1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.5.1 - Maize projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.5.1Maize projections: Production and trade
A.5.1Maize projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
1 024 735
 
1 163 711
 
3.33
 
1.26
 
133 765
 
153 315
 
5.28
 
1.38
 
135 276
 
154 507
 
5.93
 
1.37
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
504 733
 
558 572
 
2.34
 
0.99
 
34 456
 
35 043
 
2.71
 
0.23
 
81 358
 
88 220
 
3.85
 
0.94
 
NORTH AMERICA
376 554
 
407 606
 
1.70
 
0.85
 
2 632
 
2 834
 
-0.70
 
-0.57
 
51 848
 
51 074
 
-0.71
 
0.52
 
Canada
12 746
 
14 203
 
2.61
 
1.01
 
1 328
 
1 450
 
-9.69
 
-0.94
 
1 157
 
818
 
20.53
 
-0.52
 
United States
363 807
 
393 403
 
1.67
 
0.84
 
1 304
 
1 384
 
19.55
 
-0.17
 
50 691
 
50 256
 
-0.97
 
0.54
 
EUROPE
113 963
 
132 642
 
5.05
 
1.41
 
13 067
 
14 334
 
9.51
 
0.69
 
28 151
 
34 296
 
25.52
 
1.58
 
European Union
65 360
 
74 578
 
1.37
 
1.40
 
12 239
 
13 613
 
11.07
 
0.80
 
3 055
 
3 033
 
12.19
 
2.17
 
Russia
12 868
 
16 646
 
17.04
 
1.90
 
83
 
99
 
-14.30
 
-0.19
 
4 249
 
6 207
 
55.61
 
2.09
 
Ukraine
26 596
 
31 240
 
16.34
 
1.04
 
28
 
25
 
0.51
 
-0.04
 
18 482
 
21 682
 
28.05
 
1.15
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
654
 
727
 
3.53
 
0.82
 
150
 
138
 
69.58
 
1.04
 
67
 
79
 
28.06
 
1.52
 
Australia
441
 
513
 
5.55
 
1.09
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
62
 
74
 
37.52
 
1.64
 
New Zealand
213
 
215
 
0.18
 
0.18
 
150
 
138
 
86.19
 
1.04
 
5
 
5
 
4.45
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
13 562
 
17 597
 
0.89
 
1.10
 
18 606
 
17 737
 
0.23
 
-0.01
 
1 292
 
2 771
 
-0.27
 
1.36
 
Japan
0
 
0
 
0.92
 
-0.05
 
14 942
 
14 714
 
-1.40
 
-0.11
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
733
 
884
 
8.80
 
0.66
 
41
 
33
 
189.93
 
0.56
 
40
 
48
 
25.08
 
-0.54
 
South Africa
11 256
 
14 930
 
0.19
 
1.16
 
1 675
 
944
 
63.03
 
-1.40
 
1 229
 
2 699
 
-0.93
 
1.42
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
520 001
 
605 139
 
4.37
 
1.52
 
99 308
 
118 272
 
6.47
 
1.75
 
53 917
 
66 287
 
9.66
 
1.96
 
AFRICA
59 672
 
72 673
 
3.70
 
2.16
 
20 285
 
25 939
 
6.16
 
1.95
 
3 635
 
1 507
 
8.33
 
-6.48
 
NORTH AFRICA
6 101
 
7 642
 
-2.75
 
1.74
 
16 610
 
18 907
 
7.36
 
1.42
 
50
 
42
 
0.00
 
-1.67
 
Algeria
0
 
0
 
-65.00
 
3.68
 
4 386
 
5 172
 
9.88
 
1.94
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.90
 
Egypt
5 933
 
7 441
 
-2.89
 
1.73
 
8 333
 
8 921
 
7.80
 
0.78
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.06
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
53 571
 
