1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.10.1 - Other oilseed projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.10.1Other oilseed projections: Production and trade
A.10.1Other oilseed projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
139 931
 
161 238
 
3.37
 
1.11
 
18 557
 
21 497
 
5.13
 
1.73
 
18 251
 
21 497
 
4.71
 
1.73
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
84 287
 
97 977
 
5.08
 
1.20
 
8 040
 
8 474
 
2.67
 
-0.15
 
16 238
 
18 901
 
5.09
 
1.82
 
NORTH AMERICA
22 102
 
26 718
 
5.95
 
1.52
 
990
 
1 336
 
-1.78
 
0.46
 
10 557
 
12 546
 
4.85
 
2.05
 
Canada
17 796
 
22 031
 
6.63
 
1.74
 
240
 
255
 
-2.79
 
-0.02
 
9 850
 
11 810
 
5.28
 
2.21
 
United States
4 306
 
4 686
 
3.41
 
0.56
 
750
 
1 081
 
-1.52
 
0.57
 
707
 
737
 
0.78
 
-0.38
 
EUROPE
56 956
 
65 126
 
4.45
 
1.10
 
4 235
 
4 296
 
5.54
 
-0.48
 
3 100
 
2 911
 
0.28
 
1.45
 
European Union
30 370
 
28 962
 
2.18
 
-0.17
 
4 026
 
4 110
 
5.71
 
-0.43
 
997
 
673
 
4.14
 
-0.75
 
Russia
10 817
 
13 714
 
6.84
 
1.73
 
125
 
105
 
2.94
 
-2.70
 
140
 
194
 
-1.10
 
2.57
 
Ukraine
14 007
 
20 564
 
8.73
 
2.68
 
31
 
26
 
12.29
 
-0.40
 
1 510
 
1 598
 
-2.68
 
1.79
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
3 409
 
3 846
 
10.77
 
0.42
 
31
 
32
 
3.69
 
0.00
 
2 394
 
3 104
 
16.98
 
1.07
 
Australia
3 399
 
3 836
 
10.82
 
0.42
 
26
 
27
 
5.60
 
0.00
 
2 394
 
3 104
 
16.98
 
1.07
 
New Zealand
10
 
10
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
4
 
4
 
-2.69
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
1 821
 
2 287
 
5.64
 
1.63
 
2 784
 
2 811
 
1.37
 
0.09
 
187
 
340
 
6.11
 
3.91
 
Japan
16
 
16
 
-2.91
 
-0.43
 
2 537
 
2 507
 
0.87
 
-0.03
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
714
 
919
 
10.50
 
1.91
 
9
 
7
 
-16.65
 
0.83
 
150
 
313
 
22.84
 
4.53
 
South Africa
914
 
1 126
 
4.59
 
1.48
 
58
 
86
 
8.72
 
0.34
 
8
 
3
 
-27.29
 
-0.22
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
55 644
 
63 261
 
1.21
 
0.97
 
10 517
 
13 023
 
7.45
 
3.18
 
2 012
 
2 596
 
2.08
 
1.12
 
AFRICA
6 577
 
7 148
 
1.07
 
0.99
 
368
 
441
 
10.62
 
1.45
 
150
 
152
 
0.19
 
-0.51
 
NORTH AFRICA
419
 
457
 
0.88
 
0.61
 
320
 
374
 
12.08
 
1.25
 
13
 
9
 
-1.92
 
-0.71
 
Algeria
115
 
123
 
1.26
 
0.51
 
60
 
57
 
5.67
 
0.82
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.06
 
Egypt
176
 
193
 
0.38
 
0.80
 
87
 
114
 
22.98
 
1.53
 
9
 
5
 
-2.86
 
-1.36
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
6 158
 
6 691
 
1.09
 
1.02
 
49
 
67
 
3.96
 
2.65
 
137
 
143
 
0.31
 
-0.50
 
Ethiopia
26
 
25
 
0.00
 
-0.01
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.18
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.18
 
Ghana
329
 
342
 
11.18
 
1.61
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
33.76
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-26.26
 
Mozambique
102
 
125
 
0.00
 
1.70
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.30
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.28
 
Nigeria
2 210
 
2 381
 
0.86
 
1.00
 
0
 
0
 
-29.13
 
0.27
 
33
 
43
 
-8.32
 
-0.96
 
Tanzania
103
 
116
 
3.58
 
1.60
 
1
 
2
 
0.00
 
0.19
 
2
 
0
 
0.00
 
-12.25
 
Zambia
39
 
39
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.16
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.16
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
5 180
 
