1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.14.1 - Sugar projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.14.1Sugar projections: Production and trade
A.14.1Sugar projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
168 640
 
209 527
 
1.82
 
1.66
 
51 660
 
64 004
 
2.47
 
1.99
 
55 239
 
68 696
 
2.26
 
1.83
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
40 348
 
44 311
 
1.64
 
0.06
 
13 072
 
13 131
 
-1.87
 
1.38
 
6 656
 
8 278
 
-0.23
 
1.83
 
NORTH AMERICA
8 054
 
8 914
 
2.67
 
0.23
 
3 957
 
4 766
 
-0.95
 
3.17
 
72
 
50
 
-16.61
 
0.00
 
Canada
90
 
115
 
1.48
 
0.99
 
1 131
 
1 188
 
-1.36
 
0.68
 
30
 
30
 
-11.20
 
0.00
 
United States
7 964
 
8 799
 
2.68
 
0.23
 
2 826
 
3 578
 
-0.59
 
4.14
 
41
 
20
 
-20.36
 
0.00
 
EUROPE
24 925
 
26 915
 
1.80
 
-0.28
 
4 470
 
3 508
 
-4.77
 
0.58
 
2 128
 
3 394
 
1.38
 
3.31
 
European Union
17 072
 
18 539
 
0.70
 
-0.71
 
3 116
 
1 780
 
1.17
 
0.64
 
1 441
 
2 357
 
-0.61
 
1.32
 
Russia
5 213
 
5 253
 
6.73
 
0.45
 
570
 
872
 
-20.61
 
1.47
 
178
 
152
 
-2.38
 
0.00
 
Ukraine
1 767
 
2 161
 
1.11
 
1.11
 
0
 
0
 
-80.07
 
-2.32
 
122
 
460
 
63.69
 
64.24
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
4 953
 
5 652
 
1.54
 
1.04
 
363
 
381
 
3.85
 
0.53
 
4 010
 
4 543
 
2.39
 
1.01
 
Australia
4 953
 
5 652
 
1.54
 
1.04
 
126
 
120
 
21.09
 
0.00
 
3 990
 
4 523
 
2.39
 
1.01
 
New Zealand
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
237
 
261
 
0.34
 
0.78
 
20
 
20
 
1.58
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
2 416
 
2 830
 
-2.04
 
1.06
 
4 283
 
4 476
 
0.75
 
0.42
 
446
 
290
 
-14.03
 
-0.54
 
Japan
695
 
739
 
-2.57
 
0.50
 
1 388
 
1 390
 
0.58
 
-0.31
 
4
 
5
 
15.43
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
3
 
3
 
-23.92
 
1.22
 
516
 
573
 
1.95
 
1.12
 
7
 
9
 
-28.74
 
-1.10
 
South Africa
1 654
 
2 000
 
-1.94
 
1.23
 
341
 
299
 
-0.84
 
0.35
 
204
 
158
 
-19.52
 
-0.35
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
128 292
 
165 216
 
1.88
 
2.14
 
38 588
 
50 873
 
4.41
 
2.15
 
48 584
 
60 419
 
2.68
 
1.83
 
AFRICA
9 023
 
12 483
 
3.84
 
2.71
 
11 736
 
16 175
 
4.47
 
3.21
 
3 423
 
3 346
 
5.90
 
1.43
 
NORTH AFRICA
2 824
 
3 756
 
4.35
 
2.70
 
4 625
 
5 825
 
3.54
 
2.36
 
569
 
621
 
28.66
 
1.83
 
Algeria
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
1 880
 
2 377
 
7.11
 
2.56
 
403
 
535
 
206.30
 
2.94
 
Egypt
2 310
 
3 068
 
4.52
 
2.76
 
1 332
 
1 927
 
2.96
 
3.57
 
124
 
85
 
14.48
 
-3.25
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
6 199
 
8 728
 
3.62
 
2.72
 
7 111
 
10 350
 
5.12
 
3.72
 
2 854
 
2 725
 
4.10
 
1.35
 
Ethiopia
503
 
850
 
7.78
 
3.14
 
21
 
15
 
-11.50
 
2.39
 
62
 
164
 
5.86
 
3.05
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
375
 
428
 
-2.10
 
2.22
 
78
 
34
 
-11.56
 
-2.17
 
Mozambique
427
 
648
 
8.61
 
3.96
 
27
 
0
 
-67.82
 
0.87
 
264
 
339
 
13.29
 
5.03
 
Nigeria
27
 
109
 
-8.59
 
3.57
 
1 530
 
2 149
 
3.24
 
3.17
 
0
 
0
 
22.38
 
-0.22
 
Tanzania
