1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

English Chinese, Spanish, French

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.20.2 - Sheep meat projections: Consumption, food

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.20.2Sheep meat projections: Consumption, food
A.20.2Sheep meat projections: Consumption, food
  Calendar year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt cwe)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg rwe/cap) 5
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
14 288
 
17 515
 
1.31
 
1.97
 
1.7
 
1.9
 
0.12
 
0.96
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
2 699
 
2 934
 
-0.88
 
0.75
 
1.7
 
1.8
 
-1.29
 
0.49
 
NORTH AMERICA
189
 
184
 
-0.74
 
0.38
 
0.5
 
0.4
 
-1.54
 
-0.32
 
Canada
38
 
38
 
-0.69
 
0.29
 
0.9
 
0.9
 
-1.74
 
-0.51
 
United States
151
 
146
 
-0.74
 
0.40
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
-1.52
 
-0.29
 
EUROPE
1 401
 
1 520
 
-1.86
 
0.60
 
1.7
 
1.8
 
-1.97
 
0.63
 
European Union
1 085
 
1 183
 
-2.56
 
0.63
 
1.9
 
2.0
 
-2.73
 
0.56
 
Russia
186
 
199
 
0.39
 
0.45
 
1.1
 
1.2
 
0.36
 
0.66
 
Ukraine
19
 
23
 
1.76
 
1.85
 
0.4
 
0.5
 
2.15
 
2.46
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
252
 
290
 
-3.96
 
1.02
 
7.8
 
7.9
 
-5.39
 
-0.10
 
Australia
236
 
267
 
-1.86
 
1.02
 
8.7
 
8.6
 
-3.46
 
-0.15
 
New Zealand
16
 
23
 
-20.16
 
1.24
 
3.1
 
4.1
 
-20.80
 
0.40
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
857
 
940
 
2.24
 
0.98
 
2.8
 
2.9
 
1.59
 
0.64
 
Japan
20
 
17
 
-9.04
 
-2.47
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-8.96
 
-2.14
 
Kazakhstan
161
 
186
 
3.08
 
1.63
 
8.0
 
8.4
 
1.61
 
0.74
 
South Africa
190
 
203
 
0.66
 
0.86
 
3.1
 
3.0
 
-0.47
 
0.22
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
11 590
 
14 581
 
1.89
 
2.23
 
1.7
 
1.9
 
0.50
 
1.06
 
AFRICA
2 893
 
3 781
 
1.71
 
2.76
 
2.3
 
2.3
 
-0.93
 
0.31
 
NORTH AFRICA
712
 
914
 
2.40
 
2.44
 
3.4
 
3.7
 
0.60
 
1.01
 
Algeria
319
 
398
 
6.37
 
2.10
 
7.1
 
7.6
 
4.41
 
0.73
 
Egypt
134
 
181
 
-0.51
 
3.04
 
1.3
 
1.4
 
-2.57
 
1.34
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
2 181
 
2 867
 
1.49
 
2.86
 
2.0
 
2.0
 
-1.31
 
0.23
 
Ethiopia
146
 
188
 
0.34
 
2.86
 
1.3
 
1.3
 
-2.20
 
0.58
 
Ghana
47
 
70
 
4.16
 
3.71
 
1.5
 
1.8
 
1.66
 
1.66
 
Mozambique
25
 
39
 
1.33
 
4.58
 
0.8
 
0.9
 
-1.47
 
1.87
 
Nigeria
485
 
639
 
2.14
 
2.70
 
2.3
 
2.4
 
-0.55
 
0.21
 
Tanzania
65
 
107
 
5.82
 
4.96
 
1.1
 
1.3
 
2.53
 
1.92
 
Zambia
10
 
14
 
2.71
 
3.98
 
0.5
 
0.6
 
-0.35
 
0.93
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
394
 
433
 
0.44
 
0.78
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
-0.70
 
-0.10
 
Argentina
59
 
65
 
2.29
 
0.88
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.24
 
0.00
 
Brazil
93
 
92
 
0.61
 
0.00
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
-0.32
 
-0.66
 
Chile
9
 
10
 
-3.33
 
1.07
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
-4.37
 
0.21
 
Colombia
11
 
14
 
-0.72
 
1.17
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
-1.73
 
0.49
 
Mexico
76
 
82
 
-1.20
 
0.81
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
-2.60
 
-0.25
 
Paraguay
4
 
5
 
3.73
 
1.78
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
2.35
 
0.62
 
Peru
44
 
52
 
1.21
 
1.35
 
1.2
 
1.3
 
-0.09
 
0.24
 
Uruguay
23
 
28
 
10.45
 
0.93
 
5.8
 
7.0
 
10.07
 
0.60
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
8 303
 
10 367
 
2.02
 
2.11
 
1.7
 
2.0
 
0.92
 
1.28
 
Bangladesh
213
 
288
 
2.48
 
2.86
 
1.2
 
1.4
 
1.28
 
1.82
 
China 2
4 613
 
5 926
 
2.67
 
2.31
 
2.9
 
3.7
 
2.14
 
2.09
 
India
711
 
744
 
-1.06
 
0.53
 
0.5
 
0.4
 
-2.34
 
-0.52
 
Indonesia
118
 
147
 
-0.22
 
2.20
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
-1.49
 
1.24
 
Iran
290
 
367
 
-0.34
 
2.53
 
3.2
 
3.7
 
-1.57
 
1.72
 
Korea
10
 
12
 
6.90
 
0.87
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
6.35
 
0.57
 
Malaysia
36
 
47
 
8.40
 
1.64
 
1.1
 
1.2
 
6.72
 
0.43
 
Pakistan
455
 
562
 
1.54
 
2.11
 
2.1
 
2.1
 
-0.57
 
0.31
 
Philippines
57
 
68
 
1.08
 
1.79
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
-0.48
 
0.38
 
Saudi Arabia
195
 
228
 
4.19
 
1.65
 
5.4
 
5.4
 
1.77
 
0.18
 
Thailand
3
 
4
 
1.58
 
0.58
 
0.0
 
0.1
 
1.26
 
0.54
 
Turkey
366
 
416
 
2.38
 
1.18
 
4.1
 
4.3
 
0.78
 
0.51
 
Viet Nam
12
 
17
 
-0.69
 
3.50
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-1.76
 
2.65
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
2 054
 
2 743
 
2.08
 
2.99
 
1.9
 
2.0
 
-0.31
 
0.73
 
OECD 3
2 062
 
2 256
 
-1.76
 
0.75
 
1.4
 
1.4
 
-2.34
 
0.34
 
BRICS
5 793
 
7 165
 
1.97
 
1.98
 
1.6
 
1.9
 
1.09
 
1.37
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 September for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
5.
Per capita consumption expressed in retail weight. Carcass weight to retail weight conversion factors of 0.7 for beef and veal, 0.78 for pigmeat and 0.88 for both sheep meat and poultry meat.
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error