6 950
 
-1.54
 
1.91
 
1 623
 
2 644
 
1.29
 
5.33
 
759
 
920
 
0.95
 
0.69
 
Argentina
3 654
 
5 136
 
-2.15
 
2.15
 
1
 
1
 
-14.93
 
0.00
 
568
 
685
 
3.67
 
0.14
 
Brazil
444
 
545
 
1.09
 
2.00
 
6
 
5
 
-3.28
 
0.00
 
66
 
88
 
8.98
 
2.05
 
Chile
88
 
99
 
1.08
 
1.11
 
14
 
7
 
-6.63
 
-6.42
 
3
 
5
 
-2.23
 
4.20
 
Colombia
2
 
2
 
0.00
 
1.01
 
7
 
7
 
0.00
 
-0.40
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.40
 
Mexico
119
 
97
 
5.33
 
-2.23
 
1 569
 
2 603
 
1.61
 
5.52
 
3
 
3
 
13.11
 
0.00
 
Paraguay
231
 
234
 
-1.81
 
0.71
 
0
 
0
 
-78.36
 
-0.17
 
32
 
38
 
-13.70
 
2.51
 
Peru
6
 
6
 
0.00
 
0.01
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
-0.38
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.39
 
Uruguay
229
 
276
 
2.14
 
1.35
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
-3.23
 
1
 
1
 
-34.06
 
3.81
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
43 887
 
49 163
 
1.62
 
0.84
 
8 527
 
9 938
 
8.98
 
2.76
 
1 104
 
1 524
 
3.42
 
1.58
 
Bangladesh
304
 
356
 
2.30
 
1.51
 
105
 
125
 
-6.19
 
1.73
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.12
 
China 2
28 569
 
30 740
 
2.73
 
0.64
 
4 562
 
5 965
 
16.02
 
5.07
 
541
 
449
 
-0.21
 
-0.01
 
India
9 823
 
11 959
 
-1.42
 
1.10
 
313
 
195
 
14.56
 
-1.85
 
469
 
991
 
10.18
 
2.59
 
Indonesia
702
 
795
 
-1.55
 
1.06
 
223
 
135
 
1.36
 
-3.68
 
1
 
1
 
-1.65
 
0.32
 
Iran
250
 
278
 
-1.26
 
0.60
 
165
 
358
 
48.88
 
2.34
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
-0.21
 
Korea
14
 
13
 
4.96
 
0.00
 
28
 
28
 
-1.39
 
-0.21
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Malaysia
5
 
5
 
4.38
 
0.01
 
44
 
48
 
2.35
 
0.91
 
3
 
3
 
1.27
 
-0.91
 
Pakistan
856
 
977
 
1.78
 
1.16
 
1 153
 
1 020
 
7.39
 
0.34
 
5
 
5
 
188.47
 
-0.04
 
Philippines
20
 
21
 
0.53
 
0.52
 
72
 
63
 
5.39
 
0.87
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.06
 
Saudi Arabia
3
 
3
 
0.00
 
0.01
 
4
 
4
 
0.00
 
-0.05
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.05
 
Thailand
90
 
97
 
-0.32
 
0.81
 
58
 
53
 
5.96
 
-0.79
 
4
 
4
 
11.09
 
0.57
 
Turkey
1 630
 
2 092
 
9.12
 
2.01
 
884
 
897
 
1.76
 
-1.18
 
20
 
17
 
2.79
 
0.25
 
Viet Nam
338
 
390
 
-1.59
 
1.31
 
19
 
39
 
206.45
 
0.25
 
35
 
29
 
0.27
 
-0.34
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
4 621
 
5 145
 
0.82
 
1.05
 
248
 
267
 
1.50
 
1.10
 
89
 
88
 
5.57
 
-0.11
 
OECD 3
57 870
 
61 973
 
4.13
 
0.64
 
10 211
 
11 672
 
2.29
 
0.77
 
13 989
 
16 361
 
6.25
 
1.73
 
BRICS
50 568
 
58 084
 
2.51
 
1.01
 
5 065
 
6 355
 
15.08
 
4.50
 
1 225
 
1 724
 
2.16
 
1.80
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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