1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.34.1 - Cotton projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.34.1Cotton projections: Production and trade
A.34.1Cotton projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
23 367
 
26 120
 
-0.78
 
1.75
 
7 461
 
8 278
 
-0.33
 
0.91
 
7 593
 
8 467
 
0.24
 
0.89
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
5 632
 
6 462
 
0.01
 
1.05
 
435
 
381
 
-7.00
 
0.07
 
4 109
 
4 801
 
-1.45
 
0.38
 
NORTH AMERICA
3 351
 
3 610
 
-0.32
 
0.39
 
1
 
0
 
-24.44
 
-0.77
 
2 388
 
2 763
 
-2.72
 
-0.12
 
Canada
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
-27.40
 
-0.77
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
United States
3 351
 
3 610
 
-0.32
 
0.39
 
1
 
0
 
..
 
0.06
 
2 388
 
2 763
 
-2.72
 
-0.12
 
EUROPE
305
 
293
 
0.40
 
0.58
 
343
 
286
 
-7.33
 
-0.01
 
279
 
281
 
3.18
 
-0.04
 
European Union
305
 
292
 
0.41
 
0.58
 
252
 
193
 
-5.00
 
-0.22
 
278
 
280
 
3.21
 
-0.04
 
Russia
1
 
1
 
-3.32
 
0.31
 
76
 
77
 
-13.09
 
0.47
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
0.00
 
Ukraine
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.14
 
2
 
2
 
-19.51
 
2.01
 
0
 
0
 
-40.12
 
-1.97
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
631
 
1 025
 
13.98
 
2.66
 
1
 
1
 
-0.50
 
0.00
 
558
 
1 007
 
9.83
 
2.44
 
Australia
630
 
1 024
 
14.03
 
2.67
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
-0.03
 
557
 
1 006
 
9.85
 
2.45
 
New Zealand
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
1 344
 
1 535
 
-2.47
 
1.77
 
90
 
93
 
-5.26
 
0.34
 
885
 
750
 
-3.99
 
-0.10
 
Japan
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
67
 
69
 
-4.67
 
0.14
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
46
 
45
 
-9.02
 
0.79
 
0
 
0
 
-43.01
 
0.02
 
33
 
25
 
-12.56
 
-0.76
 
South Africa
12
 
11
 
1.18
 
1.03
 
18
 
19
 
-7.21
 
1.15
 
7
 
5
 
-0.39
 
-1.14
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
17 735
 
19 658
 
-1.02
 
1.99
 
7 025
 
7 897
 
0.24
 
0.96
 
3 484
 
3 666
 
2.61
 
1.60
 
AFRICA
1 551
 
1 771
 
4.41
 
1.12
 
155
 
210
 
-1.17
 
1.46
 
1 282
 
1 554
 
5.02
 
1.00
 
NORTH AFRICA
70
 
40
 
-11.45
 
0.81
 
134
 
153
 
-1.16
 
-0.15
 
32
 
21
 
-11.12
 
0.27
 
Algeria
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.66
 
6
 
6
 
-1.15
 
0.98
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.97
 
Egypt
70
 
40
 
-11.45
 
0.81
 
79
 
98
 
-2.30
 
-0.27
 
32
 
21
 
-11.12
 
0.27
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
1 480
 
1 731
 
5.88
 
1.13
 
21
 
57
 
-0.90
 
7.75
 
1 249
 
1 533
 
5.98
 
1.01
 
Ethiopia
43
 
43
 
5.45
 
1.03
 
12
 
41
 
42.60
 
9.95
 
0
 
0
 
-36.56
 
-1.22
 
Ghana
5
 
5
 
-3.38
 
1.30
 
0
 
0
 
-37.87
 
-0.01
 
4
 
3
 
-3.79
 
0.01
 
Mozambique
23
 
29
 
-0.23
 
1.30
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.29
 
25
 
29
 
-0.16
 
1.31
 
Nigeria
55
 
62
 
-0.91
 
1.89
 
1
 
1
 
-24.49
 
-1.06
 
41
 
38
 
6.33
 
1.07
 
Tanzania
74
 
79
 
-3.41
 
1.19
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.22
 
