1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.24.2 - Skim milk powder projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.24.2Skim milk powder projections: Consumption, food
A.24.2Skim milk powder projections: Consumption, food
  Calendar year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
4 316
 
5 456
 
3.40
 
2.25
 
0.5
 
0.6
 
3.20
 
1.33
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
2 019
 
2 532
 
1.38
 
2.14
 
1.3
 
1.6
 
2.76
 
2.05
 
NORTH AMERICA
542
 
687
 
-0.19
 
2.72
 
1.4
 
1.6
 
-0.36
 
2.02
 
Canada
63
 
81
 
-1.09
 
1.98
 
0.6
 
0.7
 
-8.91
 
0.27
 
United States
480
 
606
 
-0.06
 
2.82
 
1.5
 
1.7
 
0.27
 
2.12
 
EUROPE
1 091
 
1 444
 
2.14
 
2.38
 
1.2
 
1.7
 
5.42
 
2.71
 
European Union
763
 
1 104
 
1.50
 
3.08
 
1.3
 
1.9
 
5.62
 
3.42
 
Russia
195
 
218
 
8.52
 
0.13
 
1.4
 
1.6
 
8.49
 
0.34
 
Ukraine
73
 
68
 
-0.26
 
0.92
 
1.6
 
1.6
 
0.13
 
1.52
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
159
 
177
 
10.00
 
2.18
 
5.6
 
5.5
 
8.36
 
1.05
 
Australia
77
 
68
 
11.29
 
1.65
 
3.2
 
2.5
 
9.49
 
0.47
 
New Zealand
81
 
109
 
9.46
 
2.53
 
18.0
 
21.9
 
8.59
 
1.69
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
227
 
225
 
-1.49
 
-0.67
 
0.7
 
0.7
 
-2.18
 
-0.93
 
Japan
173
 
164
 
-2.29
 
-1.27
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
-2.42
 
-0.95
 
Kazakhstan
17
 
20
 
6.02
 
1.53
 
0.9
 
1.0
 
4.51
 
0.64
 
South Africa
16
 
16
 
-2.88
 
0.56
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
-3.97
 
-0.09
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
2 297
 
2 924
 
5.49
 
2.35
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
4.07
 
1.19
 
AFRICA
359
 
439
 
3.28
 
2.74
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
0.61
 
0.29
 
NORTH AFRICA
239
 
283
 
6.13
 
2.67
 
1.3
 
1.3
 
4.27
 
1.23
 
Algeria
149
 
163
 
5.76
 
1.96
 
3.8
 
3.5
 
3.81
 
0.59
 
Egypt
71
 
100
 
15.00
 
3.91
 
0.8
 
0.9
 
12.62
 
2.20
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
120
 
156
 
-0.21
 
2.86
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-2.96
 
0.23
 
Ethiopia
1
 
1
 
-2.65
 
2.27
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-5.12
 
0.00
 
Ghana
14
 
22
 
4.84
 
3.37
 
0.5
 
0.6
 
2.32
 
1.33
 
Mozambique
2
 
2
 
-7.37
 
3.50
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-9.93
 
0.82
 
Nigeria
49
 
59
 
-0.99
 
2.70
 
0.3
 
0.2
 
-3.60
 
0.21
 
Tanzania
1
 
1
 
17.91
 
2.98
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
14.24
 
0.00
 
Zambia
2
 
2
 
15.10
 
3.02
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
11.67
 
0.00
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
604
 
722
 
5.77
 
1.21
 
0.9
 
0.9
 
4.67
 
0.25
 
Argentina
16
 
14
 
5.45
 
2.02
 
0.4
 
0.3
 
4.36
 
1.13
 
Brazil
175
 
204
 
4.26
 
1.62
 
0.6
 
0.6
 
3.12
 
0.83
 
Chile
28
 
32
 
9.59
 
1.49
 
1.6
 
1.6
 
8.42
 
0.63
 
Colombia
12
 
17
 
20.52
 
0.50
 
0.2
 
0.3
 
19.29
 
-0.18
 
Mexico
296
 
368
 
6.73
 
0.93
 
2.3
 
2.6
 
5.22
 
-0.13
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
-5.59
 
1.15
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-6.84
 
0.00
 
Peru
24
 
31
 
12.13
 
1.96
 
0.8
 
0.9
 
10.68
 
0.85
 
Uruguay
4
 
4
 
-0.66
 
0.03
 
1.2
 
1.1
 
-0.99
 
-0.30
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
1 335
 
1 763
 
6.04
 
2.76
 
0.3
 
0.4
 
4.90
 
1.93
 
Bangladesh
45
 
59
 
11.20
 
3.75
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
9.90
 
2.70
 
China 2
270
 
373
 
13.99
 
4.19
 
0.2
 
0.3
 
13.40
 
3.96
 
India
185
 
289
 
3.77
 
3.49
 
0.1
 
0.2
 
2.43
 
2.41
 
Indonesia
143
 
183
 
6.81
 
2.45
 
0.6
 
0.6
 
5.45
 
1.49
 
Iran
0
 
0
 
-72.82
 
0.80
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-73.16
 
0.00
 
Korea
24
 
40
 
-0.46
 
6.37
 
0.5
 
0.8
 
-0.97
 
6.05
 
Malaysia
103
 
120
 
4.24
 
1.47
 
3.4
 
3.5
 
2.63
 
0.27
 
Pakistan
29
 
40
 
23.47
 
3.48
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
20.91
 
1.66
 
Philippines
105
 
191
 
1.89
 
1.25
 
1.0
 
1.6
 
0.31
 
-0.15
 
Saudi Arabia
57
 
59
 
5.13
 
1.93
 
1.8
 
1.6
 
2.69
 
0.46
 
Thailand
69
 
65
 
2.99
 
0.21
 
1.0
 
0.9
 
2.67
 
0.17
 
Turkey
0
 
0
 
-81.37
 
0.66
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-81.66
 
0.00
 
Viet Nam
90
 
126
 
11.47
 
3.28
 
1.0
 
1.2
 
10.27
 
2.43
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
123
 
150
 
4.54
 
3.52
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
2.10
 
1.25
 
OECD 3
2 047
 
2 632
 
1.57
 
2.25
 
1.4
 
1.7
 
2.79
 
2.02
 
BRICS
841
 
1 100
 
7.50
 
2.55
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
6.79
 
1.98
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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