1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.34.2 - Cotton projections: Consumption

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.34.2Cotton projections: Consumption
A.34.2Cotton projections: Consumption
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt) 4
Growth (%) 5
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
24 041
 
25 973
 
-0.84
 
0.90
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
1 743
 
2 032
 
-2.45
 
1.63
 
NORTH AMERICA
750
 
847
 
-1.99
 
0.44
 
Canada
0
 
0
 
-29.91
 
-0.93
 
United States
750
 
847
 
-1.89
 
0.44
 
EUROPE
372
 
300
 
-7.99
 
0.33
 
European Union
279
 
206
 
-5.88
 
0.27
 
Russia
77
 
78
 
-13.16
 
0.52
 
Ukraine
2
 
2
 
-19.96
 
2.02
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
8
 
7
 
-4.08
 
-0.68
 
Australia
7
 
6
 
-4.57
 
-0.79
 
New Zealand
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
613
 
878
 
2.20
 
3.51
 
Japan
69
 
69
 
-5.07
 
-0.01
 
Kazakhstan
14
 
20
 
1.92
 
3.18
 
South Africa
21
 
26
 
-6.95
 
1.57
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
22 298
 
23 941
 
-0.69
 
0.84
 
AFRICA
378
 
427
 
-1.75
 
1.81
 
NORTH AFRICA
181
 
172
 
-3.72
 
0.01
 
Algeria
6
 
6
 
-3.19
 
0.98
 
Egypt
126
 
117
 
-5.08
 
-0.02
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
197
 
255
 
0.38
 
3.22
 
Ethiopia
50
 
83
 
8.92
 
4.48
 
Ghana
1
 
2
 
-10.94
 
3.73
 
Mozambique
0
 
0
 
17.03
 
5.12
 
Nigeria
18
 
25
 
-9.71
 
3.18
 
Tanzania
39
 
48
 
2.69
 
1.98
 
Zambia
2
 
3
 
93.23
 
4.57
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
1 517
 
1 506
 
-3.36
 
0.26
 
Argentina
142
 
155
 
-2.68
 
1.03
 
Brazil
735
 
611
 
-4.60
 
-1.01
 
Chile
0
 
0
 
-57.10
 
2.20
 
Colombia
55
 
76
 
-6.44
 
2.62
 
Mexico
415
 
468
 
-0.12
 
0.96
 
Paraguay
2
 
3
 
-12.24
 
2.72
 
Peru
76
 
83
 
-5.02
 
1.28
 
Uruguay
0
 
0
 
82.07
 
1.91
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
20 403
 
22 008
 
-0.44
 
0.87
 
Bangladesh
1 074
 
1 578
 
3.14
 
2.68
 
China 2
7 331
 
6 216
 
-4.56
 
-1.20
 
India
5 253
 
6 738
 
3.61
 
2.49
 
Indonesia
668
 
737
 
3.94
 
1.28
 
Iran
132
 
161
 
-0.60
 
1.98
 
Korea
277
 
246
 
3.50
 
-0.92
 
Malaysia
72
 
86
 
5.89
 
0.48
 
Pakistan
2 350
 
2 459
 
-0.55
 
0.69
 
Philippines
13
 
14
 
-4.23
 
2.98
 
Saudi Arabia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
2.15
 
Thailand
294
 
278
 
-4.14
 
0.08
 
Turkey
1 462
 
1 573
 
2.14
 
0.78
 
Viet Nam
1 006
 
1 459
 
19.75
 
2.48
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
1 443
 
2 039
 
3.69
 
2.59
 
OECD 3
3 261
 
3 416
 
-0.32
 
0.53
 
BRICS
13 418
 
13 669
 
-2.07
 
0.48
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Consumption for cotton means mill consumption and not final consumer demand.
5.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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