1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.32.1 - Cheese projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.32.1Cheese projections: Production and trade
A.32.1Cheese projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 3
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 3
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
22 809
 
26 507
 
1.58
 
1.25
 
2 364
 
2 924
 
3.93
 
1.85
 
2 430
 
3 036
 
2.58
 
1.78
 
NORTH AMERICA
5 716
 
6 806
 
2.06
 
1.73
 
190
 
180
 
0.53
 
-2.05
 
329
 
434
 
14.70
 
5.59
 
Canada
450
 
530
 
2.58
 
1.38
 
24
 
31
 
1.36
 
1.38
 
13
 
0
 
4.38
 
-46.73
 
United States
5 266
 
6 275
 
2.01
 
1.76
 
166
 
148
 
0.38
 
-2.66
 
316
 
434
 
15.38
 
6.09
 
LATIN AMERICA
2 405
 
2 842
 
2.58
 
1.65
 
330
 
430
 
6.83
 
2.23
 
144
 
140
 
1.16
 
-0.53
 
Argentina
547
 
635
 
1.03
 
1.86
 
1
 
1
 
-15.19
 
0.00
 
45
 
52
 
0.72
 
1.74
 
Brazil
753
 
933
 
2.71
 
2.03
 
34
 
45
 
15.82
 
1.93
 
3
 
6
 
-8.59
 
5.48
 
Chile
94
 
125
 
5.15
 
2.52
 
35
 
46
 
23.26
 
0.65
 
6
 
6
 
-7.92
 
-0.61
 
Colombia
59
 
74
 
0.30
 
2.08
 
3
 
1
 
29.86
 
-8.74
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Mexico
371
 
414
 
5.42
 
0.79
 
125
 
164
 
7.83
 
2.59
 
1
 
3
 
16.35
 
12.35
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
3
 
4
 
17.46
 
1.01
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
EUROPE
11 372
 
12 968
 
1.33
 
0.95
 
384
 
521
 
-3.03
 
2.40
 
1 097
 
1 523
 
3.57
 
2.31
 
European Union
10 057
 
11 471
 
1.26
 
0.93
 
61
 
59
 
-4.40
 
1.20
 
789
 
1 137
 
4.77
 
2.30
 
Russia
624
 
710
 
4.59
 
0.97
 
214
 
340
 
-4.76
 
3.25
 
14
 
10
 
-1.18
 
0.00
 
Ukraine
129
 
133
 
-8.47
 
0.25
 
7
 
20
 
-5.56
 
10.18
 
9
 
3
 
-26.65
 
-9.24
 
AFRICA
984
 
1 137
 
0.37
 
0.87
 
167
 
211
 
3.26
 
4.37
 
98
 
85
 
-5.95
 
-3.87
 
Egypt
642
 
728
 
0.27
 
0.73
 
32
 
35
 
3.72
 
4.72
 
66
 
59
 
-8.27
 
-4.51
 
Ethiopia
6
 
9
 
0.22
 
4.26
 
0
 
0
 
0.78
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Nigeria
11
 
15
 
2.68
 
3.44
 
1
 
1
 
-22.23
 
5.62
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
South Africa
44
 
37
 
0.02
 
-2.19
 
13
 
22
 
13.45
 
6.39
 
9
 
6
 
27.69
 
-6.01
 
ASIA
1 614
 
1 936
 
1.26
 
1.54
 
1 172
 
1 438
 
7.43
 
1.92
 
263
 
280
 
-2.11
 
0.09
 
China 1
252
 
317
 
-1.28
 
1.43
 
95
 
179
 
27.20
 
4.80
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
India
3
 
4
 
3.47
 
1.12
 
2
 
2
 
12.00
 
-0.51
 
5
 
7
 
11.11
 
0.51
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
23
 
34
 
8.39
 
2.95
 
2
 
2
 
15.60
 
-2.86
 
Iran
296
 
331
 
1.01
 
1.10
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
49
 
42
 
24.82
 
-2.66
 
Japan
47
 
49
 
0.86
 
0.30
 
247
 
254
 
3.72
 
0.30
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
26
 
31
 
5.34
 
0.18
 
20
 
22
 
-1.87
 
3.78
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Korea
27
 
28
 
1.22
 
-0.27
 
114
 
163
 
11.42
 
3.61
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
22
 
30
 
11.51
 
2.73
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Pakistan
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
4
 
5
 
15.98
 
4.61
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Philippines
2
 
3
 
0.00
 
3.06
 
29
 
52
 
9.26
 
4.65
 
0
 
0
 
-22.61
 
..
 
Saudi Arabia
198
 
233
 
3.50
 
1.36
 
169
 
194
 
9.92
 
1.19
 
129
 
116
 
-6.89
 
-1.18
 
Thailand
5
 
2
 
0.00
 
-8.48
 
14
 
22
 
15.06
 
3.33
 
0
 
0
 
15.45
 
-3.22
 
Turkey
201
 
274
 
3.74
 
2.97
 
11
 
6
 
12.09
 
-4.52
 
46
 
81
 
10.44
 
4.74
 
Viet Nam
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
4
 
6
 
-1.07
 
4.56
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
OCEANIA
717
 
819
 
0.93
 
0.83
 
121
 
145
 
6.32
 
0.93
 
500
 
574
 
1.27
 
0.69
 
Australia
348
 
372
 
0.11
 
0.45
 
107
 
129
 
6.67
 
0.91
 
168
 
171
 
0.65
 
-0.33
 
New Zealand
369
 
447
 
1.78
 
1.16
 
8
 
9
 
5.36
 
0.00
 
332
 
403
 
1.66
 
1.16
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
18 174
 
21 005
 
1.54
 
1.19
 
999
 
1 172
 
0.38
 
1.03
 
1 944
 
2 546
 
4.28
 
2.36
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
4 635
 
5 502
 
1.74
 
1.51
 
1 365
 
1 752
 
7.48
 
2.44
 
486
 
490
 
-2.50
 
-0.81
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
186
 
241
 
2.55
 
2.01
 
27
 
57
 
9.97
 
14.95
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
OECD 2
17 622
 
20 365
 
1.61
 
1.19
 
975
 
1 107
 
4.34
 
0.84
 
1 749
 
2 300
 
4.79
 
2.34
 
BRICS
1 676
 
2 001
 
2.57
 
1.45
 
359
 
588
 
0.35
 
3.69
 
31
 
28
 
3.48
 
-0.65
 
..
Not available
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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