1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.19.1 - Poultry meat projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.19.1Poultry meat projections: Production and trade
A.19.1Poultry meat projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt rtc)
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt rtc)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt rtc)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
113 875
 
131 609
 
2.93
 
1.24
 
11 600
 
14 226
 
2.95
 
1.63
 
12 218
 
14 226
 
3.83
 
1.63
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
47 328
 
52 756
 
2.54
 
0.83
 
3 111
 
3 231
 
-1.87
 
-0.33
 
5 528
 
6 645
 
3.34
 
1.98
 
NORTH AMERICA
21 768
 
24 494
 
0.99
 
1.03
 
344
 
373
 
2.43
 
0.80
 
3 532
 
4 231
 
0.60
 
2.36
 
Canada
1 301
 
1 495
 
1.09
 
1.11
 
268
 
291
 
0.90
 
1.03
 
183
 
197
 
0.10
 
1.42
 
United States
20 467
 
22 999
 
0.99
 
1.02
 
76
 
82
 
10.10
 
0.00
 
3 349
 
4 035
 
0.63
 
2.40
 
EUROPE
20 229
 
22 233
 
4.39
 
0.54
 
1 458
 
1 365
 
-6.65
 
-1.27
 
1 848
 
2 256
 
10.35
 
1.40
 
European Union
13 786
 
14 990
 
2.66
 
0.34
 
856
 
984
 
0.13
 
0.15
 
1 386
 
1 648
 
6.57
 
1.06
 
Russia
4 391
 
4 890
 
10.24
 
0.74
 
308
 
116
 
-17.30
 
-7.92
 
126
 
175
 
71.40
 
1.00
 
Ukraine
1 234
 
1 460
 
6.73
 
1.70
 
82
 
72
 
-11.16
 
-3.72
 
182
 
253
 
50.66
 
3.90
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
1 377
 
1 720
 
4.50
 
1.54
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
51
 
61
 
5.15
 
2.79
 
Australia
1 178
 
1 486
 
4.55
 
1.63
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
38
 
44
 
2.18
 
4.04
 
New Zealand
198
 
234
 
4.22
 
0.99
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
14
 
16
 
18.95
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
3 954
 
4 310
 
2.23
 
0.89
 
1 309
 
1 494
 
5.51
 
0.32
 
97
 
97
 
12.36
 
-0.60
 
Japan
1 515
 
1 583
 
1.39
 
0.45
 
506
 
483
 
4.08
 
-1.57
 
10
 
13
 
4.77
 
3.46
 
Kazakhstan
162
 
215
 
12.83
 
2.17
 
129
 
117
 
-0.50
 
0.88
 
0
 
0
 
-66.12
 
-0.06
 
South Africa
1 553
 
1 684
 
2.78
 
0.97
 
490
 
660
 
10.28
 
1.17
 
78
 
76
 
36.87
 
-1.06
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
66 546
 
78 852
 
3.21
 
1.53
 
8 489
 
10 994
 
5.39
 
2.28
 
6 690
 
7 581
 
4.24
 
1.33
 
AFRICA
3 564
 
4 177
 
2.67
 
1.66
 
1 257
 
1 722
 
9.19
 
3.76
 
21
 
10
 
-0.75
 
-5.93
 
NORTH AFRICA
2 243
 
2 575
 
3.16
 
1.49
 
127
 
282
 
23.53
 
6.39
 
14
 
7
 
18.63
 
-6.63
 
Algeria
285
 
328
 
0.99
 
1.41
 
5
 
10
 
15.79
 
5.24
 
2
 
1
 
210.61
 
-6.26
 
Egypt
959
 
1 107
 
2.84
 
1.64
 
31
 
54
 
7.00
 
2.34
 
9
 
5
 
85.02
 
-4.66
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
1 321
 
1 602
 
1.88
 
1.94
 
1 130
 
1 440
 
8.18
 
3.31
 
7
 
3
 
-11.89
 
-4.34
 
Ethiopia
62
 
81
 
3.49
 
2.63
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
34.85
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-38.48
 
