1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.30.2 - Fish and seafood projections: Reduction, food consumption

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.30.2Fish and seafood projections: Reduction, food consumption
A.30.2Fish and seafood projections: Reduction, food consumption
  Calendar year
‌‌
REDUCTION (kt)
Growth (%) 3
FOOD CONS. (kt)
Growth (%) 3
FOOD CONS. (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 3
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
14 187
 
13 698
 
-3.17
 
-1.18
 
148 756
 
177 367
 
2.94
 
1.41
 
20.3
 
21.6
 
1.72
 
0.41
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
4 494
 
4 032
 
-0.20
 
-0.86
 
31 718
 
33 651
 
-0.07
 
0.44
 
22.7
 
23.3
 
-0.49
 
0.18
 
NORTH AMERICA
999
 
1 054
 
1.20
 
0.24
 
7 995
 
8 800
 
0.93
 
0.68
 
22.3
 
22.8
 
0.11
 
-0.02
 
Canada
27
 
42
 
-7.38
 
-0.05
 
785
 
829
 
0.39
 
0.65
 
21.9
 
21.1
 
-0.68
 
-0.14
 
United States
972
 
1 012
 
1.56
 
0.26
 
7 210
 
7 972
 
0.99
 
0.69
 
22.4
 
23.0
 
0.20
 
0.00
 
EUROPE
2 323
 
1 893
 
-0.73
 
-1.36
 
16 042
 
17 374
 
0.13
 
0.57
 
21.7
 
23.5
 
0.02
 
0.60
 
European Union
613
 
404
 
-3.22
 
-3.40
 
11 649
 
13 023
 
0.68
 
0.69
 
23.1
 
25.6
 
0.52
 
0.62
 
Norway
822
 
704
 
2.86
 
0.00
 
260
 
298
 
0.41
 
1.32
 
49.9
 
51.6
 
-0.84
 
0.44
 
Russia
362
 
260
 
2.37
 
-3.64
 
3 121
 
3 002
 
-0.42
 
0.19
 
21.8
 
21.3
 
-0.45
 
0.40
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
91
 
110
 
-4.55
 
0.85
 
723
 
807
 
0.80
 
0.80
 
25.4
 
25.0
 
-0.70
 
-0.31
 
Australia
32
 
46
 
-5.52
 
2.15
 
606
 
679
 
0.95
 
0.84
 
25.3
 
24.8
 
-0.69
 
-0.32
 
New Zealand
59
 
64
 
-4.34
 
0.04
 
116
 
128
 
0.06
 
0.59
 
25.7
 
25.7
 
-0.74
 
-0.24
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
1 081
 
975
 
0.13
 
-1.14
 
6 958
 
6 671
 
-1.63
 
-0.22
 
25.5
 
23.4
 
-2.25
 
-0.56
 
Japan
770
 
589
 
-0.21
 
-2.68
 
6 161
 
5 775
 
-2.04
 
-0.45
 
48.7
 
47.2
 
-1.96
 
-0.12
 
South Africa
311
 
385
 
0.74
 
1.80
 
385
 
400
 
1.77
 
1.18
 
7.1
 
6.8
 
0.63
 
0.53
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
9 692
 
9 667
 
-4.31
 
-1.31
 
117 038
 
143 716
 
3.90
 
1.65
 
19.7
 
21.2
 
2.48
 
0.49
 
AFRICA
424
 
437
 
-2.00
 
0.20
 
11 208
 
14 011
 
3.23
 
2.11
 
9.9
 
9.5
 
0.56
 
-0.32
 
NORTH AFRICA
219
 
240
 
-3.41
 
0.36
 
2 988
 
3 801
 
4.76
 
2.18
 
16.3
 
17.7
 
2.92
 
0.75
 
Algeria
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
172
 
179
 
0.05
 
1.05
 
4.3
 
3.9
 
-1.79
 
-0.31
 
Egypt
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1 941
 
2 613
 
4.60
 
2.57
 
21.2
 
23.6
 
2.43
 
0.88
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
205
 
197
 
-0.10
 
0.00
 
8 220
 
10 210
 
2.72
 
2.08
 
8.7
 
8.1
 
-0.11
 
-0.53
 
Ethiopia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
47
 
60
 
17.49
 
3.01
