1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.5.2 - Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.5.2Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food
A.5.2Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FEED (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
1 015 089
 
1 161 155
 
3.33
 
1.17
 
574 074
 
695 378
 
2.81
 
1.64
 
17.9
 
19.0
 
0.65
 
0.59
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
447 487
 
505 127
 
1.82
 
0.85
 
242 279
 
286 212
 
0.64
 
1.44
 
13.6
 
13.6
 
-0.11
 
0.03
 
NORTH AMERICA
317 220
 
359 413
 
1.73
 
0.73
 
143 415
 
175 535
 
-0.37
 
1.56
 
19.0
 
18.3
 
-0.20
 
-0.28
 
Canada
12 718
 
14 827
 
0.07
 
0.71
 
7 136
 
9 313
 
-2.57
 
1.20
 
44.7
 
40.9
 
-1.01
 
-0.89
 
United States
304 502
 
344 586
 
1.80
 
0.73
 
136 280
 
166 221
 
-0.24
 
1.58
 
16.1
 
15.7
 
0.01
 
-0.11
 
EUROPE
99 153
 
112 402
 
2.57
 
1.37
 
78 272
 
88 125
 
2.78
 
1.37
 
8.2
 
8.4
 
0.25
 
0.25
 
European Union
74 966
 
84 970
 
2.12
 
1.39
 
58 633
 
65 368
 
2.44
 
1.31
 
9.6
 
9.8
 
0.09
 
0.22
 
Russia
8 573
 
10 526
 
10.97
 
1.74
 
6 718
 
8 469
 
10.91
 
2.04
 
1.3
 
1.5
 
4.30
 
0.98
 
Ukraine
8 257
 
9 527
 
4.50
 
1.21
 
6 667
 
8 042
 
5.13
 
1.47
 
10.9
 
11.6
 
0.03
 
0.47
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
738
 
786
 
5.32
 
0.78
 
482
 
544
 
4.89
 
1.03
 
3.7
 
3.3
 
-0.90
 
-0.56
 
Australia
379
 
438
 
3.98
 
1.00
 
160
 
226
 
0.40
 
1.86
 
3.2
 
2.9
 
-1.37
 
-0.71
 
New Zealand
358
 
348
 
7.06
 
0.51
 
322
 
319
 
8.13
 
0.49
 
6.3
 
5.5
 
0.61
 
0.01
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
30 376
 
32 525
 
0.46
 
0.47
 
20 110
 
22 008
 
0.33
 
0.78
 
22.1
 
21.8
 
-0.72
 
-0.14
 
Japan
14 843
 
14 715
 
-1.56
 
-0.15
 
11 221
 
11 599
 
-1.56
 
0.29
 
7.5
 
6.1
 
-4.25
 
-2.03
 
Kazakhstan
657
 
863
 
7.59
 
1.25
 
567
 
738
 
6.83
 
1.28
 
0.6
 
0.5
 
91.31
 
-0.88
 
South Africa
11 602
 
13 159
 
2.44
 
0.97
 
5 400
 
6 270
 
2.73
 
1.47
 
89.1
 
88.8
 
-0.15
 
-0.06
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
567 602
 
656 028
 
4.65
 
1.43
 
331 795
 
409 166
 
4.68
 
1.78
 
18.9
 
20.2
 
0.74
 
0.62
 
AFRICA
76 582
 
96 757
 
4.22
 
2.30
 
24 960
 
29 734
 
5.85
 
1.63
 
37.4
 
39.2
 
0.74
 
0.50
 
NORTH AFRICA
22 361
 
26 422
 
3.57
 
1.45
 
17 506
 
20 522
 
4.55
 
1.31
 
24.1
 
25.2
 
-0.39
 
0.61
 
Algeria
4 153
 
5 136
 
8.97
 
1.83
 
3 913
 
4 887
 
9.70
 
1.91
 
3.5
 
3.2
 
-0.50
 
-0.86
 
Egypt
14 267
 
16 339
 
2.16
 
1.14
 
10 050
 
11 137
 
2.87
 
0.73
 
42.8
 
44.1
 
-0.62
 
0.48
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
54 221
 
70 336
 
4.49
 
2.63
 
7 454
 
9 212
 
9.57
 
2.37
 
39.9
 
41.6
 
0.82
 
0.41
 
Ethiopia
6 405
 
8 727
 
7.64
 
2.83
 
1 133
 
1 339
 
21.05
 
1.10
 
42.8
 
48.6
 
1.74
 
1.32
 
Ghana
1 731
 
2 185
 
4.63
 
2.25
 
250
 
321
 
14.34
 
2.48
 
45.0
 
46.0
 
1.05
 
0.46
 
Mozambique
1 817
 
2 469
 
1.33
 
2.57
 
220
 
293
 
15.16
 
1.96
 
52.4
 
53.7
 
-0.34
 
0.12
 
Nigeria
10 130
 
12 209
 
3.90
 
2.40
 
2 000
 
2 588
 
10.28
 
2.65
 
33.7
 
33.9
 
1.15
 
0.30
 
