1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

English Chinese, Spanish, French

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.6.2 - Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.6.2Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food
A.6.2Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FEED (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
292 542
 
326 454
 
0.34
 
1.02
 
165 054
 
181 974
 
0.32
 
1.07
 
10.3
 
11.1
 
-0.22
 
0.77
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
150 106
 
158 645
 
-1.36
 
0.17
 
104 087
 
112 186
 
-1.73
 
0.54
 
7.9
 
7.6
 
-0.60
 
-0.11
 
NORTH AMERICA
18 960
 
18 983
 
-2.21
 
0.02
 
10 326
 
10 385
 
-5.31
 
0.13
 
3.6
 
3.3
 
0.04
 
-0.48
 
Canada
7 574
 
8 112
 
-2.48
 
0.24
 
6 612
 
7 172
 
-2.90
 
0.24
 
9.4
 
8.4
 
2.62
 
0.06
 
United States
11 385
 
10 871
 
-2.05
 
-0.15
 
3 714
 
3 212
 
-8.60
 
-0.12
 
2.9
 
2.7
 
-0.79
 
-0.69
 
EUROPE
117 147
 
124 000
 
-1.32
 
0.14
 
84 570
 
91 198
 
-1.29
 
0.57
 
11.4
 
10.9
 
-0.69
 
0.09
 
European Union
82 080
 
85 033
 
-1.00
 
-0.03
 
60 033
 
62 844
 
-1.36
 
0.53
 
9.4
 
9.5
 
0.21
 
0.26
 
Russia
21 999
 
24 377
 
-1.72
 
0.42
 
15 214
 
17 551
 
-0.66
 
0.53
 
14.4
 
11.7
 
-1.84
 
-0.45
 
Ukraine
6 065
 
6 294
 
-3.26
 
0.56
 
3 983
 
4 216
 
-2.57
 
0.89
 
19.5
 
20.1
 
-1.82
 
0.45
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
5 621
 
6 703
 
-2.81
 
0.80
 
3 745
 
4 820
 
-2.54
 
1.05
 
9.3
 
8.6
 
-7.05
 
-0.71
 
Australia
5 140
 
6 146
 
-3.19
 
0.71
 
3 318
 
4 329
 
-3.25
 
0.96
 
8.8
 
7.8
 
-5.60
 
-1.00
 
New Zealand
480
 
557
 
2.19
 
1.80
 
427
 
491
 
4.95
 
1.87
 
11.9
 
13.3
 
-18.83
 
0.40
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
8 379
 
8 959
 
1.27
 
0.59
 
5 446
 
5 784
 
0.35
 
0.41
 
4.2
 
4.8
 
2.87
 
0.28
 
Japan
2 664
 
2 094
 
-3.16
 
-0.87
 
1 897
 
1 495
 
-4.64
 
-1.47
 
3.7
 
3.9
 
0.79
 
0.50
 
Kazakhstan
2 423
 
2 777
 
2.51
 
0.69
 
1 580
 
1 823
 
3.28
 
0.51
 
2.6
 
2.6
 
-1.46
 
-0.05
 
South Africa
668
 
716
 
2.03
 
0.55
 
39
 
54
 
-1.64
 
0.97
 
3.9
 
4.0
 
-2.33
 
-0.05
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
142 436
 
167 810
 
2.46
 
1.89
 
60 967
 
69 787
 
5.03
 
2.00
 
10.8
 
11.9
 
-0.19
 
0.85
 
AFRICA
51 634
 
66 983
 
2.09
 
2.29
 
7 197
 
8 990
 
4.70
 
2.13
 
33.6
 
34.3
 
-0.34
 
0.16
 
NORTH AFRICA
8 177
 
9 733
 
4.17
 
1.70
 
5 228
 
6 592
 
6.20
 
2.19
 
13.8
 
12.6
 
-0.65
 
-0.70
 
Algeria
2 298
 
2 879
 
6.03
 
2.57
 
1 665
 
2 149
 
9.40
 
3.01
 
15.1
 
15.0
 
-0.84
 
0.10
 
Egypt
900
 
1 022
 
-1.62
 
1.47
 
545
 
592
 
-3.12
 
1.13
 
3.2
 
3.3
 
-0.62
 
0.47
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
43 457
 
57 250
 
1.75
 
2.40
 
1 970
 
2 398
 
1.52
 
1.96
 
37.4
 
37.9
 
-0.43
 
0.10
 
Ethiopia
10 103
 
14 462
 
4.93
 
3.19
 
573
 
694
 
15.38
 
1.50
 
83.0
 
95.5
 
1.45
 
1.32
 
Ghana
400
 
504
 
-3.39
 
2.05
 
27
 
35
 
-2.20
 
2.23
 
10.3
 
10.7
 
-6.53
 
0.42
 
Mozambique
293
 
351
 
-3.68
 
4.47
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
5.26
 
10.1
 
9.1
 
-6.19
 
1.94
 
Nigeria
7 603
 
9 480
 
-1.66
 
1.86
 
411
 
482
 
-0.30
 
2.06
 
36.4
 
34.6
 
-1.57
 
-0.47
 
Tanzania
1 234
 
1 571
 
2.86
 
2.55
 
69
 
76
 
4.59
 
0.63
 
19.6
 
18.8
 
-0.29
 
-0.10
 
Zambia
46
 
59
 
-5.03
 
2.57
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.47
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
-8.86
 
