1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.22.1 - Butter projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.22.1Butter projections: Production and trade
A.22.1Butter projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
10 905
 
13 593
 
2.40
 
1.98
 
862
 
1 123
 
2.04
 
2.75
 
944
 
1 158
 
1.18
 
2.65
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
4 725
 
5 526
 
1.36
 
1.37
 
248
 
280
 
-0.73
 
1.75
 
849
 
1 062
 
1.10
 
2.85
 
NORTH AMERICA
934
 
1 199
 
2.42
 
2.20
 
37
 
22
 
4.38
 
-6.76
 
34
 
42
 
-7.27
 
15.30
 
Canada
90
 
102
 
1.53
 
0.34
 
16
 
12
 
10.87
 
-1.55
 
0
 
0
 
2.15
 
0.00
 
United States
845
 
1 097
 
2.52
 
2.39
 
21
 
10
 
0.90
 
-10.86
 
34
 
42
 
-7.34
 
15.33
 
EUROPE
2 973
 
3 371
 
1.05
 
0.95
 
138
 
176
 
-3.25
 
3.79
 
280
 
438
 
0.13
 
3.18
 
European Union
2 341
 
2 680
 
1.36
 
0.95
 
11
 
12
 
-27.43
 
4.29
 
172
 
276
 
-2.15
 
3.30
 
Russia
323
 
326
 
-1.92
 
0.23
 
116
 
158
 
4.03
 
4.07
 
6
 
6
 
1.54
 
0.00
 
Ukraine
107
 
117
 
2.61
 
1.62
 
4
 
0
 
-6.51
 
-3.58
 
11
 
19
 
19.20
 
6.05
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
688
 
816
 
2.02
 
2.10
 
27
 
37
 
5.12
 
1.49
 
529
 
577
 
2.02
 
2.06
 
Australia
116
 
118
 
-2.01
 
0.36
 
26
 
35
 
5.21
 
1.57
 
36
 
37
 
-8.04
 
-1.30
 
New Zealand
572
 
698
 
3.05
 
2.42
 
2
 
2
 
3.38
 
0.00
 
493
 
540
 
3.21
 
2.34
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
130
 
140
 
-1.62
 
0.70
 
46
 
46
 
0.50
 
1.01
 
6
 
6
 
12.79
 
2.44
 
Japan
64
 
62
 
-2.01
 
-0.61
 
14
 
12
 
10.25
 
2.41
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
14
 
15
 
-3.35
 
1.26
 
5
 
3
 
-8.29
 
2.19
 
0
 
0
 
-29.38
 
-0.16
 
South Africa
12
 
15
 
1.05
 
3.42
 
4
 
4
 
5.15
 
-3.01
 
5
 
5
 
18.24
 
3.10
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
6 180
 
8 067
 
3.26
 
2.42
 
614
 
842
 
3.47
 
3.10
 
95
 
96
 
1.95
 
0.69
 
AFRICA
303
 
332
 
2.38
 
0.72
 
116
 
218
 
-0.50
 
7.61
 
4
 
4
 
1.77
 
0.07
 
NORTH AFRICA
172
 
183
 
1.43
 
0.51
 
95
 
170
 
1.55
 
6.85
 
1
 
1
 
-6.62
 
-2.00
 
Algeria
5
 
5
 
12.33
 
0.71
 
16
 
19
 
2.67
 
3.67
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-3.54
 
Egypt
124
 
127
 
0.36
 
0.13
 
52
 
121
 
4.25
 
8.94
 
1
 
1
 
-5.26
 
-1.38
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
132
 
150
 
3.77
 
0.98
 
22
 
48
 
-5.88
 
10.76
 
3
 
3
 
15.51
 
0.90
 
Ethiopia
18
 
24
 
23.99
 
2.99
 
0
 
0
 
0.18
 
0.49
 
0
 
0
 
22.46
 
-0.48
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
3.16
 
2
 
1
 
-2.98
 
1.14
 
1
 
1
 
27.03
 
0.00
 
Mozambique
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
3.01
 
1
 
1
 
31.46
 
2.66
 
0
 
0
 
-0.49
 
0.00
 
Nigeria
13
 
16
 
2.93
 
1.59
 
6
 
9
 
-13.06
 
