1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.12.2 - Vegetable oil projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.12.2Vegetable oil projections: Consumption, food
A.12.2Vegetable oil projections: Consumption, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
179 967
 
219 532
 
4.45
 
1.64
 
19.3
 
21.3
 
2.27
 
0.93
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
51 248
 
52 647
 
2.26
 
0.19
 
24.6
 
25.8
 
0.24
 
0.63
 
NORTH AMERICA
16 274
 
18 126
 
2.98
 
0.83
 
37.4
 
37.9
 
0.72
 
0.41
 
Canada
1 093
 
1 278
 
3.26
 
1.74
 
25.9
 
28.0
 
0.06
 
1.16
 
United States
15 181
 
16 849
 
2.96
 
0.77
 
38.6
 
39.0
 
0.78
 
0.36
 
EUROPE
29 585
 
28 561
 
1.91
 
-0.30
 
21.5
 
22.8
 
-0.55
 
0.77
 
European Union
24 064
 
22 896
 
1.79
 
-0.45
 
21.0
 
22.6
 
-1.74
 
0.90
 
Russia
3 703
 
3 844
 
2.90
 
0.17
 
25.8
 
27.3
 
2.87
 
0.37
 
Ukraine
845
 
770
 
-1.36
 
0.45
 
17.9
 
17.3
 
-1.36
 
1.00
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
613
 
610
 
3.74
 
-0.13
 
21.5
 
18.9
 
2.20
 
-1.23
 
Australia
523
 
513
 
4.19
 
-0.30
 
21.8
 
18.7
 
2.50
 
-1.45
 
New Zealand
91
 
97
 
1.52
 
0.81
 
20.0
 
19.6
 
0.71
 
-0.02
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
4 776
 
5 349
 
2.02
 
0.86
 
16.8
 
18.0
 
1.37
 
0.52
 
Japan
2 311
 
2 342
 
0.14
 
0.06
 
18.3
 
19.1
 
0.22
 
0.40
 
Kazakhstan
274
 
316
 
1.40
 
1.44
 
15.3
 
15.8
 
-0.19
 
0.55
 
South Africa
1 260
 
1 572
 
5.51
 
1.60
 
22.4
 
26.0
 
4.44
 
0.98
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
128 719
 
166 885
 
5.44
 
2.15
 
18.0
 
20.4
 
3.13
 
1.07
 
AFRICA
13 963
 
18 482
 
4.52
 
2.69
 
11.5
 
11.8
 
1.89
 
0.36
 
NORTH AFRICA
4 184
 
5 205
 
4.12
 
2.07
 
21.9
 
23.3
 
2.48
 
0.68
 
Algeria
908
 
1 113
 
6.34
 
1.91
 
22.4
 
23.6
 
4.38
 
0.57
 
Egypt
2 131
 
2 689
 
4.01
 
2.35
 
21.9
 
23.0
 
2.23
 
0.73
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
9 779
 
13 277
 
4.70
 
2.95
 
9.5
 
9.8
 
1.84
 
0.47
 
Ethiopia
498
 
936
 
36.87
 
5.66
 
4.9
 
7.2
 
33.41
 
3.38
 
Ghana
435
 
505
 
7.09
 
1.61
 
15.6
 
14.4
 
4.52
 
-0.39
 
Mozambique
108
 
121
 
0.20
 
0.40
 
3.8
 
3.2
 
-2.56
 
-2.22
 
Nigeria
3 116
 
4 081
 
5.15
 
2.88
 
14.1
 
14.6
 
2.38
 
0.79
 
Tanzania
385
 
531
 
2.75
 
2.29
 
7.2
 
7.1
 
-0.31
 
-0.67
 
Zambia
147
 
226
 
25.91
 
4.38
 
8.9
 
9.9
 
22.16
 
1.37
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
18 982
 
22 546
 
5.48
 
1.13
 
20.4
 
21.7
 
0.97
 
0.75
 
Argentina
3 204
 
3 459
 
12.17
 
-2.27
 
18.7
 
18.9
 
-0.04
 
0.14
 
Brazil
7 483
 
9 098
 
4.83
 
2.14
 
23.1
 
24.2
 
-0.55
 
0.94
 
Chile
509
 
649
 
4.24
 
2.10
 
27.8
 
32.2
 
3.13
 
1.25
 
Colombia
1 608
 
1 912
 
7.25
 
1.32
 
20.8
 
22.9
 
3.08
 
0.83
 
Mexico
2 605
 
3 167
 
4.12
 
2.21
 
20.5
 
22.1
 
2.65
 
1.13
 
Paraguay
126
 
169
 
-2.25
 
1.95
 
18.6
 
22.0
 
-3.55
 
0.80
 
Peru
702
 
826
 
9.42
 
1.43
 
21.4
 
22.4
 
8.27
 
0.35
 
Uruguay
157
 
193
 
2.86
 
0.30
 
30.4
 
38.3
 
-3.06
 
-0.25
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
95 774
 
125 857
 
5.57
 
2.26
 
19.4
 
23.0
 
3.85
 
1.41
 
Bangladesh
2 333
 
3 262
 
7.04
 
3.05
 
13.2
 
16.8
 
6.27
 
2.14
 
China 2
33 886
 
38 430
 
4.76
 
1.07
 
24.6
 
27.1
 
4.21
 
0.85
 
India
20 917
 
32 538
 
5.76
 
3.63
 
15.2
 
21.1
 
4.29
 
2.64
 
Indonesia
11 157
 
16 606
 
9.68
 
3.24
 
22.1
 
26.0
 
3.32
 
1.53
 
Iran
1 564
 
1 878
 
1.85
 
1.54
 
19.7
 
21.5
 
0.72
 
0.73
 
Korea
1 168
 
1 346
 
3.95
 
0.60
 
12.8
 
13.4
 
-2.32
 
0.55
 
Malaysia
4 805
 
6 124
 
3.24
 
1.60
 
29.0
 
30.8
 
2.07
 
0.12
 
Pakistan
4 105
 
5 407
 
5.19
 
2.42
 
20.8
 
22.8
 
3.14
 
0.73
 
Philippines
1 781
 
2 631
 
5.96
 
3.16
 
11.3
 
15.8
 
5.80
 
2.40
 
Saudi Arabia
668
 
952
 
11.98
 
2.87
 
18.0
 
22.5
 
9.61
 
1.73
 
Thailand
2 570
 
3 199
 
7.57
 
1.58
 
13.0
 
18.3
 
3.66
 
2.70
 
Turkey
2 540
 
3 099
 
5.23
 
1.63
 
26.6
 
30.5
 
3.13
 
1.11
 
Viet Nam
1 167
 
1 767
 
8.56
 
3.52
 
12.2
 
16.9
 
7.19
 
2.71
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
9 031
 
12 197
 
5.26
 
2.73
 
9.1
 
9.7
 
2.91
 
0.53
 
OECD 3
50 850
 
53 123
 
2.49
 
0.34
 
25.4
 
26.8
 
0.14
 
0.72
 
BRICS
67 249
 
85 482
 
4.96
 
2.06
 
20.5
 
24.3
 
3.63
 
1.41
 
Note: Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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