-0.13
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
20 084
 
23 072
 
1.53
 
1.31
 
14 779
 
17 114
 
0.80
 
1.41
 
4.0
 
4.1
 
0.36
 
0.31
 
Argentina
4 507
 
4 962
 
8.63
 
0.94
 
2 909
 
3 257
 
7.87
 
1.14
 
15.8
 
16.6
 
1.17
 
0.40
 
Brazil
3 304
 
3 897
 
3.70
 
2.61
 
1 877
 
2 275
 
3.53
 
3.55
 
2.8
 
3.0
 
1.87
 
0.26
 
Chile
1 355
 
1 400
 
8.33
 
0.28
 
1 175
 
1 197
 
10.65
 
0.11
 
2.1
 
2.0
 
-0.49
 
-0.02
 
Colombia
1 085
 
1 228
 
12.21
 
1.22
 
721
 
833
 
19.86
 
1.49
 
1.5
 
1.5
 
-1.02
 
-0.12
 
Mexico
7 935
 
9 192
 
-2.50
 
1.13
 
7 182
 
8 342
 
-2.88
 
1.10
 
5.9
 
5.9
 
0.34
 
0.36
 
Paraguay
29
 
34
 
-0.21
 
1.45
 
27
 
31
 
-0.22
 
1.51
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-1.33
 
-0.02
 
Peru
386
 
429
 
1.20
 
0.97
 
25
 
30
 
0.89
 
1.97
 
6.1
 
6.1
 
0.06
 
0.09
 
Uruguay
409
 
542
 
-1.53
 
0.40
 
184
 
214
 
1.19
 
-0.03
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
-0.68
 
-0.01
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
70 718
 
77 755
 
3.02
 
1.74
 
38 990
 
43 683
 
7.21
 
2.20
 
5.7
 
5.9
 
-1.50
 
0.26
 
Bangladesh
77
 
93
 
21.31
 
1.96
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
2.53
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
19.89
 
0.92
 
China 2
23 224
 
22 872
 
9.44
 
2.76
 
13 103
 
13 965
 
32.29
 
4.44
 
3.5
 
3.2
 
0.13
 
-0.70
 
India
17 683
 
20 768
 
-1.43
 
1.47
 
582
 
646
 
6.69
 
3.08
 
12.4
 
13.0
 
-2.31
 
0.34
 
Indonesia
95
 
91
 
9.31
 
0.77
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
2.22
 
0.4
 
0.3
 
7.91
 
-0.17
 
Iran
4 375
 
5 184
 
3.80
 
1.56
 
4 198
 
4 992
 
4.09
 
1.59
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
-1.23
 
-0.80
 
Korea
213
 
220
 
-2.62
 
0.45
 
65
 
58
 
-2.46
 
-0.01
 
2.9
 
3.1
 
-3.18
 
0.31
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.23
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.42
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-1.55
 
-0.06
 
Pakistan
768
 
1 010
 
4.73
 
2.08
 
195
 
199
 
0.00
 
-0.04
 
2.8
 
3.3
 
5.26
 
0.98
 
Philippines
37
 
40
 
1.38
 
0.76
 
30
 
32
 
1.85
 
0.61
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-1.71
 
0.04
 
Saudi Arabia
10 018
 
11 504
 
4.29
 
1.00
 
9 822
 
11 304
 
4.40
 
1.01
 
2.9
 
2.4
 
-2.32
 
-1.44
 
Thailand
188
 
199
 
-0.29
 
0.49
 
53
 
61
 
-0.46
 
1.24
 
1.5
 
1.5
 
-0.62
 
-0.10
 
Turkey
8 390
 
9 603
 
0.53
 
1.45
 
7 301
 
8 455
 
0.68
 
1.58
 
3.7
 
3.7
 
-1.08
 
-0.06
 
Viet Nam
77
 
81
 
9.37
 
1.02
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.55
 
0.1
 
0.0
 
7.44
 
0.57
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
34 791
 
46 441
 
2.52
 
2.51
 
1 718
 
2 149
 
0.68
 
1.96
 
29.1
 
31.4
 
0.27
 
0.63
 
OECD 3
129 309
 
135 386
 
-1.22
 
0.19
 
93 560
 
99 486
 
-1.83
 
0.60
 
6.3
 
6.2
 
-0.39
 
0.08
 
BRICS
66 879
 
72 629
 
1.46
 
1.53
 
30 814
 
34 492
 
6.04
 
2.19
 
7.7
 
7.9
 
-1.56
 
0.29
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error