45
 
31
 
0.59
 
0.09
 
Zambia
42
 
40
 
-2.33
 
0.04
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.19
 
42
 
37
 
0.45
 
-0.19
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
1 951
 
2 249
 
0.85
 
1.93
 
425
 
507
 
-4.13
 
0.60
 
990
 
1 249
 
7.27
 
3.57
 
Argentina
214
 
231
 
3.99
 
1.00
 
3
 
2
 
-27.07
 
-0.59
 
87
 
77
 
34.10
 
0.09
 
Brazil
1 455
 
1 731
 
0.29
 
2.02
 
15
 
19
 
-8.52
 
-0.13
 
863
 
1 139
 
7.06
 
4.03
 
Chile
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.45
 
0
 
0
 
-60.98
 
2.19
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-2.14
 
Colombia
23
 
28
 
-6.11
 
3.04
 
33
 
48
 
-5.91
 
2.37
 
1
 
0
 
109.22
 
-1.54
 
Mexico
219
 
214
 
7.21
 
2.28
 
240
 
282
 
-3.38
 
-0.11
 
33
 
28
 
-2.24
 
-1.26
 
Paraguay
6
 
6
 
-12.81
 
1.15
 
1
 
1
 
270.26
 
0.13
 
4
 
4
 
-9.74
 
-0.13
 
Peru
24
 
26
 
-8.07
 
1.37
 
53
 
58
 
-0.36
 
1.20
 
1
 
1
 
-4.42
 
-0.82
 
Uruguay
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
2.13
 
0
 
0
 
2.68
 
1.92
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.88
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
14 233
 
15 638
 
-1.70
 
2.10
 
6 445
 
7 181
 
0.63
 
0.97
 
1 212
 
862
 
-1.50
 
0.25
 
Bangladesh
27
 
34
 
16.27
 
2.01
 
1 097
 
1 544
 
3.29
 
2.69
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.19
 
China 2
5 269
 
4 914
 
-5.25
 
1.56
 
1 247
 
1 283
 
-7.47
 
2.64
 
26
 
32
 
7.37
 
-0.72
 
India
6 047
 
7 106
 
2.16
 
2.24
 
233
 
273
 
8.87
 
0.60
 
1 008
 
642
 
-0.21
 
-0.60
 
Indonesia
5
 
6
 
-3.89
 
2.13
 
671
 
731
 
3.81
 
1.27
 
1
 
0
 
-48.68
 
-1.26
 
Iran
62
 
54
 
-3.32
 
0.74
 
71
 
107
 
6.02
 
2.68
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.19
 
Korea
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
270
 
245
 
3.29
 
-0.95
 
1
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.21
 
90
 
97
 
7.70
 
0.38
 
14
 
11
 
224.22
 
-0.38
 
Pakistan
1 881
 
2 455
 
-1.42
 
3.04
 
385
 
100
 
-4.28
 
-15.48
 
62
 
96
 
-6.95
 
11.62
 
Philippines
2
 
2
 
0.00
 
1.34
 
11
 
12
 
-3.96
 
3.23
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-3.13
 
Saudi Arabia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.47
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.40
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.40
 
Thailand
1
 
1
 
-4.42
 
1.45
 
290
 
277
 
-3.97
 
0.07
 
0
 
0
 
-59.01
 
-0.07
 
Turkey
673
 
770
 
3.49
 
1.78
 
848
 
853
 
2.63
 
-0.10
 
50
 
51
 
1.32
 
0.10
 
Viet Nam
2
 
3
 
-11.60
 
1.89
 
1 026
 
1 456
 
20.00
 
2.48
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-2.42
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
1 309
 
1 565
 
5.38
 
1.19
 
1 133
 
1 632
 
3.71
 
2.69
 
911
 
1 158
 
5.26
 
0.87
 
OECD 3
5 194
 
5 927
 
1.46
 
1.01
 
1 680
 
1 644
 
-0.22
 
-0.24
 
3 324
 
4 145
 
-0.66
 
0.45
 
BRICS
12 784
 
13 763
 
-1.62
 
1.96
 
1 587
 
1 671
 
-6.54
 
2.12
 
1 905
 
1 818
 
2.20
 
2.02
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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