1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.9.1 - Soybean projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.9.1Soybean projections: Production and trade
A.9.1Soybean projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
325 633
 
401 320
 
4.87
 
1.91
 
135 658
 
176 995
 
7.51
 
2.12
 
136 978
 
176 995
 
7.70
 
2.12
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
127 327
 
141 146
 
5.24
 
1.15
 
21 510
 
22 474
 
1.10
 
0.77
 
58 891
 
66 068
 
6.40
 
0.68
 
NORTH AMERICA
116 610
 
126 755
 
4.60
 
1.03
 
1 043
 
938
 
8.10
 
0.09
 
55 850
 
61 853
 
5.82
 
0.58
 
Canada
6 294
 
7 351
 
9.99
 
2.15
 
299
 
251
 
-1.87
 
0.07
 
4 101
 
5 061
 
11.39
 
2.68
 
United States
110 316
 
119 404
 
4.35
 
0.96
 
744
 
686
 
14.49
 
0.10
 
51 749
 
56 792
 
5.46
 
0.41
 
EUROPE
9 286
 
12 298
 
16.79
 
2.13
 
16 336
 
17 531
 
1.40
 
0.96
 
3 031
 
4 199
 
33.18
 
2.38
 
European Union
2 079
 
2 430
 
12.17
 
0.88
 
13 638
 
14 418
 
-0.27
 
0.81
 
121
 
71
 
12.73
 
0.08
 
Russia
2 769
 
3 700
 
18.88
 
2.04
 
2 114
 
2 544
 
28.17
 
2.04
 
463
 
200
 
93.60
 
-10.34
 
Ukraine
3 967
 
5 674
 
23.38
 
2.95
 
10
 
10
 
32.37
 
0.07
 
2 440
 
3 921
 
32.72
 
3.60
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
44
 
63
 
-1.61
 
1.54
 
2
 
2
 
-1.21
 
0.43
 
5
 
10
 
11.22
 
4.09
 
Australia
44
 
63
 
-1.61
 
1.54
 
1
 
1
 
-2.36
 
0.94
 
5
 
10
 
11.22
 
4.09
 
New Zealand
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
1 387
 
2 030
 
11.18
 
3.30
 
4 130
 
4 004
 
-1.56
 
0.17
 
6
 
7
 
-22.11
 
-0.02
 
Japan
244
 
244
 
0.27
 
-0.44
 
3 170
 
2 951
 
-2.64
 
0.09
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
219
 
254
 
14.74
 
1.40
 
10
 
3
 
-15.94
 
-11.01
 
0
 
0
 
-59.85
 
1.03
 
South Africa
920
 
1 530
 
16.25
 
4.43
 
172
 
250
 
29.76
 
0.17
 
6
 
7
 
-4.20
 
-0.02
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
198 307
 
260 174
 
4.65
 
2.36
 
114 148
 
154 521
 
9.22
 
2.33
 
78 086
 
110 927
 
8.80
 
3.09
 
AFRICA
1 272
 
1 426
 
1.82
 
1.15
 
3 035
 
3 944
 
4.71
 
1.40
 
46
 
27
 
1.60
 
-0.75
 
NORTH AFRICA
70
 
78
 
2.16
 
0.99
 
2 946
 
3 835
 
4.68
 
1.33
 
17
 
0
 
75.65
 
-1.19
 
Algeria
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.77
 
313
 
458
 
24.81
 
3.35
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-3.24
 
Egypt
40
 
48
 
5.41
 
1.71
 
1 560
 
2 185
 
0.79
 
1.20
 
17
 
0
 
89.90
 
-1.19
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
1 202
 
1 348
 
1.81
 
1.16
 
89
 
109
 
5.59
 
4.22
 
29
 
27
 
-3.33
 
-0.75
 
Ethiopia
71
 
84
 
21.93
 
1.65
 
17
 
45
 
27.75
 
6.33
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.44
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.60
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.83
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.83
 
Mozambique
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.64
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.17
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.16
 
Nigeria
650
 
700
 
0.14
 
0.76
 
10
 
0
 
47.01
 
82.28
 
1
 
0
 
-37.23
 
-46.83
 
Tanzania
2
 
2
 
0.00
 
-0.12
 
6
 
6
 
0.00
 
0.11
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.11
 
Zambia
13
 
13
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
5
 
5
 
0.00
 
0.10
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.01
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
174 153
 