65 031
 
4.71
 
2.21
 
3 675
 
7 032
 
1.96
 
3.58
 
3 585
 
1 465
 
8.52
 
-6.59
 
Ethiopia
7 195
 
9 077
 
9.71
 
2.50
 
3
 
0
 
-74.80
 
1.13
 
743
 
332
 
185.07
 
-3.79
 
Ghana
1 725
 
2 176
 
3.74
 
2.05
 
56
 
58
 
-1.12
 
2.76
 
83
 
47
 
0.60
 
-3.62
 
Mozambique
1 676
 
2 023
 
-1.34
 
1.84
 
116
 
466
 
-3.05
 
6.22
 
8
 
7
 
-34.08
 
-2.87
 
Nigeria
10 013
 
11 888
 
3.57
 
2.19
 
200
 
412
 
16.22
 
7.35
 
150
 
81
 
-1.46
 
-5.94
 
Tanzania
6 012
 
6 921
 
7.53
 
2.43
 
12
 
98
 
-11.10
 
28.24
 
583
 
8
 
45.50
 
-32.06
 
Zambia
2 957
 
3 658
 
8.50
 
2.22
 
1
 
1
 
-38.77
 
0.03
 
800
 
442
 
20.83
 
0.11
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
154 893
 
194 120
 
4.87
 
1.97
 
30 893
 
33 947
 
4.80
 
0.95
 
47 487
 
60 784
 
11.68
 
2.30
 
Argentina
36 267
 
47 317
 
9.16
 
2.13
 
4
 
4
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
19 004
 
24 015
 
7.06
 
1.49
 
Brazil
76 242
 
98 667
 
4.94
 
2.21
 
1 040
 
675
 
0.42
 
0.15
 
24 476
 
32 511
 
15.47
 
3.12
 
Chile
1 291
 
1 503
 
0.48
 
2.60
 
1 467
 
1 605
 
2.50
 
-1.11
 
100
 
96
 
6.20
 
1.12
 
Colombia
1 504
 
2 592
 
-0.99
 
2.18
 
4 685
 
4 330
 
4.88
 
0.25
 
87
 
93
 
11.21
 
-0.24
 
Mexico
24 534
 
27 144
 
1.05
 
1.12
 
12 900
 
14 826
 
6.63
 
1.17
 
707
 
919
 
23.97
 
2.65
 
Paraguay
4 013
 
4 341
 
14.45
 
1.06
 
7
 
0
 
62.09
 
-0.10
 
2 838
 
2 901
 
19.31
 
0.90
 
Peru
1 599
 
2 014
 
1.46
 
2.25
 
2 244
 
2 637
 
5.35
 
1.31
 
7
 
7
 
-0.86
 
-0.14
 
Uruguay
510
 
470
 
6.84
 
0.59
 
167
 
138
 
11.92
 
-0.18
 
187
 
152
 
48.54
 
0.18
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
305 436
 
338 346
 
4.27
 
1.14
 
48 130
 
58 386
 
7.84
 
2.15
 
2 795
 
3 996
 
-4.95
 
1.98
 
Bangladesh
2 700
 
3 132
 
15.29
 
1.18
 
367
 
951
 
6.71
 
7.32
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.50
 
China 2
219 742
 
234 053
 
4.62
 
0.94
 
3 563
 
6 267
 
57.24
 
16.73
 
7
 
10
 
-40.34
 
8.40
 
India
24 297
 
30 584
 
3.72
 
1.69
 
80
 
48
 
24.77
 
0.08
 
944
 
1 315
 
-11.76
 
-0.60
 
Indonesia
19 440
 
23 660
 
3.28
 
1.85
 
2 974
 
3 717
 
28.41
 
1.16
 
117
 
76
 
-1.76
 
-0.14
 
Iran
900
 
1 218
 
-8.26
 
3.40
 
6 094
 
6 610
 
9.69
 
1.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.07
 
Korea
78
 
88
 
-0.88
 
0.74
 
10 103
 
10 156
 
2.94
 
0.08
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
57
 
69
 
5.81
 
1.80
 
3 695
 
4 396
 
5.06
 
1.43
 
26
 
35
 
10.48
 
-1.41
 
Pakistan
5 046
 
6 100
 
5.30
 
1.62
 
10
 
238
 
1.72
 
60.80
 
57
 
1
 
677.15
 
-34.36
 
Philippines
7 568
 
8 913
 
1.57
 
1.09
 
517
 
231
 
19.38
 
-0.15
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.01
 
Saudi Arabia
80
 
94
 
-7.74
 
0.70
 
3 467
 
5 293
 
8.35
 
3.10
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.22
 
Thailand
4 652
 
5 355
 
1.36
 
1.52
 
152
 
93
 
-11.75
 
-7.12
 
307
 
510
 
-8.35
 
23.05
 
Turkey
6 250
 
6 917
 
6.82
 
0.78
 
1 498
 
2 149
 
13.05
 
4.11
 
72
 
64
 
12.18
 
-0.78
 
Viet Nam
5 233
 
6 251
 
2.39
 
1.76
 
7 438
 
9 457
 
33.85
 
0.69
 
112
 
89
 
37.09
 
-0.27
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
44 024
 
54 818
 
5.61
 
2.08
 
2 740
 
5 339
 
4.62
 
4.91
 
4 128
 
3 013
 
11.63
 
-2.64
 
OECD 3
474 840
 
518 684
 
1.67
 
0.95
 
57 785
 
62 064
 
3.32
 
0.52
 
55 849
 
55 265
 
-0.12
 
0.63
 
BRICS
344 406
 
394 880
 
4.77
 
1.35
 
6 442
 
8 033
 
18.40
 
10.17
 
30 905
 
42 742
 
12.49
 
2.72
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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