1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.23.1 - Cheese projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.23.1Cheese projections: Production and trade
A.23.1Cheese projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
22 471
 
26 193
 
1.59
 
1.36
 
2 257
 
2 792
 
3.76
 
1.79
 
2 410
 
2 918
 
3.69
 
1.71
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
17 843
 
20 600
 
1.43
 
1.23
 
1 041
 
1 251
 
1.14
 
1.58
 
1 876
 
2 277
 
4.71
 
1.77
 
NORTH AMERICA
5 761
 
6 999
 
2.38
 
1.81
 
213
 
228
 
1.04
 
0.38
 
338
 
335
 
18.47
 
1.65
 
Canada
427
 
506
 
1.94
 
0.99
 
23
 
41
 
0.94
 
5.97
 
13
 
0
 
4.22
 
-50.05
 
United States
5 334
 
6 492
 
2.41
 
1.88
 
189
 
187
 
1.06
 
-0.58
 
325
 
334
 
19.56
 
2.51
 
EUROPE
11 048
 
12 423
 
1.06
 
0.92
 
432
 
585
 
-0.71
 
3.11
 
1 073
 
1 401
 
4.59
 
2.14
 
European Union
9 817
 
11 069
 
1.06
 
0.94
 
71
 
66
 
-3.04
 
-0.93
 
741
 
990
 
5.44
 
2.33
 
Russia
568
 
588
 
3.31
 
0.29
 
247
 
405
 
-1.71
 
5.10
 
41
 
61
 
12.08
 
4.09
 
Ukraine
137
 
148
 
-8.08
 
1.10
 
8
 
5
 
-5.82
 
-1.40
 
14
 
10
 
-20.41
 
1.31
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
665
 
747
 
-0.07
 
1.01
 
101
 
125
 
5.01
 
0.93
 
452
 
526
 
-0.23
 
1.01
 
Australia
344
 
356
 
-0.46
 
0.29
 
91
 
113
 
4.76
 
1.03
 
160
 
169
 
-1.26
 
-0.35
 
New Zealand
321
 
390
 
0.38
 
1.72
 
10
 
12
 
7.60
 
0.00
 
292
 
358
 
0.44
 
1.71
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
369
 
432
 
1.35
 
1.52
 
296
 
313
 
3.22
 
0.23
 
13
 
15
 
7.33
 
-1.89
 
Japan
45
 
54
 
0.52
 
3.12
 
246
 
258
 
3.08
 
-0.20
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
26
 
29
 
4.97
 
0.98
 
13
 
10
 
-9.54
 
3.88
 
0
 
0
 
-20.62
 
-0.48
 
South Africa
45
 
50
 
0.37
 
-0.25
 
12
 
10
 
12.44
 
2.25
 
9
 
11
 
29.92
 
-2.20
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
4 628
 
5 594
 
2.20
 
1.86
 
1 216
 
1 541
 
6.61
 
1.97
 
534
 
641
 
0.69
 
1.51
 
AFRICA
943
 
1 013
 
0.74
 
0.86
 
144
 
238
 
3.47
 
5.78
 
126
 
52
 
2.25
 
-7.52
 
NORTH AFRICA
682
 
693
 
0.31
 
0.29
 
116
 
191
 
4.68
 
5.77
 
125
 
52
 
2.19
 
-7.58
 
Algeria
2
 
2
 
0.00
 
3.51
 
29
 
36
 
5.80
 
1.98
 
0
 
0
 
35.67
 
-1.95
 
Egypt
641
 
651
 
0.45
 
0.25
 
36
 
100
 
11.54
 
11.72
 
99
 
31
 
5.90
 
-10.49
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
261
 
320
 
1.94
 
2.21
 
29
 
46
 
0.47
 
5.83
 
1
 
1
 
16.18
 
-0.19
 
Ethiopia
6
 
8
 
0.37
 
2.50
 
0
 
0
 
0.95
 
2.00
 
0
 
0
 
15.80
 
-1.96
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
3.16
 
1
 
1
 
7.28
 
0.43
 
1
 
0
 
60.50
 
0.00
 
Mozambique
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
3.01
 
1
 
1
 
7.97
 
2.64
 
0
 
0
 
1.07
 
0.00
 
Nigeria
11
 
14
 
3.03
 
3.00
 
1
 
1
 
-14.91
 
3.07
 
0
 
0
 
