1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

World agricultural markets have changed markedly since the food price spikes of 2007-8, as production has grown strongly while demand growth has started to weaken. In the coming decade, real agricultural prices are expected to remain low as a result of reduced growth in global food and feed demand. Net exports will tend to increase from land abundant countries and regions, notably in the Americas. Countries with limited natural resources, slow production expansion and high population growth will see rising net imports. Increasing import dependence is projected in particular for the Middle East and North Africa, where a scarcity of arable land and water constrains agricultural production.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.26.2 - Beef and veal projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018

‌A.26.2Beef and veal projections: Consumption, food
A.26.2Beef and veal projections: Consumption, food
  Calendar year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt cwe)
Growth (%) 3
FOOD (kg rwe/cap) 4
Growth (%) 3
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
Average
2015-17est
‌2027‌
‌2008-17‌
‌2018-27‌
WORLD
67 977
 
78 510
 
0.63
 
1.09
 
6.4
 
6.6
 
-0.56
 
0.12
 
NORTH AMERICA
12 539
 
14 284
 
-0.75
 
0.37
 
24.5
 
25.8
 
-1.50
 
-0.34
 
Canada
883
 
920
 
-1.59
 
0.40
 
17.0
 
16.2
 
-2.59
 
-0.42
 
United States
11 655
 
13 364
 
-0.68
 
0.37
 
25.3
 
26.9
 
-1.41
 
-0.33
 
LATIN AMERICA
15 493
 
17 535
 
0.64
 
0.97
 
17.0
 
17.5
 
-0.49
 
0.12
 
Argentina
2 490
 
2 764
 
-0.38
 
0.77
 
39.8
 
40.1
 
-1.40
 
-0.08
 
Brazil
7 724
 
8 470
 
1.46
 
0.63
 
26.0
 
26.6
 
0.55
 
0.02
 
Chile
469
 
584
 
4.25
 
1.89
 
18.3
 
21.1
 
3.32
 
1.22
 
Colombia
805
 
924
 
0.96
 
1.17
 
11.6
 
12.3
 
-0.03
 
0.53
 
Mexico
1 598
 
1 885
 
-0.67
 
1.27
 
8.8
 
9.2
 
-2.07
 
0.20
 
Paraguay
252
 
367
 
0.24
 
3.25
 
26.3
 
33.7
 
-1.08
 
2.10
 
EUROPE
11 192
 
10 994
 
-1.19
 
-0.09
 
10.6
 
10.4
 
-1.30
 
-0.07
 
European Union
7 871
 
7 517
 
-0.69
 
-0.51
 
10.8
 
10.3
 
-0.85
 
-0.57
 
Russia
2 259
 
2 326
 
-2.83
 
0.86
 
11.0
 
11.5
 
-2.91
 
1.03
 
Ukraine
364
 
402
 
-3.08
 
1.59
 
5.7
 
6.7
 
-2.61
 
2.12
 
AFRICA
6 836
 
8 622
 
1.45
 
2.41
 
3.9
 
3.8
 
-1.13
 
0.02
 
Egypt
1 207
 
1 489
 
2.12
 
1.99
 
8.8
 
9.1
 
-0.02
 
0.37
 
Ethiopia
352
 
403
 
-1.22
 
1.70
 
2.4
 
2.1
 
-3.74
 
-0.55
 
Nigeria
384
 
489
 
3.55
 
2.43
 
1.4
 
1.4
 
0.83
 
-0.11
 
South Africa
927
 
1 070
 
2.16
 
2.07
 
11.6
 
11.9
 
0.80
 
1.03
 
ASIA
21 188
 
26 228
 
2.50
 
1.77
 
3.3
 
3.8
 
1.44
 
1.02
 
China 1
7 615
 
9 753
 
2.87
 
1.84
 
3.8
 
4.7
 
2.32
 
1.63
 
India
964
 
1 155
 
-8.98
 
1.55
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
-10.10
 
0.57
 
Indonesia
646
 
797
 
2.94
 
1.50
 
1.7
 
1.9
 
1.67
 
0.59
 
Iran
304
 
422
 
-4.30
 
2.51
 
2.6
 
3.4
 
-5.46
 
1.75
 
Japan
1 241
 
1 310
 
0.60
 
0.10
 
6.8
 
7.4
 
0.69
 
0.45
 
Kazakhstan
440
 
546
 
0.19
 
1.96
 
17.1
 
19.2
 
-1.29
 
1.08
 
Korea
729
 
807
 
4.22
 
0.79
 
10.0
 
10.8
 
3.81
 
0.51
 
Malaysia
226
 
278
 
4.62
 
2.42
 
5.1
 
5.4
 
2.82
 
1.19
 
Pakistan
1 726
 
2 289
 
2.85
 
2.66
 
6.3
 
6.9
 
0.74
 
0.94
 
Philippines
455
 
587
 
0.96
 
2.25
 
3.1
 
3.4
 
-0.66
 
0.83
 
Saudi Arabia
170
 
190
 
1.08
 
1.49
 
3.7
 
3.5
 
-1.63
 
0.04
 
Thailand
168
 
171
 
-2.72
 
-0.08
 
1.7
 
1.7
 
-3.12
 
-0.16
 
Turkey
1 107
 
1 538
 
14.69
 
2.51
 
9.7
 
12.4
 
12.94
 
1.88
 
Viet Nam
1 325
 
1 737
 
12.62
 
2.45
 
9.8
 
11.7
 
11.39
 
1.57
 
OCEANIA
728
 
847
 
-2.47
 
-0.39
 
13.0
 
13.1
 
-3.99
 
-1.63
 
Australia
601
 
709
 
-2.21
 
-0.56
 
17.4
 
18.1
 
-3.66
 
-1.67
 
New Zealand
83
 
88
 
-5.11
 
0.10
 
12.5
 
12.1
 
-6.12
 
-0.70
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
28 643
 
30 896
 
-0.63
 
0.32
 
14.2
 
14.9
 
-1.05
 
0.03
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
39 334
 
47 613
 
1.63
 
1.62
 
4.5
 
4.9
 
0.25
 
0.49
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
3 135
 
4 131
 
1.66
 
2.82
 
2.8
 
2.8
 
-0.71
 
0.54
 
OECD 2
26 736
 
29 323
 
-0.13
 
0.32
 
14.2
 
14.8
 
-0.69
 
-0.08
 
BRICS
19 489
 
22 774
 
0.68
 
1.27
 
4.4
 
4.8
 
-0.17
 
0.70
 
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 September New Zealand.
Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
2.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
4.
Per capita consumption expressed in retail weight. Carcass weight to retail weight conversion factors of 0.7 for beef and veal, 0.78 for pigmeat and 0.88 for both sheep meat and poultry meat.
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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