1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.31.1 - Ethanol projections: Production and use

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.31.1Ethanol projections: Production and use
A.31.1Ethanol projections: Production and use
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (mln L)‌
Growth (%) 4
DOMESTIC USE
(mln L)
Growth (%) 4
FUEL USE (mln L)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
117 435
 
136 660
 
1.03
 
117 236
 
136 898
 
1.00
 
96 241
 
113 609
 
1.01
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
68 069
 
72 701
 
0.04
 
67 746
 
73 798
 
0.08
 
62 003
 
67 625
 
0.06
 
NORTH AMERICA
59 340
 
63 399
 
-0.04
 
57 353
 
62 583
 
0.12
 
55 465
 
60 678
 
0.12
 
Canada
1 845
 
1 792
 
-0.07
 
3 020
 
2 953
 
-0.08
 
2 815
 
2 697
 
-0.26
 
United States
57 495
 
61 607
 
-0.03
 
54 333
 
59 631
 
0.13
 
52 650
 
57 981
 
0.13
 
EUROPE
8 074
 
8 600
 
0.61
 
8 664
 
9 391
 
-0.02
 
5 746
 
6 117
 
-0.18
 
European Union
7 039
 
7 346
 
0.46
 
7 585
 
8 097
 
-0.23
 
5 568
 
5 830
 
-0.34
 
Russia
559
 
563
 
-0.57
 
487
 
467
 
-0.70
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Ukraine
352
 
539
 
3.95
 
354
 
545
 
3.90
 
175
 
283
 
3.90
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
310
 
325
 
-0.90
 
281
 
262
 
-1.18
 
208
 
192
 
-1.57
 
Australia
307
 
324
 
-0.91
 
281
 
262
 
-1.18
 
208
 
192
 
-1.57
 
New Zealand
3
 
1
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
344
 
377
 
0.82
 
1 448
 
1 562
 
-0.79
 
583
 
639
 
-2.19
 
Japan
81
 
85
 
0.06
 
1 352
 
1 433
 
-1.04
 
578
 
633
 
-2.22
 
Kazakhstan
0
 
0
 
3.96
 
0
 
0
 
3.96
 
0
 
0
 
3.96
 
South Africa
258
 
275
 
0.67
 
69
 
92
 
2.17
 
5
 
6
 
2.17
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
49 365
 
63 959
 
2.29
 
49 491
 
63 100
 
2.19
 
34 238
 
45 983
 
2.61
 
AFRICA
863
 
1 323
 
4.10
 
999
 
1 321
 
4.11
 
71
 
128
 
3.18
 
NORTH AFRICA
199
 
282
 
4.16
 
184
 
272
 
4.36
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Algeria
77
 
102
 
3.49
 
79
 
108
 
3.26
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Egypt
40
 
51
 
2.82
 
21
 
28
 
5.87
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
664
 
1 041
 
4.08
 
815
 
1 050
 
4.04
 
71
 
128
 
3.18
 
Ethiopia
67
 
127
 
2.68
 
43
 
57
 
7.34
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Ghana
0
 
8
 
26.53
 
65
 
89
 
1.00
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Mozambique
6
 
12
 
7.19
 
6
 
12
 
6.78
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Nigeria
15
 
76
 
19.52
 
173
 
250
 
3.24
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Tanzania
18
 
34
 
6.93
 
18
 
36
 
6.55
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Zambia
11
 
18
 
5.84
 
11
 
19
 
5.49
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
33 193
 
41 579
 
2.12
 
32 434
 
40 161
 
2.09
 
28 166
 
35 344
 
2.14
 
Argentina
932
 
1 518
 
3.06
 
919
 
1 491
 
3.02
 
769
 
1 296
 
2.96
 
Brazil
29 368
 
36 317
 
2.06
 
28 058
 
34 395
 
2.05
 
26 267
 
32 492
 
2.11
 
Chile
12
 
27
 
9.71
 
46
 
61
 
3.30
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Colombia
471
 
604
 
0.91
 
579
 
721
 
0.81
 
447
 
580
 
1.00
 
Mexico
93
 
133
 
2.67
 
371
 
462
 
1.80
 
151
 
199
 
1.56
 
Paraguay
233
 
343
 
3.49
 
209
 
319
 
3.81
 
181
 
283
 
3.81
 
Peru
204
 
280
 
4.60
 
226
 
349
 
3.52
 
161
 
256
 
3.52
 
Uruguay
84
 
119
 
4.08
 
114
 
147
 
3.15
 
10
 
7
 
3.15
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
15 310
 
21 056
 
2.54
 
16 058
 
21 618
 
2.27
 
6 001
 
10 511
 
4.36
 
Bangladesh
110
 
210
 
6.33
 
108
 
203
 
6.61
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
China 2
9 822
 
11 790
 
1.16
 
10 250
 
11 949
 
0.98
 
3 250
 
4 542
 
2.49
 
India
2 271
 
3 372
 
2.98
 
2 336
 
3 364
 
2.38
 
752
 
1 766
 
4.91
 
Indonesia
200
 
340
 
5.43
 
146
 
317
 
5.95
 
109
 
243
 
5.95
 
Iran
0
 
0
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
4.26
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Korea
163
 
155
 
0.01
 
482
 
495
 
-0.01
 
5
 
5
 
-0.80
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
9.23
 
0
 
0
 
4.97
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Pakistan
507
 
429
 
0.14
 
26
 
32
 
0.29
 
2
 
3
 
2.67
 
Philippines
286
 
1 039
 
10.77
 
635
 
1 377
 
6.98
 
480
 
1 001
 
6.98
 
Saudi Arabia
39
 
59
 
4.29
 
72
 
100
 
2.31
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
Thailand
1 560
 
3 004
 
5.83
 
1 512
 
3 000
 
5.80
 
1 263
 
2 716
 
6.63
 
Turkey
124
 
218
 
5.02
 
213
 
295
 
3.47
 
50
 
70
 
3.47
 
Viet Nam
200
 
370
 
5.16
 
154
 
322
 
6.20
 
61
 
140
 
6.20
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
406
 
711
 
5.06
 
403
 
657
 
5.61
 
33
 
61
 
5.47
 
OECD 3
67 204
 
71 738
 
0.03
 
67 855
 
73 878
 
0.07
 
62 029
 
67 610
 
0.05
 
BRICS
42 277
 
52 316
 
1.86
 
41 200
 
50 268
 
1.78
 
30 273
 
38 805
 
2.27
 
..
Not available
Note: Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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