Tanzania
5 325
 
6 964
 
5.86
 
2.99
 
900
 
1 019
 
15.48
 
2.36
 
68.4
 
72.0
 
0.31
 
0.51
 
Zambia
2 242
 
3 135
 
7.29
 
2.88
 
258
 
384
 
15.97
 
3.58
 
89.0
 
92.8
 
1.04
 
0.37
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
138 633
 
166 839
 
3.55
 
1.71
 
91 456
 
114 479
 
4.09
 
2.08
 
53.2
 
53.8
 
0.55
 
0.10
 
Argentina
16 767
 
23 204
 
12.26
 
2.71
 
11 333
 
16 656
 
13.87
 
3.30
 
32.9
 
36.2
 
2.51
 
0.19
 
Brazil
54 806
 
66 642
 
3.02
 
2.19
 
43 856
 
54 982
 
3.18
 
2.55
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
0.57
 
-0.02
 
Chile
2 751
 
3 009
 
1.19
 
0.48
 
2 211
 
2 444
 
0.96
 
0.50
 
16.2
 
16.0
 
-0.66
 
-0.02
 
Colombia
6 067
 
6 822
 
3.05
 
0.98
 
4 113
 
4 717
 
4.44
 
1.17
 
39.4
 
39.2
 
-0.66
 
-0.12
 
Mexico
36 127
 
41 036
 
2.32
 
0.87
 
17 125
 
19 827
 
3.23
 
0.74
 
141.4
 
140.1
 
0.17
 
0.00
 
Paraguay
1 049
 
1 410
 
8.21
 
1.24
 
434
 
731
 
20.78
 
1.50
 
55.0
 
54.2
 
0.22
 
-0.02
 
Peru
3 860
 
4 630
 
4.24
 
1.71
 
2 941
 
3 616
 
4.48
 
1.97
 
18.1
 
18.0
 
-0.47
 
-0.13
 
Uruguay
425
 
451
 
1.24
 
0.14
 
267
 
287
 
0.86
 
0.00
 
31.5
 
31.3
 
-0.39
 
-0.02
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
352 386
 
392 432
 
5.21
 
1.11
 
215 380
 
264 953
 
4.82
 
1.67
 
8.7
 
9.0
 
0.08
 
0.21
 
Bangladesh
3 167
 
4 080
 
14.04
 
2.30
 
1 783
 
2 443
 
15.44
 
2.88
 
4.3
 
4.8
 
3.47
 
0.95
 
China 2
225 559
 
240 229
 
5.43
 
0.91
 
140 167
 
173 006
 
4.76
 
1.70
 
6.2
 
6.2
 
-1.86
 
0.01
 
India
23 133
 
29 265
 
5.28
 
1.78
 
8 667
 
11 887
 
8.36
 
2.80
 
7.1
 
7.2
 
0.13
 
0.13
 
Indonesia
22 663
 
27 258
 
5.15
 
1.75
 
7 500
 
9 901
 
5.61
 
2.65
 
28.9
 
29.4
 
0.50
 
0.24
 
Iran
6 528
 
7 796
 
4.24
 
1.22
 
6 303
 
7 546
 
4.36
 
1.23
 
0.9
 
0.9
 
-1.23
 
0.07
 
Korea
10 091
 
10 247
 
2.83
 
0.09
 
7 812
 
7 858
 
2.54
 
0.00
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
-0.70
 
-0.13
 
Malaysia
3 746
 
4 429
 
4.96
 
1.46
 
3 578
 
4 242
 
5.19
 
1.48
 
1.6
 
1.6
 
-1.23
 
-0.06
 
Pakistan
5 132
 
6 317
 
6.26
 
1.88
 
2 317
 
3 140
 
7.16
 
2.61
 
8.1
 
8.2
 
1.20
 
0.20
 
Philippines
8 095
 
9 138
 
2.01
 
1.05
 
5 250
 
5 759
 
0.65
 
0.81
 
19.0
 
19.6
 
1.85
 
0.06
 
Saudi Arabia
3 530
 
5 385
 
7.63
 
3.08
 
3 324
 
5 171
 
6.96
 
3.21
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
-2.32
 
-0.02
 
Thailand
4 396
 
4 939
 
1.85
 
0.29
 
3 961
 
4 507
 
1.78
 
0.31
 
1.3
 
1.2
 
-0.32
 
-0.06
 
Turkey
7 676
 
8 984
 
7.20
 
1.48
 
5 813
 
6 919
 
8.61
 
1.65
 
16.1
 
15.9
 
0.76
 
-0.06
 
Viet Nam
12 192
 
15 596
 
11.86
 
1.07
 
9 355
 
11 529
 
10.47
 
1.04
 
6.1
 
6.7
 
2.36
 
0.60
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
43 164
 
56 888
 
5.53
 
2.63
 
9 029
 
11 293
 
9.80
 
2.29
 
27.5
 
30.6
 
1.42
 
0.94
 
OECD 3
466 349
 
525 305
 
1.81
 
0.82
 
248 568
 
292 153
 
0.71
 
1.34
 
24.6
 
25.3
 
0.36
 
0.30
 
BRICS
323 673
 
359 821
 
4.98
 
1.23
 
204 807
 
254 615
 
4.62
 
1.93
 
9.0
 
9.1
 
-0.39
 
0.10
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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