1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.31.2 - Ethanol projections: Share in volume terms and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.31.2Ethanol projections: Share in volume terms and trade
A.31.2Ethanol projections: Share in volume terms and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
SHARE IN GASOLINE TYPE FUEL USE (%)
IMPORTS (mln L)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (mln L)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
6.5
 
7.1
 
8 153
 
7 939
 
-1.44
 
8 168
 
7 915
 
-1.45
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
7.0
 
8.4
 
4 353
 
4 554
 
-1.62
 
4 571
 
3 584
 
-2.88
 
NORTH AMERICA
9.3
 
10.9
 
2 246
 
2 164
 
-0.50
 
4 024
 
3 106
 
-3.23
 
Canada
5.7
 
6.0
 
1 225
 
1 221
 
-0.10
 
64
 
60
 
0.04
 
United States
9.6
 
11.3
 
1 021
 
943
 
-1.00
 
3 961
 
3 046
 
-3.28
 
EUROPE
3.2
 
3.9
 
813
 
1 008
 
-4.07
 
315
 
217
 
-0.65
 
European Union
4.8
 
5.9
 
686
 
861
 
-4.57
 
217
 
110
 
-1.31
 
Russia
0.0
 
0.0
 
0
 
0
 
-0.14
 
90
 
95
 
0.09
 
Ukraine
3.3
 
5.3
 
8
 
13
 
0.00
 
6
 
7
 
0.00
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
1.0
 
1.0
 
9
 
9
 
-0.33
 
38
 
72
 
0.22
 
Australia
1.1
 
1.2
 
6
 
8
 
-0.36
 
32
 
71
 
0.23
 
New Zealand
0.0
 
0.0
 
2
 
1
 
0.00
 
6
 
2
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
0.7
 
0.9
 
1 285
 
1 374
 
-1.09
 
194
 
189
 
0.00
 
Japan
1.1
 
1.5
 
1 260
 
1 350
 
-1.11
 
1
 
2
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
0.0
 
0.0
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
South Africa
0.0
 
0.0
 
4
 
4
 
0.00
 
193
 
187
 
0.00
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
5.8
 
5.8
 
3 801
 
3 385
 
-1.19
 
3 596
 
4 331
 
-0.09
 
AFRICA
0.2
 
0.3
 
278
 
344
 
0.00
 
142
 
346
 
0.00
 
NORTH AFRICA
0.0
 
0.0
 
12
 
29
 
0.00
 
27
 
40
 
0.00
 
Algeria
0.0
 
0.0
 
5
 
14
 
0.00
 
3
 
8
 
0.00
 
Egypt
0.0
 
0.0
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
20
 
24
 
0.00
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
0.0
 
0.0
 
266
 
315
 
0.00
 
115
 
307
 
0.00
 
Ethiopia
0.0
 
0.0
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
23
 
70
 
0.00
 
Ghana
0.0
 
0.0
 
65
 
81
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
Mozambique
0.0
 
0.0
 
0
 
1
 
0.00
 
0
 
1
 
0.00
 
Nigeria
0.0
 
0.0
 
159
 
174
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
Tanzania
0.0
 
0.0
 
1
 
3
 
0.00
 
1
 
2
 
0.00
 
Zambia
0.0
 
0.0
 
1
 
2
 
0.00
 
0
 
1
 
0.00
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
18.8
 
20.8
 
1 854
 
1 714
 
-1.30
 
2 598
 
3 218
 
-0.35
 
Argentina
8.7
 
12.1
 
1
 
2
 
-0.53
 
17
 
28
 
5.46
 
Brazil
52.2
 
56.4
 
566
 
364
 
-5.77
 
1 857
 
2 373
 
-0.51
 
Chile
0.0
 
0.0
 
35
 
34
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
Colombia
7.4
 
7.1
 
108
 
117
 
0.33
 
0
 
0
 
-0.02
 
Mexico
0.3
 
0.4
 
282
 
331
 
1.46
 
5
 
2
 
0.01
 
Paraguay
21.3
 
30.9
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
24
 
24
 
0.00
 
Peru
6.8
 
9.7
 
105
 
134
 
0.00
 
83
 
65
 
0.00
 
Uruguay
1.5
 
1.1
 
46
 
53
 
0.00
 
16
 
25
 
0.00
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
1.5
 
1.8
 
1 668
 
1 328
 
-1.32
 
857
 
766
 
1.06
 
Bangladesh
0.0
 
0.0
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
2
 
6
 
0.00
 
China 2
2.2
 
1.7
 
513
 
190
 
-3.51
 
29
 
31
 
0.25
 
India
2.5
 
2.4
 
225
 
213
 
-3.53
 
160
 
221
 
3.62
 
Indonesia
0.3
 
0.7
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
55
 
23
 
0.00
 
Iran
0.0
 
0.0
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
Korea
0.0
 
0.0
 
327
 
340
 
-0.01
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Malaysia
0.0
 
0.0
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
Pakistan
0.0
 
0.0
 
0
 
0
 
-0.58
 
481
 
398
 
0.12
 
Philippines
9.2
 
17.0
 
348
 
338
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
Saudi Arabia
0.0
 
0.0
 
37
 
43
 
0.00
 
4
 
3
 
0.00
 
Thailand
12.5
 
14.8
 
23
 
22
 
-0.57
 
70
 
26
 
1.96
 
Turkey
1.8
 
2.3
 
90
 
79
 
0.00
 
1
 
3
 
0.00
 
Viet Nam
0.8
 
1.8
 
8
 
7
 
0.00
 
53
 
55
 
0.00
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
0.2
 
0.3
 
33
 
45
 
0.00
 
36
 
99
 
0.00
 
OECD 3
7.2
 
8.5
 
5 067
 
5 311
 
-1.33
 
4 287
 
3 297
 
-3.10
 
BRICS
10.3
 
8.4
 
1 308
 
772
 
-4.76
 
2 329
 
2 907
 
-0.20
 
..
Not available
Note: Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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