329
 
540
 
3.38
 
4.58
 
283
 
592
 
15.99
 
3.12
 
3
 
4
 
-21.21
 
0.45
 
Zambia
424
 
554
 
6.67
 
2.85
 
0
 
0
 
-61.20
 
0.57
 
211
 
203
 
8.69
 
2.77
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
57 119
 
72 338
 
1.60
 
1.60
 
2 086
 
1 935
 
-1.25
 
-0.37
 
32 674
 
43 251
 
2.35
 
1.65
 
Argentina
1 976
 
2 626
 
-1.21
 
3.01
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
277
 
574
 
-5.22
 
9.78
 
Brazil
35 238
 
45 316
 
1.10
 
1.48
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
24 700
 
33 124
 
1.63
 
1.67
 
Chile
253
 
378
 
-0.02
 
3.92
 
520
 
545
 
-0.99
 
0.37
 
0
 
0
 
32.62
 
-0.03
 
Colombia
2 269
 
2 622
 
0.81
 
1.47
 
57
 
42
 
-10.22
 
-2.02
 
616
 
716
 
-1.92
 
2.07
 
Mexico
6 068
 
6 842
 
2.96
 
1.06
 
9
 
10
 
-23.63
 
0.03
 
1 603
 
1 934
 
11.02
 
1.19
 
Paraguay
173
 
145
 
1.34
 
-1.10
 
8
 
30
 
-54.38
 
9.73
 
41
 
15
 
-8.32
 
-8.87
 
Peru
1 154
 
1 581
 
3.08
 
2.86
 
193
 
87
 
-1.59
 
-5.37
 
96
 
168
 
5.52
 
5.66
 
Uruguay
23
 
31
 
15.53
 
1.58
 
124
 
155
 
4.55
 
2.10
 
7
 
9
 
226.44
 
-2.06
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
62 149
 
80 395
 
1.95
 
2.56
 
24 766
 
32 763
 
5.01
 
1.83
 
12 486
 
13 822
 
3.19
 
2.51
 
Bangladesh
96
 
132
 
0.16
 
2.77
 
2 162
 
3 228
 
6.97
 
3.46
 
168
 
14
 
81.72
 
-25.03
 
China 2
9 635
 
13 439
 
-3.24
 
2.99
 
5 379
 
5 910
 
24.30
 
0.53
 
66
 
47
 
-0.55
 
-2.58
 
India
25 670
 
31 070
 
2.93
 
2.22
 
1 527
 
2 796
 
20.89
 
2.89
 
2 226
 
816
 
3.34
 
-2.23
 
Indonesia
2 411
 
2 743
 
-0.37
 
1.70
 
3 657
 
5 933
 
9.73
 
3.45
 
0
 
0
 
-15.51
 
-0.24
 
Iran
1 488
 
2 130
 
7.93
 
2.58
 
733
 
924
 
-8.49
 
-0.24
 
13
 
0
 
-51.53
 
0.04
 
Korea
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1 924
 
2 152
 
2.51
 
1.04
 
330
 
386
 
1.44
 
1.53
 
Malaysia
12
 
14
 
-13.31
 
0.78
 
1 890
 
2 378
 
3.40
 
2.25
 
140
 
79
 
-4.75
 
-2.20
 
Pakistan
5 624
 
7 479
 
5.26
 
2.84
 
25
 
9
 
-33.60
 
-1.10
 
542
 
806
 
21.12
 
12.82
 
Philippines
2 248
 
2 914
 
1.15
 
2.83
 
155
 
394
 
-36.03
 
3.17
 
154
 
100
 
-3.31
 
-3.38
 
Saudi Arabia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
1 398
 
1 967
 
1.07
 
2.09
 
262
 
245
 
-2.35
 
-2.05
 
Thailand
10 269
 
14 344
 
4.70
 
3.07
 
0
 
0
 
-65.11
 
1.49
 
7 597
 
10 786
 
5.43
 
3.49
 
Turkey
2 164
 
2 681
 
1.06
 
0.32
 
135
 
1
 
43.75
 
-51.86
 
8
 
14
 
-5.34
 
8.07
 
Viet Nam
1 529
 
2 339
 
6.81
 
4.73
 
299
 
428
 
11.03
 
4.44
 
129
 
43
 
300.17
 
-4.25
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
4 432
 
6 073
 
4.86
 
2.71
 
8 369
 
12 316
 
6.23
 
3.56
 
2 185
 
1 492
 
10.17
 
-1.14
 
OECD 3
39 495
 
43 945
 
1.44
 
0.08
 
12 225
 
12 026
 
0.29
 
1.33
 
7 477
 
9 301
 
2.31
 
1.14
 
BRICS
77 410
 
97 079
 
1.11
 
1.85
 
7 817
 
9 877
 
4.73
 
1.19
 
27 374
 
34 298
 
0.79
 
1.52
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Sugar data are expressed on a tel quel basis.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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