World trade projections, exports

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex

https://doi.org/10.1787/agr_outlook-2017-en

Table

Table A.3.2 - World trade projections, exports

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‌A.3.2	World trade projections, exports
A.3.2	World trade projections, exports

‌	‌‌	‌‌	‌Average 2014-16est‌	‌2017‌	‌2018‌	‌2019‌	‌2020‌	‌2021‌	‌2022‌	‌2023‌	‌2024‌	‌2025‌	‌2026‌
‌	Wheat
‌	OECD 1	kt	101 533	102 107	104 881	106 632	107 480	108 337	109 441	110 389	111 470	112 587	113 450
‌	Developing countries	kt	21 635	20 133	19 778	19 963	20 334	20 889	21 401	21 939	22 482	23 017	23 567
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	164	107	104	101	99	97	94	92	90	88	86
‌	Maize
‌	OECD 1	kt	55 849	53 818	51 939	50 510	50 015	50 557	51 318	52 729	53 606	54 460	55 265
‌	Developing countries	kt	53 917	55 482	57 093	58 731	59 789	61 347	62 743	63 640	64 359	65 303	66 287
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	4 128	3 858	3 715	3 679	3 655	3 569	3 474	3 306	3 232	3 122	3 013
‌	Other coarse grains
‌	OECD 1	kt	32 664	26 383	26 734	27 323	28 054	28 516	29 202	29 916	30 337	30 716	31 258
‌	Developing countries	kt	6 602	6 869	6 951	7 054	7 085	7 229	7 273	7 352	7 492	7 662	7 803
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	2 682	2 924	2 763	2 602	2 413	2 342	2 214	2 082	2 037	1 980	1 928
‌	Rice
‌	OECD 1	kt	4 031	3 866	4 371	4 334	4 377	4 433	4 484	4 544	4 601	4 659	4 720
‌	Developing countries	kt	39 773	38 621	39 178	40 162	41 025	41 915	42 754	43 582	44 473	45 357	46 250
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	2 965	3 112	3 201	3 361	3 560	3 752	3 925	4 122	4 327	4 544	4 762
‌	Soybean
‌	OECD 1	kt	56 008	59 608	59 395	58 860	59 248	59 743	60 123	60 889	61 173	62 128	61 961
‌	Developing countries	kt	78 086	84 601	86 431	89 322	92 143	94 889	98 477	100 882	104 350	106 940	110 927
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	11	9	9	9	8	8	8	8	7	7	7
‌	Other oilseeds
‌	OECD 1	kt	13 989	14 047	14 383	14 957	15 394	15 595	15 690	16 085	16 323	16 310	16 361
‌	Developing countries	kt	2 012	2 393	2 310	2 310	2 361	2 418	2 444	2 458	2 472	2 531	2 596
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	89	91	90	89	93	97	97	95	90	89	88
‌	Protein Meals
‌	OECD 1	kt	16 819	16 401	16 387	16 312	16 397	16 743	16 854	17 077	17 240	17 574	17 782
‌	Developing countries	kt	67 257	66 801	67 967	69 466	70 565	71 443	72 460	73 549	74 610	75 604	76 610
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	238	290	278	276	270	267	264	261	258	256	253
‌	Vegetable Oils
‌	OECD 1	kt	6 852	6 865	6 847	6 898	6 929	6 875	6 991	7 078	7 206	7 369	7 501
‌	Developing countries	kt	61 841	64 215	65 043	66 162	67 008	68 133	69 211	70 310	71 445	72 422	73 454
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	464	523	512	502	492	487	479	468	460	452	444
‌	Sugar
‌	OECD 1	kt	7 477	8 249	8 662	8 684	8 849	8 892	8 970	9 073	9 128	9 250	9 301
‌	Developing countries	kt	48 584	50 374	52 696	53 677	54 609	55 389	55 745	57 036	58 121	59 270	60 419
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	2 185	1 359	1 951	1 833	1 750	1 804	1 669	1 619	1 572	1 540	1 492
‌	Beef 2
‌	OECD 1	kt	4 292	4 255	4 347	4 311	4 317	4 390	4 430	4 465	4 490	4 533	4 551
‌	Developing countries	kt	4 856	4 863	4 948	5 117	5 286	5 398	5 535	5 663	5 810	5 932	6 043
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
‌	Pigmeat 2
‌	OECD 1	kt	6 143	6 579	6 317	6 268	6 255	6 338	6 415	6 473	6 546	6 630	6 750