-16.34
 
-0.42
 
Tanzania
13
 
17
 
3.20
 
2.47
 
0
 
0
 
-4.63
 
-3.28
 
0
 
0
 
20.51
 
-3.63
 
Zambia
1
 
1
 
0.52
 
0.45
 
1
 
2
 
23.63
 
7.10
 
0
 
0
 
12.93
 
-6.63
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
2 401
 
2 776
 
3.15
 
1.69
 
306
 
355
 
6.44
 
0.26
 
147
 
142
 
1.18
 
1.24
 
Argentina
560
 
624
 
1.74
 
1.88
 
2
 
1
 
-10.75
 
0.00
 
52
 
50
 
2.43
 
2.38
 
Brazil
745
 
916
 
3.10
 
2.10
 
28
 
20
 
22.96
 
-8.12
 
3
 
6
 
-11.94
 
5.90
 
Chile
93
 
114
 
5.19
 
2.20
 
28
 
29
 
21.40
 
-0.98
 
6
 
5
 
-10.53
 
0.96
 
Colombia
59
 
68
 
0.33
 
1.52
 
3
 
8
 
33.71
 
7.12
 
0
 
0
 
-25.85
 
-2.09
 
Mexico
360
 
408
 
5.70
 
0.97
 
111
 
165
 
5.66
 
2.71
 
1
 
3
 
16.83
 
11.75
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.75
 
2
 
2
 
13.53
 
0.94
 
0
 
0
 
0.35
 
0.00
 
Peru
22
 
29
 
3.03
 
2.45
 
5
 
5
 
13.93
 
-0.53
 
0
 
0
 
23.57
 
0.04
 
Uruguay
93
 
92
 
4.96
 
0.38
 
2
 
2
 
18.92
 
0.81
 
33
 
24
 
0.35
 
-0.81
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
1 283
 
1 805
 
1.64
 
2.74
 
765
 
949
 
7.38
 
1.86
 
261
 
447
 
0.14
 
3.43
 
Bangladesh
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
2.85
 
0
 
0
 
4.41
 
3.36
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-3.25
 
China 2
258
 
320
 
-0.72
 
2.19
 
80
 
195
 
26.73
 
4.31
 
0
 
0
 
-2.99
 
1.22
 
India
3
 
2
 
-7.58
 
-5.40
 
2
 
2
 
10.06
 
1.90
 
5
 
4
 
11.33
 
-1.86
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-5.37
 
20
 
26
 
7.04
 
2.35
 
1
 
1
 
3.08
 
-2.30
 
Iran
295
 
323
 
0.86
 
0.98
 
0
 
0
 
7.63
 
-0.15
 
43
 
47
 
21.92
 
1.10
 
Korea
24
 
29
 
-0.75
 
1.88
 
107
 
162
 
11.35
 
3.69
 
0
 
0
 
23.35
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.91
 
21
 
26
 
11.93
 
1.72
 
0
 
0
 
8.70
 
-1.69
 
Pakistan
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-4.26
 
2
 
2
 
2.59
 
2.44
 
0
 
0
 
-15.73
 
-2.38
 
Philippines
2
 
2
 
257.46
 
0.38
 
25
 
43
 
8.23
 
3.50
 
1
 
1
 
2.18
 
-3.38
 
Saudi Arabia
197
 
470
 
7.17
 
5.65
 
144
 
67
 
6.86
 
-4.87
 
124
 
273
 
-4.75
 
5.12
 
Thailand
5
 
5
 
0.00
 
0.44
 
12
 
16
 
13.40
 
2.38
 
0
 
0
 
11.86
 
-2.33
 
Turkey
195
 
275
 
3.75
 
2.14
 
11
 
6
 
12.49
 
-2.94
 
42
 
82
 
11.11
 
3.03
 
Viet Nam
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-5.52
 
4
 
5
 
-0.02
 
3.45
 
0
 
0
 
26.95
 
-3.33
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
378
 
484
 
2.23
 
2.58
 
43
 
75
 
4.17
 
6.38
 
0
 
0
 
-6.04
 
-1.18
 
OECD 3
17 334
 
20 092
 
1.55
 
1.26
 
960
 
1 123
 
3.65
 
0.94
 
1 656
 
2 005
 
4.90
 
1.75
 
BRICS
1 618
 
1 875
 
2.35
 
1.44
 
369
 
631
 
2.65
 
4.01
 
58
 
82
 
9.78
 
2.72
 
..
Not available
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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