1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.7.2 - Rice projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.7.2Rice projections: Consumption, food
A.7.2Rice projections: Consumption, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 5
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 5
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
494 700
 
560 138
 
1.65
 
1.10
 
54.4
 
54.8
 
0.06
 
0.06
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
19 146
 
19 336
 
0.59
 
0.01
 
12.4
 
12.1
 
-0.33
 
-0.26
 
NORTH AMERICA
4 376
 
4 602
 
-0.08
 
0.53
 
12.2
 
11.9
 
-0.90
 
-0.17
 
Canada
399
 
440
 
1.38
 
0.81
 
11.1
 
11.2
 
0.31
 
0.01
 
United States
3 977
 
4 162
 
-0.23
 
0.50
 
12.4
 
12.0
 
-1.01
 
-0.19
 
EUROPE
3 879
 
4 233
 
1.04
 
0.56
 
5.2
 
5.7
 
0.93
 
0.59
 
European Union
2 727
 
2 936
 
1.03
 
0.48
 
5.4
 
5.8
 
0.86
 
0.42
 
Russia
767
 
902
 
1.29
 
1.03
 
5.4
 
6.4
 
1.26
 
1.24
 
Ukraine
127
 
124
 
-2.35
 
-0.16
 
2.8
 
2.9
 
-1.89
 
0.40
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
339
 
380
 
5.32
 
1.11
 
11.9
 
11.7
 
3.75
 
-0.01
 
Australia
292
 
329
 
5.99
 
1.18
 
12.2
 
12.0
 
4.27
 
0.01
 
New Zealand
47
 
50
 
1.83
 
0.69
 
10.3
 
10.1
 
1.02
 
-0.14
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
10 553
 
10 120
 
0.59
 
-0.47
 
32.2
 
29.1
 
-1.03
 
-0.92
 
Japan
8 667
 
8 043
 
0.00
 
-0.78
 
55.3
 
51.5
 
-1.16
 
-0.67
 
Kazakhstan
222
 
259
 
2.86
 
0.98
 
11.4
 
11.7
 
1.23
 
0.02
 
South Africa
917
 
952
 
3.43
 
0.65
 
16.4
 
15.8
 
2.19
 
0.01
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
475 554
 
540 803
 
1.70
 
1.14
 
64.3
 
63.9
 
-0.07
 
-0.06
 
AFRICA
32 118
 
43 176
 
4.77
 
2.75
 
24.9
 
26.3
 
2.19
 
0.50
 
NORTH AFRICA
4 307
 
5 215
 
0.84
 
1.73
 
21.5
 
22.5
 
-0.34
 
0.37
 
Algeria
115
 
147
 
4.42
 
1.52
 
2.8
 
3.1
 
2.57
 
0.17
 
Egypt
3 914
 
4 723
 
0.73
 
1.75
 
38.7
 
39.3
 
-0.71
 
0.14
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
27 811
 
37 961
 
5.51
 
2.90
 
25.6
 
27.0
 
2.66
 
0.49
 
Ethiopia
329
 
485
 
22.37
 
3.21
 
3.1
 
3.6
 
20.45
 
1.01
 
Ghana
1 048
 
1 395
 
7.59
 
2.15
 
35.0
 
37.5
 
4.43
 
0.21
 
Mozambique
786
 
1 073
 
6.38
 
2.89
 
25.5
 
26.3
 
3.14
 
0.33
 
Nigeria
5 697
 
7 155
 
4.86
 
2.67
 
27.8
 
27.7
 
2.40
 
0.34
 
Tanzania
1 991
 
3 114
 
10.57
 
3.36
 
28.4
 
33.6
 
6.02
 
1.00
 
Zambia
41
 
60
 
3.85
 
3.50
 
2.4
 
2.6
 
1.12
 
0.51
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
19 306
 
21 029
 
0.46
 
0.90
 
28.7
 
28.3
 
-0.76
 
0.01
 
Argentina
532
 
604
 
5.09
 
1.66
 
10.2
 
11.4
 
3.74
 
1.00
 
Brazil
7 914
 
8 028
 
-0.77
 
0.57
 
38.1
 
35.8
 
-1.69
 
-0.10
 
Chile
218
 
246
 
1.57
 
0.87
 
11.7
 
11.9
 
0.34
 
0.01
 
Colombia
1 613
 
1 953
 
0.19
 
0.97
 
31.2
 
33.4
 
-0.96
 
0.22
 
Mexico
1 039
 
1 167
 
1.58
 
1.17
 
8.2
 
8.1
 
0.14
 
0.10
 
Paraguay
105
 
100
 
12.49
 
1.21
 
6.5
 
6.6
 
0.59
 
0.13
 
Peru
2 304
 
2 659
 
2.86
 
1.09
 
65.4
 
66.2
 
1.32
 
-0.02
 
Uruguay
88
 
102
 
-3.67
 
0.78
 
8.1
 
8.5
 
-5.58
 
0.02
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
424 130
 
476 598
 
1.55
 
1.02
 
80.3
 
81.5
 
0.01
 
0.11
 
Bangladesh
35 648
 
41 235
 
2.19
 
1.43
 
180.9
 
186.4
 
1.01
 
0.28
 
China 2
141 978
 
150 744
 
1.60
 
0.32
 
77.8
 
78.0
 
0.00
 
-0.03
 
India
97 730
 
115 637
 
1.34
 
1.55
 
68.9
 
72.3
 
0.04
 
0.44
 
Indonesia
46 403
 
52 759
 
2.74
 
1.27
 
135.0
 
136.9
 
0.07
 
0.14
 
Iran
2 833
 
3 169
 
0.22
 
1.02
 
32.9
 
33.4
 
-0.59
 
0.18
 
Korea
4 431
 
4 188
 
-0.73
 
-1.33
 
63.5
 
53.3
 
-2.57
 
-1.43
 
Pakistan
2 715
 
3 521
 
-0.11
 
2.60
 
11.6
 
12.8
 
-1.68
 
1.00
 
Philippines
13 300
 
16 064
 
0.78
 
1.67
 
116.9
 
118.3
 
-0.05
 
0.14
 
Thailand
14 455
 
14 695
 
2.77
 
0.79
 
102.3
 
103.6
 
0.16
 
0.00
 
Turkey
771
 
840
 
2.51
 
0.66
 
9.3
 
9.3
 
0.87
 
-0.02
 
Viet Nam
21 757
 
24 396
 
1.48
 
0.88
 
159.4
 
154.6
 
-0.67
 
-0.32
 
LDC Asia 3
27 283
 
31 847
 
-0.41
 
1.46
 
114.2
 
112.1
 
0.04
 
-0.16
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
81 015
 
98 417
 
1.85
 
1.83
 
66.6
 
63.7
 
0.35
 
-0.41
 
OECD 4
22 854
 
22 726
 
0.22
 
-0.26
 
15.2
 
14.2
 
-0.99
 
-0.58
 
BRICS
249 306
 
276 263
 
1.42
 
0.83
 
66.9
 
68.5
 
-0.03
 
0.20
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
LDC Asia includes Afghanistan, Bhutan, Myanmar, Cambodia, Lao Peoples' Democratic Republic, Nepal, Yemen, Timor Leste, Maldives.
4.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
5.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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