228 373
 
5.75
 
2.46
 
7 340
 
7 728
 
3.29
 
0.51
 
77 496
 
110 386
 
8.89
 
3.11
 
Argentina
59 320
 
70 064
 
3.58
 
2.06
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
14 179
 
16 459
 
4.63
 
1.99
 
Brazil
99 390
 
137 278
 
6.94
 
2.65
 
828
 
806
 
38.04
 
-0.25
 
55 105
 
82 808
 
11.38
 
3.36
 
Chile
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.54
 
350
 
378
 
7.04
 
0.59
 
2
 
2
 
-2.19
 
-0.59
 
Colombia
70
 
77
 
1.00
 
1.00
 
800
 
915
 
8.26
 
0.99
 
33
 
0
 
29.50
 
-0.98
 
Mexico
356
 
346
 
16.23
 
0.17
 
4 049
 
4 744
 
1.69
 
1.15
 
0
 
0
 
4.16
 
0.00
 
Paraguay
9 217
 
12 414
 
6.39
 
2.61
 
2
 
0
 
-54.90
 
-0.11
 
5 077
 
7 065
 
2.87
 
3.05
 
Peru
5
 
5
 
5.08
 
0.00
 
362
 
416
 
23.36
 
0.74
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.74
 
Uruguay
2 957
 
3 909
 
13.57
 
2.62
 
1
 
1
 
-13.53
 
-0.46
 
2 937
 
3 859
 
14.10
 
2.64
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
22 882
 
30 375
 
-1.38
 
1.63
 
103 772
 
142 849
 
9.93
 
2.46
 
544
 
514
 
1.79
 
-0.15
 
Bangladesh
68
 
77
 
1.71
 
1.02
 
931
 
1 411
 
31.65
 
3.33
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.23
 
China 2
12 185
 
15 803
 
-2.30
 
1.37
 
84 360
 
117 156
 
10.22
 
2.64
 
300
 
300
 
-3.09
 
0.00
 
India
8 667
 
12 231
 
-0.36
 
2.03
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
-0.22
 
35
 
54
 
3.41
 
3.49
 
Indonesia
918
 
1 099
 
2.59
 
2.00
 
2 361
 
3 055
 
7.62
 
2.06
 
2
 
2
 
353.01
 
-0.18
 
Iran
180
 
202
 
-2.00
 
1.31
 
1 752
 
2 226
 
8.80
 
1.10
 
97
 
60
 
62.25
 
-1.09
 
Korea
117
 
134
 
-0.63
 
0.48
 
1 350
 
1 477
 
1.67
 
0.61
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.34
 
697
 
820
 
2.82
 
0.58
 
30
 
27
 
9.20
 
-0.58
 
Pakistan
6
 
6
 
-9.07
 
1.49
 
1 183
 
2 319
 
26.61
 
1.94
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.90
 
Philippines
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
0.01
 
111
 
153
 
13.11
 
1.82
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.79
 
Saudi Arabia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.62
 
500
 
511
 
857.31
 
0.22
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.22
 
Thailand
53
 
62
 
-16.47
 
1.60
 
2 551
 
3 134
 
5.74
 
1.32
 
17
 
17
 
14.40
 
-1.30
 
Turkey
153
 
177
 
22.92
 
1.03
 
2 299
 
3 312
 
7.99
 
2.79
 
30
 
26
 
590.80
 
-2.72
 
Viet Nam
151
 
131
 
-7.87
 
-1.63
 
1 648
 
2 322
 
51.09
 
1.92
 
1
 
1
 
64.14
 
-0.24
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
630
 
738
 
1.78
 
1.57
 
1 124
 
1 984
 
28.16
 
3.78
 
11
 
7
 
0.00
 
-3.71
 
OECD 3
119 614
 
130 159
 
4.72
 
1.02
 
27 103
 
29 441
 
0.81
 
0.93
 
56 008
 
61 961
 
5.84
 
0.57
 
BRICS
123 930
 
170 542
 
5.23
 
2.48
 
87 475
 
120 757
 
10.57
 
2.60
 
55 909
 
83 369
 
11.30
 
3.29
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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