1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.25.2 - Whole milk powder projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.25.2Whole milk powder projections: Consumption, food
A.25.2Whole milk powder projections: Consumption, food
  Calendar year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
5 238
 
6 372
 
2.81
 
1.90
 
0.7
 
0.8
 
1.60
 
0.90
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
615
 
694
 
-1.11
 
1.84
 
0.4
 
0.5
 
-1.56
 
1.64
 
NORTH AMERICA
48
 
47
 
1.20
 
0.81
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
0.37
 
0.11
 
Canada
11
 
10
 
-9.60
 
-0.93
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
-10.56
 
-1.71
 
United States
37
 
37
 
9.01
 
1.38
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
8.15
 
0.68
 
EUROPE
483
 
560
 
-0.97
 
2.03
 
0.6
 
0.7
 
-1.13
 
2.15
 
European Union
360
 
430
 
-1.26
 
2.70
 
0.7
 
0.8
 
-1.43
 
2.63
 
Russia
74
 
84
 
0.04
 
0.05
 
0.5
 
0.6
 
0.01
 
0.26
 
Ukraine
7
 
8
 
4.65
 
2.08
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
5.06
 
2.68
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
41
 
41
 
-1.79
 
1.77
 
1.4
 
1.3
 
-3.25
 
0.65
 
Australia
25
 
19
 
-7.16
 
1.74
 
1.0
 
0.7
 
-8.67
 
0.56
 
New Zealand
17
 
21
 
19.09
 
1.81
 
3.7
 
4.3
 
18.15
 
0.97
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
43
 
46
 
-2.70
 
0.88
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
-3.32
 
0.54
 
Japan
12
 
12
 
-2.16
 
0.11
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-2.08
 
0.45
 
Kazakhstan
16
 
17
 
-2.12
 
1.23
 
0.9
 
0.9
 
-3.52
 
0.34
 
South Africa
10
 
11
 
-4.48
 
0.72
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
-5.55
 
0.08
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
4 623
 
5 677
 
3.47
 
1.91
 
0.8
 
0.8
 
2.06
 
0.74
 
AFRICA
556
 
638
 
-0.23
 
2.71
 
0.5
 
0.4
 
-2.81
 
0.26
 
NORTH AFRICA
278
 
303
 
3.44
 
2.34
 
1.5
 
1.4
 
1.62
 
0.91
 
Algeria
206
 
234
 
2.28
 
2.10
 
5.2
 
5.0
 
0.40
 
0.73
 
Egypt
57
 
51
 
14.65
 
3.70
 
0.6
 
0.5
 
12.28
 
1.99
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
278
 
335
 
-2.83
 
3.06
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
-5.51
 
0.42
 
Ethiopia
1
 
1
 
-2.32
 
3.00
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-4.79
 
0.71
 
Ghana
2
 
2
 
-8.97
 
3.55
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-11.15
 
1.50
 
Mozambique
3
 
5
 
10.32
 
3.50
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
7.28
 
0.82
 
Nigeria
93
 
85
 
-8.42
 
2.94
 
0.5
 
0.4
 
-10.83
 
0.45
 
Tanzania
1
 
1
 
-9.56
 
2.98
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-12.37
 
0.00
 
Zambia
5
 
7
 
16.05
 
4.09
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
12.59
 
1.03
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
1 455
 
1 953
 
1.37
 
1.87
 
2.3
 
2.8
 
0.21
 
0.98
 
Argentina
80
 
115
 
-2.37
 
1.14
 
1.8
 
2.4
 
-3.37
 
0.27
 
Brazil
595
 
811
 
2.29
 
2.62
 
2.9
 
3.6
 
1.35
 
1.94
 
Chile
87
 
102
 
3.13
 
1.30
 
4.8
 
5.1
 
2.03
 
0.43
 
Colombia
48
 
56
 
3.70
 
1.20
 
1.0
 
1.1
 
2.65
 
0.51
 
Mexico
208
 
257
 
-1.70
 
1.76
 
1.6
 
1.8
 
-3.09
 
0.69
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
-72.98
 
1.15
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-73.34
 
0.00
 
Peru
18
 
24
 
16.04
 
1.00
 
0.6
 
0.7
 
14.54
 
-0.10
 
Uruguay
4
 
4
 
0.70
 
0.50
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
0.36
 
0.18
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
2 612
 
3 086
 
5.90
 
1.77
 
0.6
 
0.7
 
4.75
 
0.95
 
Bangladesh
56
 
89
 
12.13
 
3.51
 
0.4
 
0.5
 
10.81
 
2.47
 
China 2
1 817
 
2 142
 
6.56
 
1.75
 
1.3
 
1.5
 
6.01
 
1.53
 
India
3
 
5
 
25.61
 
1.05
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
23.99
 
0.00
 
Indonesia
111
 
130
 
2.11
 
1.80
 
0.4
 
0.5
 
0.81
 
0.85
 
Iran
1
 
2
 
-16.92
 
0.80
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-17.94
 
0.00
 
Korea
4
 
9
 
-1.99
 
8.17
 
0.1
 
0.2
 
-2.50
 
7.85
 
Malaysia
18
 
19
 
1.22
 
1.80
 
0.6
 
0.5
 
-0.34
 
0.59
 
Pakistan
2
 
3
 
-14.23
 
3.79
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-16.01
 
1.96
 
Philippines
12
 
14
 
29.21
 
1.40
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
27.21
 
0.00
 
Saudi Arabia
86
 
98
 
6.72
 
1.79
 
2.7
 
2.6
 
4.24
 
0.32
 
Thailand
43
 
49
 
10.46
 
0.66
 
0.6
 
0.7
 
10.11
 
0.61
 
Turkey
0
 
0
 
-79.43
 
0.66
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-79.75
 
0.00
 
Viet Nam
34
 
35
 
-3.72
 
2.00
 
0.4
 
0.3
 
-4.76
 
1.16
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
209
 
304
 
2.80
 
3.46
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
0.39
 
1.19
 
OECD 3
784
 
919
 
-1.14
 
2.05
 
0.6
 
0.7
 
-1.76
 
1.70
 
BRICS
2 498
 
3 052
 
5.11
 
1.92
 
0.8
 
0.9
 
4.21
 
1.31
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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