6.53
 
0
 
0
 
54.52
 
-0.87
 
Tanzania
32
 
40
 
7.07
 
2.18
 
0
 
2
 
12.84
 
22.19
 
0
 
0
 
-13.48
 
-16.55
 
Zambia
0
 
0
 
0.25
 
1.84
 
0
 
0
 
2.51
 
4.05
 
0
 
0
 
-13.89
 
0.00
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
441
 
511
 
3.03
 
1.48
 
56
 
68
 
-0.68
 
0.32
 
50
 
58
 
4.79
 
2.13
 
Argentina
43
 
52
 
-2.16
 
4.30
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
8
 
16
 
-6.48
 
9.11
 
Brazil
83
 
97
 
0.42
 
1.49
 
2
 
3
 
7.15
 
0.30
 
3
 
1
 
-6.93
 
0.12
 
Chile
22
 
27
 
3.29
 
1.59
 
5
 
5
 
35.31
 
-0.28
 
4
 
4
 
12.19
 
0.28
 
Colombia
21
 
24
 
0.27
 
1.24
 
0
 
0
 
26.82
 
-0.65
 
0
 
0
 
-16.04
 
0.91
 
Mexico
198
 
227
 
7.00
 
1.11
 
26
 
37
 
-4.45
 
0.55
 
10
 
12
 
47.70
 
0.50
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
81.77
 
1.75
 
0
 
0
 
11.74
 
0.00
 
0
 
0
 
14.21
 
0.02
 
Peru
4
 
5
 
9.07
 
2.43
 
8
 
10
 
11.88
 
1.03
 
0
 
0
 
17.98
 
-1.02
 
Uruguay
21
 
24
 
2.97
 
0.27
 
1
 
0
 
428.52
 
-0.15
 
19
 
19
 
6.15
 
0.15
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
5 436
 
7 223
 
3.33
 
2.58
 
442
 
556
 
5.53
 
2.09
 
41
 
33
 
0.03
 
-1.38
 
Bangladesh
27
 
35
 
2.41
 
2.39
 
0
 
0
 
-6.36
 
0.07
 
0
 
0
 
-13.31
 
-0.03
 
China 2
98
 
115
 
-1.15
 
2.06
 
78
 
116
 
23.95
 
2.85
 
2
 
1
 
-14.74
 
1.00
 
India
4 034
 
5 474
 
3.77
 
2.72
 
4
 
6
 
1.26
 
-0.35
 
8
 
7
 
-2.00
 
-1.15
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
-10.39
 
22
 
27
 
7.82
 
2.38
 
0
 
0
 
1.99
 
-2.33
 
Iran
210
 
244
 
0.59
 
1.19
 
44
 
56
 
-0.37
 
2.56
 
0
 
1
 
-10.28
 
-0.22
 
Korea
4
 
6
 
0.39
 
5.02
 
7
 
12
 
7.33
 
2.89
 
0
 
0
 
95.64
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
6.10
 
19
 
24
 
6.33
 
1.17
 
6
 
5
 
10.12
 
-1.15
 
Pakistan
720
 
954
 
2.41
 
2.70
 
0
 
10
 
-13.79
 
59.15
 
0
 
0
 
7.88
 
-45.28
 
Philippines
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
0.09
 
22
 
39
 
5.58
 
3.37
 
0
 
0
 
26.69
 
-3.26
 
Saudi Arabia
5
 
1
 
-1.60
 
7.23
 
57
 
70
 
11.69
 
1.64
 
6
 
5
 
15.11
 
-1.62
 
Thailand
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
-6.27
 
13
 
12
 
3.13
 
0.37
 
1
 
1
 
17.57
 
-0.36
 
Turkey
206
 
241
 
5.29
 
1.35
 
21
 
9
 
14.39
 
-5.95
 
0
 
0
 
11.04
 
0.52
 
Viet Nam
0
 
0
 
44.03
 
-11.42
 
14
 
17
 
7.44
 
1.90
 
0
 
0
 
-12.50
 
-1.86
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
229
 
265
 
3.36
 
1.30
 
13
 
36
 
-0.83
 
12.66
 
3
 
4
 
-7.68
 
0.99
 
OECD 3
4 528
 
5 330
 
1.99
 
1.40
 
149
 
149
 
-2.15
 
-0.65
 
753
 
916
 
0.77
 
2.76
 
BRICS
4 551
 
6 029
 
3.07
 
2.54
 
204
 
287
 
7.70
 
3.26
 
23
 
19
 
-1.17
 
0.28
 
..
Not available
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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