Ghana
55
 
56
 
4.78
 
0.16
 
132
 
220
 
7.46
 
4.69
 
0
 
0
 
-66.63
 
-0.33
 
Mozambique
26
 
27
 
-0.65
 
0.04
 
31
 
66
 
15.32
 
8.04
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.55
 
Nigeria
187
 
248
 
-4.36
 
2.54
 
0
 
0
 
-29.10
 
1.41
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.74
 
Tanzania
91
 
122
 
1.94
 
2.89
 
0
 
12
 
-0.29
 
50.47
 
0
 
0
 
-19.15
 
-43.78
 
Zambia
47
 
57
 
3.00
 
1.69
 
2
 
14
 
236.05
 
21.16
 
0
 
0
 
-38.66
 
-6.88
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
25 373
 
29 215
 
2.89
 
1.23
 
1 783
 
1 851
 
5.18
 
0.25
 
4 685
 
5 479
 
2.89
 
1.35
 
Argentina
2 038
 
2 355
 
4.41
 
1.31
 
10
 
10
 
-5.20
 
0.00
 
263
 
300
 
5.67
 
3.23
 
Brazil
13 434
 
15 122
 
2.43
 
0.86
 
3
 
3
 
21.91
 
0.00
 
4 232
 
4 979
 
2.60
 
1.29
 
Chile
696
 
809
 
2.34
 
1.17
 
116
 
137
 
15.83
 
-0.34
 
136
 
152
 
6.85
 
0.34
 
Colombia
1 405
 
1 677
 
5.22
 
1.62
 
63
 
93
 
5.12
 
2.68
 
3
 
2
 
-1.68
 
-0.62
 
Mexico
2 973
 
3 609
 
1.87
 
1.88
 
812
 
886
 
7.21
 
0.03
 
4
 
5
 
10.91
 
7.59
 
Paraguay
39
 
42
 
3.04
 
0.36
 
6
 
12
 
5.72
 
7.84
 
0
 
0
 
-58.62
 
-0.54
 
Peru
1 311
 
1 577
 
6.16
 
1.66
 
34
 
45
 
13.52
 
-0.21
 
2
 
3
 
-3.47
 
0.03
 
Uruguay
60
 
62
 
-1.36
 
-0.06
 
6
 
10
 
26.82
 
4.89
 
9
 
3
 
8.69
 
-4.67
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
37 610
 
45 460
 
3.49
 
1.72
 
5 449
 
7 421
 
4.72
 
2.53
 
1 985
 
2 092
 
8.35
 
1.31
 
Bangladesh
223
 
289
 
2.21
 
2.69
 
0
 
6
 
-0.11
 
39.56
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-38.96
 
China 2
18 358
 
22 115
 
2.80
 
1.59
 
491
 
524
 
-5.66
 
-0.49
 
429
 
430
 
4.85
 
1.33
 
India
2 695
 
3 860
 
4.75
 
2.85
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
52.97
 
8
 
0
 
21.25
 
-48.50
 
Indonesia
1 945
 
2 358
 
4.94
 
1.70
 
3
 
22
 
-10.80
 
20.13
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-16.00
 
Iran
2 118
 
2 401
 
3.58
 
1.39
 
4
 
4
 
-34.94
 
27.04
 
74
 
3
 
16.58
 
-30.53
 
Korea
835
 
897
 
5.07
 
0.76
 
143
 
196
 
8.44
 
2.44
 
28
 
33
 
17.73
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
1 424
 
1 659
 
3.95
 
1.49
 
57
 
91
 
6.49
 
2.55
 
50
 
40
 
11.23
 
-2.26
 
Pakistan
945
 
1 219
 
6.63
 
2.57
 
24
 
32
 
37.73
 
0.32
 
22
 
11
 
340.59
 
-4.99
 
Philippines
1 127
 
1 257
 
4.58
 
1.11
 
190
 
481
 
18.33
 
5.90
 
8
 
5
 
3.06
 
-0.74
 
Saudi Arabia
673
 
788
 
2.41
 
1.47
 
923
 
1 232
 
8.27
 
1.91
 
62
 
57
 
36.19
 
-1.87
 
Thailand
1 628
 
1 936
 
4.16
 
1.63
 
6
 
5
 
31.00
 
0.64
 
857
 
1 146
 
6.11
 
2.70
 
Turkey
1 916
 
2 090
 
7.26
 
1.18
 
2
 
2
 
5.37
 
-0.16
 
362
 
301
 
24.12
 
1.96
 
Viet Nam
666
 
887
 
3.91
 
2.86
 
727
 
1 125
 
15.99
 
3.90
 
0
 
0
 
-40.70
 
-0.27
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
2 525
 
3 244
 
3.90
 
2.48
 
1 013
 
1 212
 
8.20
 
3.20
 
4
 
2
 
-1.70
 
-5.04
 
OECD 3
45 585
 
51 018
 
1.95
 
0.89
 
2 842
 
3 130
 
3.68
 
0.03
 
5 523
 
6 453
 
2.91
 
1.93
 
BRICS
40 431
 
47 671
 
3.42
 
1.34
 
1 292
 
1 303
 
-6.62
 
-0.75
 
4 873
 
5 659
 
3.34
 
1.24
 
..
Not available
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 September for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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