1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.25.1 - Whole milk powder projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.25.1Whole milk powder projections: Production and trade
A.25.1Whole milk powder projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
5 166
 
6 372
 
3.18
 
1.89
 
2 545
 
2 857
 
4.05
 
1.45
 
2 474
 
2 857
 
5.04
 
1.45
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
2 387
 
2 759
 
4.09
 
1.77
 
85
 
88
 
6.14
 
-1.30
 
1 858
 
2 153
 
6.84
 
1.62
 
NORTH AMERICA
56
 
56
 
7.03
 
0.18
 
11
 
11
 
-9.19
 
0.00
 
17
 
19
 
2.92
 
1.03
 
Canada
9
 
9
 
-4.06
 
-1.11
 
2
 
2
 
-17.30
 
0.00
 
1
 
1
 
0.66
 
0.00
 
United States
46
 
47
 
11.74
 
0.44
 
8
 
9
 
-4.36
 
0.00
 
17
 
19
 
3.05
 
1.06
 
EUROPE
864
 
1 056
 
-0.52
 
2.28
 
47
 
44
 
26.66
 
-2.48
 
429
 
540
 
3.53
 
2.07
 
European Union
745
 
912
 
0.11
 
2.36
 
4
 
4
 
17.59
 
-1.21
 
390
 
486
 
4.74
 
2.03
 
Russia
36
 
46
 
-9.34
 
2.43
 
39
 
37
 
36.48
 
-2.63
 
1
 
0
 
0.65
 
..
 
Ukraine
9
 
11
 
-9.56
 
2.02
 
0
 
0
 
8.12
 
-1.70
 
2
 
3
 
-23.60
 
1.73
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
1 426
 
1 601
 
8.13
 
1.52
 
17
 
22
 
8.90
 
-0.57
 
1 403
 
1 583
 
8.72
 
1.48
 
Australia
74
 
58
 
-8.72
 
-0.84
 
14
 
18
 
6.97
 
-0.71
 
65
 
56
 
-5.78
 
-1.56
 
New Zealand
1 352
 
1 543
 
10.20
 
1.62
 
3
 
5
 
..
 
0.00
 
1 338
 
1 527
 
10.15
 
1.61
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
42
 
47
 
-0.62
 
1.09
 
10
 
11
 
-3.78
 
1.43
 
9
 
11
 
11.83
 
2.42
 
Japan
12
 
12
 
-2.24
 
0.11
 
0
 
0
 
12.49
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
15
 
15
 
0.72
 
0.47
 
2
 
2
 
-14.81
 
10.19
 
0
 
0
 
-5.89
 
-0.85
 
South Africa
15
 
19
 
-0.53
 
2.37
 
3
 
3
 
5.98
 
-2.56
 
8
 
10
 
13.70
 
2.63
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
2 779
 
3 612
 
2.45
 
1.98
 
2 460
 
2 769
 
3.98
 
1.55
 
616
 
704
 
0.87
 
0.93
 
AFRICA
11
 
11
 
1.72
 
0.52
 
561
 
639
 
-0.05
 
2.63
 
15
 
12
 
10.47
 
-2.22
 
NORTH AFRICA
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
0.58
 
283
 
306
 
3.58
 
2.26
 
4
 
3
 
23.27
 
-2.89
 
Algeria
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
2.82
 
206
 
234
 
2.28
 
2.10
 
0
 
0
 
9.09
 
-2.05
 
Egypt
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
-1.83
 
61
 
54
 
15.04
 
3.14
 
4
 
3
 
35.05
 
-3.05
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
11
 
11
 
1.71
 
0.52
 
278
 
332
 
-2.64
 
2.99
 
11
 
9
 
8.18
 
-1.94
 
Ethiopia
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
3.44
 
1
 
1
 
-3.87
 
3.00
 
0
 
0
 
-34.19
 
0.00
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
-3.28
 
2
 
2
 
-8.13
 
3.39
 
0
 
0
 
13.03
 
-3.28
 
Mozambique
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
3.01
 
3
 
5
 
10.30
 
3.50
 
0
 
0
 
-31.88
 
0.00
 
Nigeria
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
3.65
 
94
 
86
 
-8.22
 
2.84
 
1
 
1
 
36.42
 
-2.76
 
Tanzania
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
2.84
 
1
 
1
 
-9.69
 
2.93
 
0
 
0
 
-5.19
 
0.00
 
Zambia
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
5.90
 
5
 
7
 
15.80
 
4.07
 
0
 
0
 
-12.66
 
-3.91
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
1 346
 
1 967
 
1.87
 
2.88
 
415
 
395
 
1.45
 
-1.77
 
306
 
408
 
3.84
 
2.29
 
Argentina
209
 
320
 
0.66
 
3.07
 
0
 
1
 
..
 
