1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.14.2 - Sugar projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.14.2Sugar projections: Consumption, food
A.14.2Sugar projections: Consumption, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
PER CAPITA (kg)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
168 259
 
203 267
 
1.83
 
1.75
 
22.8
 
24.7
 
0.64
 
0.75
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
47 647
 
49 060
 
0.99
 
0.32
 
33.7
 
33.6
 
0.59
 
0.05
 
NORTH AMERICA
11 900
 
13 582
 
1.92
 
1.16
 
33.3
 
35.1
 
1.03
 
0.45
 
Canada
1 174
 
1 265
 
-0.83
 
0.75
 
32.7
 
32.2
 
-1.88
 
-0.04
 
United States
10 726
 
12 316
 
2.26
 
1.20
 
33.3
 
35.5
 
1.39
 
0.50
 
EUROPE
27 964
 
27 052
 
0.61
 
-0.24
 
37.2
 
35.9
 
0.55
 
-0.23
 
European Union
19 308
 
17 932
 
1.19
 
-0.58
 
38.2
 
35.2
 
1.02
 
-0.65
 
Russia
5 540
 
5 985
 
-0.38
 
0.60
 
38.6
 
42.5
 
-0.41
 
0.80
 
Ukraine
1 818
 
1 748
 
-1.23
 
-0.04
 
40.6
 
41.5
 
-0.85
 
0.56
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
1 410
 
1 479
 
1.08
 
0.93
 
49.5
 
45.7
 
-0.42
 
-0.18
 
Australia
1 190
 
1 239
 
1.22
 
0.95
 
49.7
 
45.3
 
-0.42
 
-0.22
 
New Zealand
220
 
240
 
0.35
 
0.85
 
48.6
 
48.4
 
-0.45
 
0.02
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
6 373
 
6 948
 
1.01
 
0.85
 
23.3
 
24.4
 
0.37
 
0.51
 
Japan
2 123
 
2 119
 
-0.22
 
-0.03
 
16.8
 
17.3
 
-0.14
 
0.30
 
Kazakhstan
491
 
565
 
1.32
 
1.15
 
27.9
 
28.9
 
-0.13
 
0.26
 
South Africa
1 888
 
2 104
 
1.67
 
1.21
 
34.7
 
35.8
 
0.53
 
0.56
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
120 612
 
154 206
 
2.17
 
2.24
 
20.3
 
22.8
 
0.78
 
1.07
 
AFRICA
16 984
 
24 796
 
3.96
 
3.39
 
15.0
 
16.8
 
1.27
 
0.93
 
NORTH AFRICA
6 640
 
8 775
 
2.72
 
2.52
 
36.3
 
40.8
 
0.92
 
1.08
 
Algeria
1 416
 
1 776
 
2.38
 
2.27
 
35.7
 
38.3
 
0.50
 
0.90
 
Egypt
3 375
 
4 819
 
3.67
 
3.20
 
36.9
 
43.6
 
1.52
 
1.50
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
10 344
 
16 021
 
4.82
 
3.90
 
10.9
 
12.7
 
1.94
 
1.25
 
Ethiopia
474
 
697
 
3.70
 
3.23
 
4.8
 
5.5
 
1.08
 
0.94
 
Ghana
272
 
390
 
3.42
 
3.15
 
9.9
 
11.4
 
0.94
 
1.11
 
Mozambique
191
 
288
 
2.18
 
4.71
 
6.8
 
7.7
 
-0.65
 
1.99
 
Nigeria
1 555
 
2 230
 
3.12
 
3.42
 
8.5
 
9.3
 
0.40
 
0.92
 
Tanzania
650
 
1 068
 
9.05
 
4.70
 
12.2
 
14.4
 
5.66
 
1.66
 
Zambia
220
 
339
 
10.18
 
4.00
 
13.6
 
15.0
 
6.90
 
0.95
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
26 842
 
30 598
 
0.15
 
1.33
 
42.4
 
43.8
 
-0.99
 
0.44
 
Argentina
1 699
 
2 043
 
0.59
 
1.72
 
39.1
 
42.7
 
-0.44
 
0.84
 
Brazil
10 970
 
11 921
 
-1.04
 
0.86
 
52.8
 
53.2
 
-1.95
 
0.19
 
Chile
779
 
911
 
1.74
 
1.67
 
43.4
 
46.1
 
0.65
 
0.80
 
Colombia
1 715
 
1 945
 
1.30
 
1.17
 
35.6
 
37.3
 
0.27
 
0.49
 
Mexico
4 433
 
4 898
 
-0.23
 
0.96
 
34.9
 
34.2
 
-1.64
 
-0.11
 
Paraguay
133
 
158
 
1.73
 
1.92
 
20.0
 
21.0
 
0.38
 
0.76
 
Peru
1 224
 
1 477
 
2.24
 
1.89
 
39.0
 
41.6
 
0.92
 
0.78
 
Uruguay
144
 
178
 
2.90
 
2.36
 
42.0
 
49.9
 
2.55
 
2.02
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
76 786
 
98 813
 
2.58
 
2.27
 
18.4
 
21.5
 
1.47
 
1.44
 
Bangladesh
2 041
 
3 316
 
6.71
 
4.60
 
12.7
 
18.4
 
5.46
 
3.54
 
China 2
15 726
 
19 353
 
2.20
 
1.86
 
11.4
 
13.7
 
1.67
 
1.64
 
India
26 048
 
32 953
 
2.49
 
2.18
 
19.9
 
22.3
 
1.17
 
1.11
 
Indonesia
6 203
 
8 627
 
3.60
 
3.00
 
24.1
 
30.1
 
2.27
 
2.03
 
Iran
2 495
 
3 046
 
1.02
 
1.76
 
31.5
 
35.0
 
-0.22
 
0.96
 
Korea
1 568
 
1 756
 
2.89
 
0.94
 
31.2
 
33.7
 
2.36
 
0.64
 
Malaysia
1 723
 
2 278
 
3.75
 
2.50
 
56.8
 
65.6
 
2.14
 
1.28
 
Pakistan
4 943
 
6 593
 
2.24
 
2.40
 
26.2
 
28.6
 
0.12
 
0.60
 
Philippines
2 308
 
3 188
 
2.93
 
3.13
 
22.9
 
27.1
 
1.34
 
1.70
 
Saudi Arabia
1 189
 
1 685
 
3.88
 
3.20
 
37.7
 
45.2
 
1.47
 
1.71
 
Thailand
2 877
 
3 437
 
3.26
 
1.85
 
42.3
 
50.1
 
2.94
 
1.81
 
Turkey
2 317
 
2 691
 
2.03
 
0.29
 
29.5
 
31.5
 
0.43
 
-0.37
 
Viet Nam
1 585
 
2 687
 
5.03
 
5.00
 
17.0
 
26.1
 
3.90
 
4.13
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
10 536
 
16 583
 
5.48
 
4.03
 
11.0
 
13.6
 
3.01
 
1.75
 
OECD 3
44 869
 
46 550
 
1.23
 
0.32
 
33.8
 
33.4
 
0.66
 
-0.08
 
BRICS
60 173
 
72 316
 
1.39
 
1.70
 
19.5
 
21.8
 
0.52
 
1.09
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Sugar data are expressed on a tel quel basis.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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