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
14.52
 
0.73
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
692
 
823
 
1.50
 
1.48
 
25.2
 
24.0
 
-0.93
 
-0.53
 
Mozambique
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
316
 
448
 
14.04
 
2.96
 
11.3
 
12.0
 
10.89
 
0.29
 
Nigeria
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1 986
 
2 500
 
-0.63
 
2.27
 
10.9
 
10.5
 
-3.25
 
-0.20
 
Tanzania
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
349
 
460
 
3.82
 
2.02
 
6.5
 
6.2
 
0.59
 
-0.94
 
Zambia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
158
 
230
 
8.54
 
2.87
 
9.7
 
10.2
 
5.31
 
-0.15
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
4 791
 
4 471
 
-8.61
 
-3.08
 
6 553
 
8 001
 
2.51
 
2.09
 
10.4
 
11.4
 
1.35
 
1.19
 
Argentina
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
271
 
286
 
0.06
 
-0.79
 
6.2
 
6.0
 
-0.97
 
-1.65
 
Brazil
81
 
65
 
6.05
 
0.79
 
1 900
 
2 568
 
4.06
 
3.25
 
9.1
 
11.5
 
3.10
 
2.57
 
Chile
1 380
 
1 231
 
-10.12
 
-1.71
 
283
 
337
 
0.93
 
1.43
 
15.8
 
17.1
 
-0.15
 
0.56
 
Mexico
184
 
261
 
-9.68
 
0.19
 
1 808
 
2 092
 
3.76
 
1.98
 
14.2
 
14.6
 
2.29
 
0.90
 
Peru
2 885
 
2 658
 
-8.80
 
-4.09
 
691
 
704
 
1.14
 
0.40
 
22.0
 
19.8
 
-0.17
 
-0.69
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
4 477
 
4 758
 
3.07
 
0.83
 
99 277
 
121 703
 
4.07
 
1.57
 
23.7
 
26.5
 
2.95
 
0.75
 
China 2
1 965
 
2 176
 
3.68
 
1.30
 
56 746
 
71 017
 
4.78
 
1.56
 
41.2
 
50.2
 
4.24
 
1.34
 
India
494
 
490
 
5.81
 
0.00
 
8 545
 
10 178
 
3.93
 
1.42
 
6.5
 
6.9
 
2.58
 
0.36
 
Indonesia
8
 
8
 
-19.31
 
0.00
 
8 840
 
11 236
 
5.99
 
2.17
 
34.3
 
39.2
 
4.63
 
1.22
 
Korea
93
 
85
 
-2.05
 
-0.66
 
2 986
 
3 246
 
0.57
 
0.82
 
59.4
 
62.3
 
0.05
 
0.51
 
Philippines
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
3 067
 
3 542
 
-0.54
 
1.29
 
30.5
 
30.1
 
-2.07
 
-0.11
 
Thailand
438
 
340
 
-4.82
 
-2.48
 
1 775
 
1 866
 
0.08
 
0.36
 
26.1
 
27.2
 
-0.24
 
0.32
 
Viet Nam
719
 
860
 
15.56
 
2.01
 
3 114
 
3 357
 
2.05
 
0.28
 
33.3
 
32.7
 
0.95
 
-0.54
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
342
 
389
 
3.30
 
2.29
 
10 725
 
13 202
 
4.04
 
2.05
 
11.2
 
10.8
 
1.60
 
-0.19
 
OECD
5 542
 
5 053
 
-4.15
 
-0.99
 
32 736
 
35 307
 
0.29
 
0.58
 
24.9
 
25.7
 
-0.30
 
0.18
 
BRICS
3 213
 
3 377
 
3.64
 
0.66
 
70 697
 
87 165
 
4.36
 
1.54
 
22.9
 
26.3
 
3.46
 
0.93
 
..
Not available
Note: Fish: The term “fish” indicates fish, crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic animals, but excludes aquatic mammals, crocodiles, caimans, alligators and aquatic plants. Imports and exports refer to trade of food fish i.e. for human consumption. All data are in live weight equivalent.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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