1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.15 - Main policy assumptions for sugar markets

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.15Main policy assumptions for sugar markets
A.15Main policy assumptions for sugar markets
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2017‌
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
‌2026‌
ARGENTINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, sugar
ARS/t
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
BANGLADESH
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, sugar
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
BRAZIL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, raw sugar
%
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
Tariff, white sugar
%
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
CANADA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, raw sugar
CAD/t
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
24.7
 
Tariff, white sugar
CAD/t
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
30.9
 
CHINA 1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TRQ sugar
kt
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
1 954.0
 
In-quota tariff, raw sugar
%
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
In-quota tariff, white sugar
%
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
Tariff, over-quota
%
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
EUROPEAN UNION
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Voluntary coupled support
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sugarbeet 2
mln EUR
117
 
178
 
179
 
180
 
169
 
169
 
169
 
169
 
169
 
169
 
169
 
Reference price, white sugar
EUR/t
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
404.4
 
Production quota 3
Mt wse
13.3
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Tariff, raw sugar
EUR/t
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
339.0
 
Tariff, white sugar
EUR/t
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
419.0
 
INDIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Intervention price, sugarcane
INR/t
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
2 200.0
 
Tariff, sugar
%
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
INDONESIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, sugar
%
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
20.6
 
JAPAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Minimum stabilisation price, raw sugar
JPY/kg
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
153.2
 
Tariff, raw sugar
JPY/kg
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
71.8
 
Tariff, white sugar
JPY/kg
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
103.1
 
KOREA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, raw sugar
%
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
3.0
 
Tariff, white sugar
%
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
MEXICO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mexico common external tariff, raw sugar
USD/t
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
Mexico common external tariff, white sugar
USD/t
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
RUSSIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Minimum tariff, raw sugar
USD/t
205.6
 
140.0
 
171.0
 
203.0
 
203.0
 
203.0
 
203.0
 
203.0
 
171.0
 
171.0
 
171.0
 
Minimum tariff, white sugar
USD/t
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
340.0
 
UNITED STATES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loan rate, raw sugar
USD/t
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
413.4
 
Loan rate, white sugar
USD/t
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
531.2
 
TRQ, raw sugar
kt rse
1 483
 
1 540
 
1 547
 
1 553
 
1 559
 
1 565
 
1 571
 
1 578
 
1 584
 
1 590
 
1 590
 
TRQ, refined sugar
kt rse
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
49.0
 
Raw sugar 2nd tier WTO tariff
USD/t
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
338.6
 
White sugar 2nd tier WTO tariff
USD/t
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
357.4
 
SOUTH AFRICA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, sugar
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
TANZANIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, sugar
%
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
VIET NAM
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff, sugar
%
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
The sources for tariffs and Tariff Rate Quotas are the national questionnaire reply, UNCTAD and WTO.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to mainland only.
2.
Implemented in 10 Member States.
3.
Production that receives official support.
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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