1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.22.2 - Butter projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.22.2Butter projections: Consumption, food
A.22.2Butter projections: Consumption, food
  Calendar year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
10 831
 
13 561
 
2.55
 
1.97
 
1.5
 
1.6
 
1.35
 
0.97
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
4 131
 
4 745
 
1.39
 
1.05
 
2.9
 
3.2
 
0.98
 
0.80
 
NORTH AMERICA
925
 
1 180
 
2.74
 
1.68
 
2.6
 
3.1
 
1.90
 
0.97
 
Canada
104
 
116
 
2.42
 
0.74
 
2.9
 
2.9
 
1.34
 
-0.05
 
United States
822
 
1 065
 
2.78
 
1.79
 
2.6
 
3.1
 
1.97
 
1.09
 
EUROPE
2 819
 
3 109
 
0.86
 
0.76
 
3.7
 
4.1
 
0.74
 
0.79
 
European Union
2 170
 
2 417
 
1.24
 
0.67
 
4.3
 
4.7
 
1.07
 
0.60
 
Russia
434
 
478
 
-0.80
 
1.35
 
3.0
 
3.4
 
-0.83
 
1.56
 
Ukraine
99
 
98
 
1.37
 
0.91
 
2.2
 
2.3
 
1.76
 
1.51
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
218
 
276
 
6.91
 
2.10
 
7.7
 
8.5
 
5.32
 
0.97
 
Australia
93
 
116
 
1.26
 
1.32
 
3.9
 
4.2
 
-0.38
 
0.15
 
New Zealand
125
 
160
 
15.56
 
2.69
 
27.7
 
32.3
 
14.64
 
1.85
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
169
 
180
 
-1.57
 
0.73
 
0.6
 
0.6
 
-2.20
 
0.40
 
Japan
76
 
74
 
-1.84
 
-0.17
 
0.6
 
0.6
 
-1.76
 
0.17
 
Kazakhstan
18
 
18
 
-4.45
 
1.43
 
1.0
 
0.9
 
-5.81
 
0.54
 
South Africa
12
 
15
 
-0.88
 
1.15
 
0.2
 
0.3
 
-1.99
 
0.51
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
6 700
 
8 815
 
3.32
 
2.50
 
1.1
 
1.3
 
1.91
 
1.33
 
AFRICA
415
 
546
 
1.59
 
2.98
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
-1.04
 
0.53
 
NORTH AFRICA
265
 
352
 
1.60
 
3.13
 
1.4
 
1.6
 
-0.18
 
1.68
 
Algeria
21
 
24
 
4.63
 
2.93
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
2.70
 
1.55
 
Egypt
175
 
248
 
1.58
 
3.58
 
1.9
 
2.2
 
-0.53
 
1.88
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
151
 
195
 
1.68
 
2.72
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
-1.12
 
0.10
 
Ethiopia
18
 
24
 
23.89
 
2.99
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
20.76
 
0.71
 
Ghana
1
 
1
 
-8.65
 
2.02
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-10.84
 
0.00
 
Mozambique
1
 
1
 
31.61
 
2.66
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
27.98
 
0.00
 
Nigeria
19
 
25
 
-5.45
 
3.14
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-7.94
 
0.64
 
Tanzania
32
 
43
 
7.10
 
2.76
 
0.6
 
0.6
 
3.77
 
-0.22
 
Zambia
0
 
0
 
8.70
 
3.02
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
5.46
 
0.00
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
448
 
523
 
2.62
 
1.18
 
0.7
 
0.7
 
1.45
 
0.29
 
Argentina
36
 
38
 
2.60
 
1.41
 
0.8
 
0.8
 
1.54
 
0.53
 
Brazil
82
 
99
 
0.67
 
1.47
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
-0.26
 
0.80
 
Chile
23
 
27
 
4.64
 
1.46
 
1.3
 
1.4
 
3.52
 
0.60
 
Colombia
20
 
23
 
0.41
 
1.24
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
-0.61
 
0.56
 
Mexico
214
 
252
 
4.40
 
1.05
 
1.7
 
1.8
 
2.93
 
-0.01
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
-28.92
 
1.15
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-29.86
 
0.00
 
Peru
12
 
15
 
10.35
 
1.44
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
8.92
 
0.33
 
Uruguay
2
 
5
 
-11.25
 
0.62
 
0.7
 
1.5
 
-11.55
 
0.29
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
5 836
 
7 746
 
3.51
 
2.56
 
1.4
 
1.7
 
2.39
 
1.73
 
Bangladesh
27
 
35
 
2.24
 
2.38
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
1.05
 
1.34
 
China 2
174
 
230
 
5.34
 
2.45
 
0.1
 
0.2
 
4.80
 
2.23
 
India
4 030
 
5 474
 
3.77
 
2.72
 
3.1
 
3.7
 
2.43
 
1.65
 
Indonesia
21
 
27
 
8.31
 
2.42
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
6.93
 
1.46
 
Iran
254
 
299
 
0.42
 
1.44
 
3.2
 
3.4
 
-0.81
 
0.63
 
Korea
10
 
18
 
3.06
 
3.57
 
0.2
 
0.3
 
2.53
 
3.26
 
Malaysia
14
 
18
 
5.25
 
1.95
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
3.63
 
0.74
 
Pakistan
720
 
964
 
2.41
 
2.82
 
3.8
 
4.2
 
0.28
 
1.02
 
Philippines
22
 
39
 
5.47
 
3.41
 
0.2
 
0.3
 
3.84
 
1.98
 
Saudi Arabia
56
 
66
 
9.27
 
1.96
 
1.8
 
1.8
 
6.73
 
0.49
 
Thailand
12
 
12
 
2.58
 
0.42
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
2.25
 
0.37
 
Turkey
226
 
249
 
5.85
 
0.96
 
2.9
 
2.9
 
4.19
 
0.30
 
Viet Nam
14
 
17
 
7.66
 
1.91
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
6.50
 
1.07
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
239
 
298
 
3.37
 
2.22
 
0.3
 
0.2
 
0.95
 
-0.02
 
OECD 3
3 930
 
4 564
 
2.18
 
1.04
 
2.9
 
3.3
 
1.59
 
0.64
 
BRICS
4 732
 
6 296
 
3.24
 
2.58
 
1.5
 
1.9
 
2.36
 
1.96
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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