1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.10.2 - Other oilseed projections: Consumption, domestic crush

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.10.2Other oilseed projections: Consumption, domestic crush
A.10.2Other oilseed projections: Consumption, domestic crush
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
DOMESTIC CRUSH (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
141 140
 
161 023
 
3.48
 
1.13
 
119 481
 
137 953
 
3.76
 
1.24
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
76 578
 
87 354
 
4.88
 
0.98
 
69 494
 
79 172
 
5.25
 
0.94
 
NORTH AMERICA
12 801
 
15 326
 
6.07
 
1.08
 
10 855
 
13 225
 
7.16
 
1.14
 
Canada
8 586
 
10 285
 
8.22
 
1.25
 
8 170
 
9 964
 
8.42
 
1.26
 
United States
4 215
 
5 041
 
2.64
 
0.72
 
2 686
 
3 262
 
4.06
 
0.76
 
EUROPE
58 419
 
66 500
 
4.86
 
1.02
 
53 636
 
60 836
 
5.18
 
0.97
 
European Union
33 549
 
32 397
 
2.56
 
-0.12
 
31 081
 
29 701
 
2.73
 
-0.24
 
Russia
10 866
 
13 624
 
7.10
 
1.68
 
10 241
 
12 768
 
8.01
 
1.58
 
Ukraine
12 626
 
18 985
 
11.17
 
2.77
 
11 482
 
17 455
 
11.67
 
2.90
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
947
 
774
 
2.28
 
-1.61
 
879
 
710
 
1.91
 
-1.74
 
Australia
933
 
760
 
2.34
 
-1.63
 
868
 
699
 
1.94
 
-1.76
 
New Zealand
14
 
14
 
-1.16
 
0.00
 
11
 
11
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
4 411
 
4 754
 
2.69
 
0.58
 
4 123
 
4 401
 
2.58
 
0.52
 
Japan
2 549
 
2 523
 
0.72
 
-0.03
 
2 522
 
2 503
 
0.76
 
-0.01
 
Kazakhstan
583
 
613
 
6.64
 
0.88
 
458
 
451
 
6.20
 
0.52
 
South Africa
954
 
1 206
 
6.54
 
1.44
 
858
 
1 087
 
6.67
 
1.44
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
64 561
 
73 669
 
2.01
 
1.32
 
49 988
 
58 781
 
1.97
 
1.64
 
AFRICA
6 797
 
7 436
 
1.51
 
1.05
 
3 230
 
3 447
 
1.88
 
0.71
 
NORTH AFRICA
722
 
821
 
4.77
 
0.92
 
587
 
675
 
5.97
 
0.97
 
Algeria
178
 
180
 
2.71
 
0.61
 
162
 
163
 
2.82
 
0.56
 
Egypt
255
 
302
 
4.77
 
1.11
 
170
 
210
 
7.66
 
1.25
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
6 075
 
6 615
 
1.17
 
1.07
 
2 643
 
2 772
 
1.12
 
0.65
 
Ethiopia
26
 
25
 
0.00
 
-0.01
 
17
 
17
 
0.00
 
-0.01
 
Ghana
329
 
342
 
11.18
 
1.61
 
115
 
90
 
11.18
 
0.19
 
Mozambique
102
 
125
 
0.00
 
1.70
 
42
 
46
 
0.00
 
0.39
 
Nigeria
2 177
 
2 338
 
1.14
 
1.04
 
762
 
814
 
1.13
 
0.77
 
Tanzania
102
 
117
 
3.61
 
1.68
 
64
 
67
 
5.53
 
0.84
 
Zambia
39
 
39
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
19
 
19
 
0.00
 
-0.01
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
5 967
 
8 673
 
-1.16
 
3.00
 
5 365
 
8 001
 
-1.53
 
3.22
 
Argentina
3 004
 
4 452
 
-3.10
 
2.49
 
2 893
 
4 301
 
-3.50
 
2.51
 
Brazil
384
 
462
 
-0.01
 
2.07
 
321
 
378
 
-0.49
 
1.91
 
Chile
99
 
102
 
-0.25
 
0.21
 
91
 
92
 
-0.38
 
0.14
 
Colombia
9
 
9
 
0.00
 
-0.06
 
8
 
8
 
0.00
 
-0.10
 
Mexico
1 682
 
2 698
 
1.81
 
5.12
 
1 415
 
2 449
 
2.01
 
5.99
 
Paraguay
199
 
196
 
3.61
 
0.49
 
165
 
159
 
3.75
 
0.33
 
Peru
7
 
7
 
0.00
 
-0.03
 
3
 
3
 
0.00
 
-0.08
 
Uruguay
228
 
276
 
2.49
 
1.34
 
205
 
249
 
2.49
 
1.39
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
51 797
 
57 560
 
2.52
 
1.12
 
41 393
 
47 333
 
2.53
 
1.47
 
Bangladesh
413
 
481
 
0.01
 
1.57
 
370
 
435
 
-0.20
 
1.62
 
China 2
32 860
 
36 245
 
3.87
 
1.25
 
25 436
 
29 118
 
3.83
 
1.80
 
India
9 831
 
11 158
 
-1.47
 
0.91
 
8 542
 
9 805
 
-1.31
 
0.94
 
Indonesia
930
 
929
 
-0.82
 
0.20
 
272
 
345
 
0.86
 
1.51
 
Iran
408
 
635
 
5.18
 
1.58
 
382
 
608
 
5.74
 
1.61
 
Korea
42
 
42
 
0.12
 
-0.14
 
37
 
37
 
0.15
 
-0.16
 
Malaysia
46
 
51
 
2.63
 
0.92
 
45
 
49
 
2.45
 
0.91
 
Pakistan
2 033
 
1 992
 
4.89
 
0.72
 
1 861
 
1 775
 
5.05
 
0.59
 
Philippines
92
 
84
 
4.28
 
0.78
 
79
 
68
 
5.01
 
0.62
 
Saudi Arabia
7
 
7
 
0.00
 
-0.03
 
5
 
5
 
0.00
 
-0.03
 
Thailand
144
 
146
 
1.65
 
0.21
 
88
 
89
 
3.31
 
0.28
 
Turkey
2 510
 
2 971
 
6.12
 
0.97
 
2 317
 
2 736
 
5.81
 
0.91
 
Viet Nam
312
 
400
 
-1.24
 
1.35
 
195
 
264
 
-0.71
 
1.54
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
4 793
 
5 326
 
0.86
 
1.08
 
2 773
 
3 034
 
0.76
 
0.91
 
OECD 3
54 417
 
57 098
 
3.34
 
0.43
 
49 310
 
51 589
 
3.58
 
0.38
 
BRICS
54 894
 
62 695
 
3.23
 
1.29
 
45 399
 
53 156
 
3.42
 
1.58
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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