1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.11.2 - Protein meal projections: Consumption

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.11.2Protein meal projections: Consumption
A.11.2Protein meal projections: Consumption
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
308 798
 
384 196
 
4.09
 
1.72
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
116 765
 
130 776
 
1.33
 
0.78
 
NORTH AMERICA
41 430
 
47 719
 
1.28
 
0.97
 
Canada
2 638
 
2 882
 
-1.09
 
0.70
 
United States
38 792
 
44 837
 
1.45
 
0.99
 
EUROPE
61 865
 
67 671
 
1.14
 
0.62
 
European Union
52 848
 
56 122
 
0.36
 
0.30
 
Russia
5 746
 
7 875
 
6.39
 
2.73
 
Ukraine
1 969
 
2 100
 
12.96
 
1.58
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
3 827
 
4 786
 
9.19
 
1.78
 
Australia
1 645
 
2 070
 
4.08
 
1.61
 
New Zealand
2 182
 
2 716
 
15.78
 
1.91
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
9 643
 
10 600
 
0.60
 
0.58
 
Japan
5 352
 
5 352
 
-1.20
 
-0.53
 
Kazakhstan
256
 
309
 
8.69
 
3.05
 
South Africa
2 111
 
2 633
 
4.06
 
1.78
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
192 033
 
253 421
 
6.13
 
2.23
 
AFRICA
10 306
 
13 469
 
6.87
 
2.35
 
NORTH AFRICA
7 184
 
9 722
 
8.92
 
2.46
 
Algeria
1 753
 
2 333
 
11.42
 
2.26
 
Egypt
3 042
 
3 892
 
8.83
 
1.92
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
3 122
 
3 746
 
3.02
 
2.09
 
Ethiopia
59
 
84
 
11.70
 
2.87
 
Ghana
80
 
103
 
4.84
 
2.72
 
Mozambique
60
 
60
 
2.35
 
-0.06
 
Nigeria
1 090
 
1 346
 
5.11
 
2.53
 
Tanzania
168
 
248
 
8.33
 
4.13
 
Zambia
42
 
46
 
0.81
 
0.96
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
36 555
 
46 075
 
3.43
 
1.87
 
Argentina
3 803
 
5 409
 
4.86
 
2.98
 
Brazil
16 308
 
19 681
 
2.39
 
1.58
 
Chile
1 531
 
2 030
 
5.63
 
2.38
 
Colombia
1 944
 
2 490
 
8.56
 
2.05
 
Mexico
6 701
 
8 903
 
3.97
 
2.14
 
Paraguay
560
 
834
 
4.52
 
1.60
 
Peru
1 345
 
1 877
 
7.10
 
2.73
 
Uruguay
305
 
367
 
2.55
 
0.36
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
145 172
 
193 877
 
6.85
 
2.31
 
Bangladesh
1 530
 
2 538
 
13.26
 
4.17
 
China 2
82 167
 
108 320
 
7.89
 
2.29
 
India
12 504
 
17 102
 
3.57
 
2.12
 
Indonesia
6 744
 
9 616
 
7.01
 
2.90
 
Iran
3 437
 
5 036
 
5.85
 
3.30
 
Korea
4 603
 
4 999
 
1.70
 
0.76
 
Malaysia
1 886
 
2 175
 
2.46
 
1.06
 
Pakistan
3 696
 
5 285
 
4.43
 
2.75
 
Philippines
3 119
 
4 219
 
5.05
 
2.15
 
Saudi Arabia
1 407
 
2 563
 
14.75
 
4.42
 
Thailand
5 416
 
6 440
 
3.91
 
1.41
 
Turkey
5 293
 
6 576
 
8.27
 
1.57
 
Viet Nam
6 589
 
10 198
 
12.55
 
3.23
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
3 677
 
5 375
 
5.81
 
3.14
 
OECD 3
122 180
 
137 263
 
1.38
 
0.77
 
BRICS
118 836
 
155 611
 
6.35
 
2.19
 
Note: Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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