0.00
 
130
 
206
 
2.55
 
4.28
 
Brazil
546
 
789
 
0.52
 
4.52
 
82
 
57
 
14.14
 
-9.90
 
34
 
33
 
-6.00
 
4.91
 
Chile
92
 
110
 
1.77
 
1.85
 
6
 
4
 
38.84
 
-3.81
 
12
 
12
 
-2.47
 
4.08
 
Colombia
41
 
43
 
0.31
 
0.44
 
12
 
18
 
60.34
 
2.10
 
5
 
5
 
0.86
 
-2.06
 
Mexico
212
 
251
 
0.28
 
1.33
 
8
 
10
 
-17.10
 
2.30
 
11
 
4
 
18.19
 
-11.36
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
79.68
 
1.75
 
2
 
2
 
14.25
 
0.00
 
2
 
3
 
286.32
 
0.01
 
Peru
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
0.89
 
18
 
24
 
16.01
 
1.00
 
0
 
0
 
32.02
 
-0.99
 
Uruguay
59
 
75
 
5.70
 
1.18
 
37
 
57
 
617.21
 
-0.44
 
91
 
128
 
11.95
 
0.45
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
1 423
 
1 634
 
3.03
 
1.01
 
1 485
 
1 735
 
6.88
 
2.07
 
295
 
284
 
-1.91
 
-0.60
 
Bangladesh
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.41
 
56
 
89
 
12.13
 
3.51
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-3.40
 
China 2
1 342
 
1 532
 
2.94
 
0.93
 
479
 
614
 
27.18
 
4.13
 
4
 
4
 
-24.81
 
-0.32
 
India
5
 
7
 
17.38
 
3.39
 
0
 
0
 
-0.53
 
0.00
 
2
 
3
 
-6.65
 
7.65
 
Indonesia
73
 
89
 
5.36
 
1.94
 
45
 
46
 
-6.21
 
1.13
 
6
 
6
 
-17.67
 
-1.12
 
Iran
1
 
1
 
1.64
 
1.47
 
3
 
3
 
-9.43
 
0.15
 
2
 
2
 
8.19
 
0.01
 
Korea
3
 
5
 
-3.72
 
5.37
 
3
 
4
 
10.46
 
1.22
 
0
 
0
 
30.92
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.44
 
38
 
36
 
-3.26
 
0.59
 
20
 
17
 
-5.70
 
-0.59
 
Pakistan
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.34
 
4
 
5
 
-7.40
 
1.45
 
2
 
2
 
13.67
 
-1.43
 
Philippines
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.74
 
28
 
37
 
-5.80
 
0.51
 
16
 
23
 
-12.59
 
0.00
 
Saudi Arabia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
10.40
 
105
 
117
 
2.93
 
1.24
 
19
 
19
 
-5.17
 
-1.22
 
Thailand
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.65
 
45
 
51
 
7.44
 
0.60
 
3
 
2
 
-11.10
 
-0.60
 
Turkey
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.04
 
1
 
1
 
-25.35
 
0.00
 
1
 
1
 
1.01
 
0.00
 
Viet Nam
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-2.72
 
42
 
43
 
-0.57
 
1.31
 
9
 
8
 
27.43
 
-1.29
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
3
 
3
 
48.77
 
-0.14
 
215
 
308
 
3.05
 
3.34
 
8
 
7
 
14.16
 
-1.79
 
OECD 3
2 566
 
2 964
 
4.14
 
1.72
 
52
 
60
 
-5.30
 
-0.21
 
1 834
 
2 106
 
7.07
 
1.56
 
BRICS
1 944
 
2 393
 
1.82
 
2.03
 
604
 
711
 
24.93
 
1.64
 
50
 
51
 
-7.82
 
3.56
 
..
Not available
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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