66
 
23.5
 
23.6
 
1.04
 
-0.04
 
LATIN AMERICA
4 779
 
5 086
 
-8.90
 
-1.04
 
6 697
 
8 329
 
2.67
 
2.07
 
10.5
 
11.9
 
1.52
 
1.21
 
Argentina
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
276
 
271
 
0.14
 
0.59
 
6.3
 
5.6
 
-0.88
 
-0.26
 
Brazil
49
 
44
 
-1.08
 
-1.56
 
1 851
 
2 530
 
2.73
 
3.26
 
8.9
 
11.4
 
1.80
 
2.64
 
Chile
1 136
 
1 279
 
-11.43
 
-1.15
 
277
 
311
 
1.21
 
0.76
 
15.4
 
16.1
 
0.32
 
0.08
 
Colombia
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
355
 
459
 
4.94
 
2.65
 
7.3
 
8.8
 
3.91
 
1.99
 
Mexico
143
 
291
 
-13.69
 
-0.59
 
1 889
 
2 290
 
4.31
 
1.89
 
14.8
 
15.9
 
2.85
 
0.82
 
Paraguay
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
30
 
30
 
3.04
 
0.00
 
4.4
 
3.9
 
1.68
 
-1.11
 
Peru
3 189
 
3 251
 
-8.12
 
-1.15
 
713
 
825
 
1.44
 
1.76
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
EUROPE
2 483
 
1 789
 
1.46
 
-1.36
 
15 804
 
16 598
 
0.01
 
0.47
 
21.3
 
22.4
 
-0.10
 
0.49
 
European Union
656
 
394
 
-2.69
 
-3.59
 
11 668
 
12 348
 
0.78
 
0.57
 
23.0
 
24.1
 
0.62
 
0.51
 
Norway
795
 
548
 
5.92
 
0.00
 
260
 
301
 
0.21
 
1.46
 
49.5
 
51.7
 
-0.99
 
0.54
 
Russia
418
 
242
 
3.35
 
-3.16
 
2 842
 
2 903
 
-1.51
 
0.21
 
19.7
 
20.5
 
-1.60
 
0.37
 
Ukraine
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
503
 
523
 
-6.07
 
-0.27
 
11.3
 
12.5
 
-5.61
 
0.25
 
AFRICA
707
 
942
 
-0.18
 
1.84
 
12 074
 
15 232
 
3.21
 
2.06
 
9.9
 
9.6
 
0.58
 
-0.32
 
Egypt
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
2 206
 
2 853
 
5.88
 
2.33
 
23.0
 
24.9
 
3.66
 
0.71
 
Ethiopia
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
46
 
63
 
15.53
 
2.90
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
12.58
 
0.62
 
Morocco
163
 
236
 
-5.96
 
0.97
 
720
 
894
 
8.75
 
1.66
 
20.4
 
22.4
 
7.25
 
0.58
 
Nigeria
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
1 819
 
2 175
 
-2.66
 
1.41
 
9.8
 
8.9
 
-5.21
 
-1.10
 
South Africa
312
 
437
 
1.64
 
3.11
 
420
 
527
 
4.89
 
1.64
 
7.5
 
8.4
 
3.50
 
0.61
 
ASIA
5 420
 
5 345
 
3.07
 
0.31
 
109 218
 
126 787
 
3.65
 
1.22
 
24.5
 
26.1
 
2.58
 
0.48
 
China 1
2 050
 
2 001
 
3.55
 
-0.18
 
59 511
 
69 110
 
4.80
 
1.22
 
42.4
 
48.0
 
4.25
 
1.02
 
India
523
 
650
 
8.13
 
0.00
 
8 890
 
10 596
 
3.94
 
1.27
 
6.7
 
7.2
 
2.66
 
0.29
 
Indonesia
18
 
30
 
-6.55
 
0.00
 
9 395
 
12 023
 
6.14
 
2.07
 
36.0
 
41.6
 
4.83
 
1.15
 
Iran
94
 
88
 
4.17
 
-1.54
 
983
 
1 261
 
8.68
 
1.82
 
12.2
 
14.4
 
7.36
 
1.07
 
Japan
737
 
417
 
-0.64
 
-2.95
 
6 102
 
5 702
 
-1.90
 
-0.39
 
47.8
 
46.3
 
-1.81
 
-0.04
 
Kazakhstan
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
68
 
85
 
-1.90
 
1.49
 
3.8
 
4.2
 
-3.35
 
0.62
 
Korea
80
 
80
 
-5.08
 
0.00
 
2 970
 
3 303
 
0.63
 
0.57
 
58.5
 
63.0
 
0.22
 
0.29
 
Malaysia
121
 
68
 
-2.47
 
-4.64
 
1 860
 
2 076
 
1.82
 
0.73
 
59.6
 
58.1
 
0.07
 
-0.49
 
Pakistan
135
 
94
 
3.09
 
-2.38
 
382
 
396
 
2.15
 
-0.33
 
2.0
 
1.7
 
0.05
 
-2.00
 
Philippines
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
2 990
 
3 415
 
-0.74
 
1.33
 
28.9
 
28.3
 
-2.34
 
-0.07
 
Saudi Arabia
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
392
 
506
 
6.95
 
2.76
 
12.1
 
13.2
 
4.09
 
1.29
 
Thailand
445
 
304
 
-3.21
 
-2.07
 
1 734
 
1 867
 
0.03
 
0.32
 
25.2
 
26.8
 
-0.39
 
0.24
 
Turkey
63
 
115
 
-8.70
 
2.39
 
472
 
445
 
-1.98
 
0.35
 
5.9
 
5.1
 
-3.48
 
-0.26
 
Viet Nam
830
 
1 002
 
17.03
 
4.02
 
3 133
 
3 445
 
1.24
 
0.14
 
33.1
 
33.0
 
0.14
 
-0.72
 
OCEANIA
114
 
120
 
-1.95
 
0.44
 
1 037
 
1 277
 
1.86
 
1.65
 
26.4
 
28.3
 
0.28
 
0.39
 
Australia
31
 
42
 
-6.16
 
1.36
 
618
 
714
 
0.86
 
0.99
 
25.6
 
26.0
 
-0.64
 
-0.14
 
New Zealand
65
 
63
 
-0.77
 
-0.03
 
121
 
130
 
1.03
 
0.26
 
25.9
 
25.4
 
-0.05
 
-0.54
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
4 428
 
3 639
 
0.35
 
-0.73
 
31 893
 
33 317
 
0.17
 
0.41
 
22.7
 
22.9
 
-0.25
 
0.13
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
9 872
 
10 530
 
-4.04
 
-0.13
 
121 326
 
144 013
 
3.90
 
1.43
 
20.0
 
21.0
 
2.49
 
0.30
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
301
 
499
 
6.62
 
3.75
 
10 548
 
13 167
 
3.88
 
1.98
 
13.3
 
12.9
 
1.45
 
-0.27
 
OECD 2
4 507
 
4 120
 
-4.94
 
-1.02
 
33 107
 
35 025
 
0.60
 
0.52
 
25.1
 
25.3
 
0.03
 
0.13
 
BRICS
3 352
 
3 374
 
3.87
 
-0.05
 
73 514
 
85 665
 
4.32
 
1.25
 
23.4
 
25.6
 
3.44
 
0.69
 
..
Not available
Note: Fish: The term “fish” indicates fish, crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic animals, but excludes aquatic mammals, crocodiles, caimans, alligators and aquatic plants. Imports and exports refer to trade of food fish i.e. for human consumption. All data are in live weight equivalent.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error