‌	Developing countries	kt	1 037	1 027	1 051	1 066	1 077	1 079	1 085	1 079	1 086	1 104	1 113
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
‌	Poultry
‌	OECD 1	kt	5 523	5 484	5 544	5 687	5 815	5 953	6 064	6 198	6 279	6 380	6 453
‌	Developing countries	kt	6 690	6 753	6 819	6 894	6 951	7 079	7 175	7 273	7 385	7 472	7 581
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
‌	Butter
‌	OECD 1	kt	753	722	737	765	793	806	832	854	881	899	916
‌	Developing countries	kt	95	91	91	91	92	93	94	94	94	95	96
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4
‌	Cheese
‌	OECD 1	kt	1 656	1 698	1 747	1 774	1 802	1 831	1 855	1 888	1 920	1 962	2 005
‌	Developing countries	kt	534	561	575	592	608	621	632	634	638	639	641
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
‌	Whole milk powder
‌	OECD 1	kt	1 834	1 821	1 874	1 891	1 912	1 947	1 976	2 006	2 039	2 074	2 106
‌	Developing countries	kt	616	643	653	656	661	668	674	679	684	692	704
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
‌	Skim milk powder
‌	OECD 1	kt	1 845	1 914	1 998	2 019	2 053	2 093	2 132	2 178	2 225	2 269	2 313
‌	Developing countries	kt	205	183	177	179	179	179	179	179	178	177	176
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4
‌	Fish 3
‌	OECD	kt	12 949	13 005	13 214	13 472	13 748	13 929	14 050	14 110	14 123	14 265	14 163
‌	Developing countries	kt	26 147	25 604	25 771	25 935	26 342	26 533	27 430	27 587	28 582	28 918	29 831
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	1 528	1 405	1 439	1 487	1 508	1 537	1 525	1 581	1 572	1 615	1 605
‌	Fishmeal 4
‌	OECD	kt	904	916	956	962	968	998	936	982	996	1 012	1 015
‌	Developing countries	kt	1 821	2 181	2 198	2 179	2 168	1 920	2 072	2 122	2 115	2 103	1 880
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	91	82	78	76	76	78	79	80	81	83	86
‌	Fish oil 4
‌	OECD	kt	435	365	390	390	391	403	386	396	400	404	413
‌	Developing countries	kt	382	390	402	397	394	364	363	386	385	385	366
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	16	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
‌	Ethanol
‌	OECD 1	kt	4 287	4 308	4 258	4 216	4 186	4 057	3 870	3 718	3 525	3 442	3 297
‌	Developing countries	kt	3 596	4 355	4 460	4 437	4 442	4 466	4 570	4 476	4 403	4 395	4 331
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	36	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99
‌	Biodiesel
‌	OECD 1	kt	1 009	900	892	905	921	917	918	923	939	957	957
‌	Developing countries	kt	2 591	2 987	3 441	3 346	2 930	2 735	2 459	2 317	2 248	2 221	2 199
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
‌	Cotton
‌	OECD 1	kt	3 324	3 946	3 968	3 963	3 959	3 967	3 940	3 981	4 031	4 088	4 145
‌	Developing countries	kt	3 484	3 212	3 209	3 248	3 318	3 352	3 437	3 495	3 549	3 605	3 666
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	911	1 077	1 079	1 089	1 094	1 104	1 119	1 131	1 140	1 149	1 158
‌	Roots and tubers
‌	OECD	kt	988	1 005	1 039	1 039	1 081	1 079	1 090	1 094	1 093	1 095	1 105
‌	Developing countries	kt	11 254	11 647	11 686	11 840	11 932	12 014	12 144	12 212	12 373	12 501	12 629
‌	Least Developed Countries	kt	44	45	45	45	45	44	43	42	41	40	39

Note: Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.	Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
2.	Excludes trade of live animals.
3.	Data are in live weight equivalent and refer to trade of food fish i.e. for human consumption.
4.	Data are in product weight.
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en